Nope. Here's why -
1. Sterling has scored ~10 goals/season in the league all his life. I see no reason why this figure would suddenly become 20+.
So same as last season.
2. Sane will get 10+ goals. So maybe a +5/6 difference over last season, but then we lost Nolito so this change can be ignored.
So same as last season.
3. Bernardo also gets 10-15 goals a season. We sold Kelechi so, I'm gonna half that figure (based on past season stats).
+5/7 goals this season.
4. Silva. Nothing to say here.
Same as last season.
5. KdB. This one is interesting. You're probably expecting him to score 15+ goals this season right (as opposed to the paltry 5 or 6 he scored last season)? Here's a recent Dutch interview with KdB where he says he'll be playing more as a defensive mid this season -
https://www.elevensports.be/video/kevin-de-bruyne-op-ohl (might be region blocked). The relevant part is this - "
I haven't scored yet, but I'm playing as a defending midfielder. My role changed, but my games are good. I know what I bring to the team and what my role is. No one knows what I had to do. People think I play as an attacking midfielder, that's wrong. They see Kevin De Bruyne, attacking midfielder so he has to score and give assists. But they don't look beyond that." So yeah, you can forgot those extra goals. Also, you now know why we're not targeting a DM this season because one of Silva/KdB will always be playing like an advanced DM (to help Dinho with passing).
So same as last season.
So there you go. Those players don't make up the difference. We need another goalscorer.
I agree with you over Sanchez but disagree with you on two points.
Firstly When Cristian's Ronaldo was just slightly younger than Sterlings age (about 9 months), he'd scored 3, 4, 5 & 9 goals in each of his league seasons.
I'm sure if you were simply looking at that you'd have said there was no reason to predict an uptick in his goalscoring too, but we all know there was.
Ronaldo became a phenomenal finisher and started rattling in 30 odd a season, Sterling only needs to become a half decent one to get up near 15-20 goals a season because his movement is so great he gets tons of opportunities.
Sané as well, at 20, is only going to score more and more goals.
So I don't think you can just say hey won't improve.
Secondly If you look at our 13/14 title winning side we had:
Yaya - 20 league goals
Agüero - 17 league goals
Dzeko - 16 league goals
Negredo - 9 league goals
Nasri - 7 league goals
Agüero should score an absolute minimum of 25 if he plays the whole season without getting suspended or injured.
Jesus should match Dzeko's role
Sterling should be targeting 15-20
Sané should be targeting 10-15
25 from Sergio, 15 from Jesus and Sterling and 10 from Sané would add up to more than the top goal scorers from 13/14. And this numbers aren't unreasonable.
We have the goal scorers to easily outdo that season. The problem we have at the moment is not the numbers of goals the players we've got can score, it's the variety of goals we can score.
Dzeko and Negredo had an aerial threat, Yaya that season was a threat from outside the box. The 13/14 side scored every kind of goal, and this current team doesn't.
I want Sanchez because despite not being he aerial theat of Dzeko, I think he adds variety to our attack and it was the variety of attacking threats that made us so deadly in Pellegrinis first season.
