FA Cup Qtr final draw - away (big shock) at Middlesbrough

Since the balls have no memory, the probability of being drawn away on successive occasions does not increase, it stays exactly the same, in each and every draw we have a 1 in 2 chance of being drawn away. The fact that we have been drawn away in previous draws does not affect the odds.If a roulette wheel lands on black 5 times in a row, the probability of it happening a sixth time are still 48%.
I think people are commenting on the sequence of these games being drawn out the same, rather than the individual one
I agree its 50/50 for each draw but the odds increase for the same thing to happen time after time
 
I think people are commenting on the sequence of these games being drawn out the same, rather than the individual one
I agree its 50/50 for each draw but the odds increase for the same thing to happen time after time
The odds increase for any specific sequence of home and away draws - of course if the sequence of draws was H,A,H,A,H,A,H this debate wouldn't be happening despite it still being a 1 in 128 chance.
 
IMO, I think we will steal a win at Home, and struggle against Boro, I remember these games in the 90s, always seemed to be our bogey team.
 
Not that one ,we played them early 90s up there got beat 2-1 the game should have been called off after half time you could only see to the halfway line
League Cup game, remember cheering like fuck when the ball was out of sight to confuse the smoggies, could just about see the edge of the penalty area from behind the goal.

It was just as foggy driving home, horrible night.
 
Since the balls have no memory, the probability of being drawn away on successive occasions does not increase, it stays exactly the same, in each and every draw we have a 1 in 2 chance of being drawn away. The fact that we have been drawn away in previous draws does not affect the odds.If a roulette wheel lands on black 5 times in a row, the probability of it happening a sixth time are still 48%.
That's utter bollocks about the roulette, otherwise why would the casino be generous enough to provide you with those cards for you to record the sequence?
 
Web suggests up to 4k away fans.... Hopefully we'll get more than that.

Ground holds 35k and they had 29k for Oxford. Oxford had 3k there but don't know if they sold out/requested more tickets and were turned down.
 

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