Do you really believe the league is over...?

[SWP's back]

Imagine if United get through and we get them in the draw?!!! 3 Derbys in a row!

I’d be taking the week off work.

It’d be reminiscent of the Pep Jose Barca Madrid Times.

 

[aguero93:20]

Sevilla would be the team I want if they got through, Or the winner of Shaktar/Roma, even if it means a trip to Russia.

We're not going to have to go to Russia.

 

[Manchester1894]

I’d be taking the week off work.

It’d be reminiscent of the Pep Jose Barca Madrid Times.

Spurs would be funny too.. Their fixture list would look like this for April if they got through against Juve!

1st; PL Chelsea
4th CL MCFC
7th PL Stoke
11th CL MCFC
14th PL MCFC

Brutal.

 

[Manchester1894]

We're not going to have to go to Russia.

Your right, apologies, Ukraine!

 

[johnnytapia]

The 16 point gap will shrink as our next 6 games in the league contain, Arsenal(a), Chelsea(h), United(h) and Spurs(a). The CL has to be managed VERY well too.
The goal difference counts as an extra point. So theoretically we are 17 clear right now. The only other big matches between the top 6 are United v Liverpool and Chelsea v Spurs in that time.
So the next two are really important in winning the league really really early, as a Liverpool result against United could hand it us on a plate.

Just looked at the dates for Champs league too. 3/4 April and 10/11 April

April 3rd CL: 1ST LEG
April 7th PL: United
April 11th CL: 2ND LEG
April 14th PL Spurs

Imagine if United get through and we get them in the draw?!!! 3 Derbys in a row!

Sevilla would be the team I want if they got through, Or the winner of Shaktar/Roma, even if it means a trip to Russia.

I’ve got news for you: it’s already shrunk. We'’re currently 13 points ahead. 14 with Goal Difference.

 

[gordondaviesmoustache]

He doesn’t sound the logical sort.

I wonder if he's the sort to admit when he's wrong.

 

[SWP's back]

I’ve got news for you: it’s already shrunk. We'’re currently 13 points ahead. 14 with Goal Difference.

17 potentially with the game in hand.

 

[johnnytapia]

17 potentially with the game in hand.

Potentially, yes (not quite sure that’s what he posted, but I digress). I’d love to see us 19 ahead before they play Palace. I hate getting too far ahead here, but winning the next two would be a massive statement. Arsenal were utterly inept Sunday and we barely had to get into 3rd gear. Same again Thursday with same result would be lovely.

 

[Silvercloud]

For the first tine, I really now feel the league is over. Say we lose our next 2 games, we'll still be 6 points clear at worst. Fuck'em, it's done!

 

[daztrueblue91]

For the first tine, I really now feel the league is over. Say we lose our next 2 games, we'll still be 6 points clear at worst. Fuck'em, it's done!

We lose the next 2 and we'll still be 10 points clear at the worst.

 

[bluemc1]

Los

We lose the next 2 and we'll still be 10 points clear at the worst.

Lose our next 2 and I will start to shit myself

 

[bluemc1]

Also if we lost it from here I would have to think long and hard about giving up football and leaving the country

 

[jrb]

If we win the next 2, yes.

9 games left.

At home.

Brighton.
United.
Swansea.
Huddersfield.

Stoke.
Everton.
West Ham.
Spurs.
Southampton.

We can afford to lose 5 out of the last 9 games and still win the league. United have to win every game. One being against us. They play Liverpool as well.

 

[YaYa's Left Peg]

Rags.

...and dippers.

 

[gkmcfc]

If we win the next 2, yes.

9 games left.

At home.

Brighton.
United.
Swansea.
Huddersfield.

Stoke.
Everton.
West Ham.
Spurs.
Southampton.

We can afford to lose 5 out of the last 9 games and still win the league. United have to win every game. One being against us. They play Liverpool as well.

United haven't won 10 games in a row all season. In fact I don't even think they've done it since Fergie was in charge and this team isn't a patch on any of his previous teams. I reckon 4 or 5 wins will be enough.

 

[Pokes28]

So look at it like this.

If the Rags win out (won't happen) they can get to 89 points. If Liverpool wins out, they get to 87. We sit at 72 right now. So the current magic number is 18 on the rags and 16 on the victims. Every win/draw by us lowers the number and every draw/loss by them lowers the number.

The math exists that we don't win it, but it would be beyond comprehension. We've dropped 9 points in 27 matches. We only need 18 out of 33 remaining points. We would have to not only drop 15 points, but the rags would have to go on a run unlike anything they've done all year. Their longest winning streak for either of those two is 4 matches (once). So if their last 10 follows the previous 28 for them, we can expect them to drop points at least a couple more times this season. So that is 4 minimum. So the magic number goes from 18 to 14. So that even lowers the bar for City to a point that we could still drop as many as 19 more points and still win it. But remember the team has only dropped 9 points. That is 1 point per 3 matches played on average.

 

[Sir Joe Aguero]

United haven't won 10 games in a row all season. In fact I don't even think they've done it since Fergie was in charge and this team isn't a patch on any of his previous teams. I reckon 4 or 5 wins will be enough.

All piss-easy games except for us and Liverpool.

 

[worsleyweb]

All piss-easy games except for us and Liverpool.

Palace away on a Monday night is far from piss easy.

 

[mancity1]

4 wins will be enough.

 

[Cobwebcat]

Likely end of season points to nearest 10th of a point

City 96.0

Liverpool 78.3

United 78.3

Spurs 76.5

Chelsea 71.2

Arsenal 65.0

Percentage chance of City winning league 99.9

Most likely points total required to win 79

Current points 72

Statistically and on average only 7 more points will do it.