BobKowalski
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 17 May 2007
- Messages
- 21,511
It would have to rely on rebel Labour votes. Not sure how many Labour MPs there are who would be prepared to go out on a limb to that extent.
Agreed. It is instructive on what this latest gambit tells us though. Namely that for all those who insist the NI border issue is a made up problem and could be easily solved with tech etc the Govt is admitting it is a problem because its much vaunted Alternative Arrangements are not ready to do the job now hence the talk of pushing transition to 2022.
And if they are not ready now then a no deal exit means a customs border and if it’s on land then it will be a target for nationalist violence and if it’s in the sea a target for Unionist violence so add that into the mix of abruptly severing most of our Treaty links that govern our interaction with Europe and with a Govt that cannot actually govern domestically - well I don’t fancy our chances to be honest.
So that brings us full circle back to a deal as the only real path out of this mess but any deal is just going to be a reheated version of May’s deal which is why Raab was blathering about not revealing our hand in negotiations (it’s almost like May never left) because if we did reveal ‘our hand’ everyone, Brexiteers and ERG Tories especially, would go nuts and also because we don’t really have a hand other than trying to buy an exit with lots of transition time in the hope that something turns up by 2022. But to get an exit with lots of transition time we really, really need to pass the WA but this will contain a guarantee that there will be no hard border in Ireland, otherwise known as ‘the backstop’, and that we can’t get through Parliament.
We are trapped in a self replicating doom loop and it’s slowly killing us.