Another new Brexit thread

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You are right - I am down the road in Wokingham - John Redwood's constituency

Even though it is a Remain constituency and Redwood has 'gone against' that position - there is absolutely zero chance that the Conservatives will not win here

The threat of Corbyn totally dwarfs any risk that Brexit might introduce.

I have been saying for months that a lot of the UK-wide Remain vote will be dissipated in a GE in a manner that does not see Labour do well

In Scotland we know where that will go - but it makes no difference from 2015/17

In major cities we know where that will go - but it makes no difference from 2015/17

It is in the marginals that the GE will be won or lost. I can see the Remain vote splitting between LibDems and Labour - allowing the Conservatives to mop up and secure a working majority. It may be small so that is a good reason that they were right to purge the 21 dissenters - and ideally any others that cannot be relied upon on this major issue.
So you have an MP that doesn't represent the views of a majority of his constituents?
What about democracy? Do you have a problem with Redwood supporting Brexit or are you a hypocrite?
Or - shock horror - for the parliament that is elected in a representative democracy to actually represent their cntsituents?

I know - an old-fashioned concept
 
The last 3.5 years probably say otherwise. Absolutely, leave voters might not accept it, and perfectly within their right not to. The only way to tell is to ask again, with the specifics now known, rather than a one size fits all concept. And if that is still the case, then remain voters really have nothing to complain about, and neither do the extreme brexit aspire-bes.

Why should we hold any vote to appease remain voters? Remain lost.

I agree on a second referendum but the only referendum we can hold is one on the final deal vs no deal.

We chose to leave and here are the options to leave, pick one.

Done.
 
Revoke is the outcome I do want actually, it may seem perverse as a leaver but the current deal or a no deal are just too damaging for a variety of reasons. My objectives for independence from future EU integration can be now be best achieved by staying inside and finding a non A50 route out if political reform can't be achieved.

Ah, in which case I apologise for assuming incorrectly. Fair enough. I think that is a far more sensible way to go.
 
Why should we hold any vote to appease remain voters? Remain lost.

I agree on a second referendum but the only referendum we can hold is one on the final deal vs no deal.

We chose to leave and here are the options to leave, pick one.

Done.

Because they still make up more or less half the country, depending on which poll you want to believe. You can't govern solely for the 'winners'. A decent MP will understand that they represent *all* of their constituents, not just the ones who voted them in. The same applies here. And yes if remain had won I absolutely would have wanted to see action to address the concerns of leave voters. If it had been 52/48 in the other direction that would have been far too many people to ignore also.
 
None of that justifies having another referendum IMO. We were told the pound would collapse. We were warned about the NI problem (although clearly not warned enough). We were warned about potential tariffs. All of this was in the air before the vote. And people voted as they did, knowledgable or not, misguided or not, thick as planks or not, racists or not. And yes people may have changed their minds, or not. (FWIW, increasingly I am of the opinion that actually it's swung back around to a Leave majority again.)

But we had the referendum, were told by everyone concerned we would honour the result and really that's all there is to it. We must leave, and politicians must determine how. And if this set of politicians cannot agree on how, then we need another set who can.

Fair point(s)

However, we have had a GE in 2017 which was billed as the one to get Brexit sorted(or "done") and that led us to here. I am not a fan of the idea of a 2nd Ref but I think I'm with Tony Blair on this - if the Government thinks it is time to go to the people to unpick the Brexit lock a GE is not the way to go about it. A GE is voted on many issues, for many reasons and is also constituency based i.e not one person one vote - if the Government want to go to the people to resolve Brexit one way or the other then it should be with a referendum

These are not normal times due to successive bad decisions by successive Governments

All that said, Johnson said 'do or die' we would be out on the 31st. It makes me ask why he has paused the doing? Potentially because it is undo-able but surely the best way through is to get the extension, accept some amendments and take that back to the EU? Trouble is, the amendments will be unpalatable to certain MPs. But a GE won't get rid of them because of the way the country is carved up so we will be potentially here in another 12 months.......

I appreciate the post is a little all over the place but wanted to get my thoughts down. In summary, I think we are fucked and are in need of real leadership, not the tin-pot populists we have on the front benches at the moment
 
None of that justifies having another referendum IMO. We were told the pound would collapse. We were warned about the NI problem (although clearly not warned enough). We were warned about potential tariffs. All of this was in the air before the vote. And people voted as they did, knowledgable or not, misguided or not, thick as planks or not, racists or not. And yes people may have changed their minds, or not. (FWIW, increasingly I am of the opinion that actually it's swung back around to a Leave majority again.)

But we had the referendum, were told by everyone concerned we would honour the result and really that's all there is to it. We must leave, and politicians must determine how. And if this set of politicians cannot agree on how, then we need another set who can.

Since people love the shit or get off the pot analogy as much as they do the buying a house one, i'll go ahead and use both.

You've made an offer, found out the home report and brochure are full of shit, and, chances are you might have to rebuild the house you are buying at great expense, or keep endlessly patching it up and ploughing money into it. And chances are your neigbour will hate you either way. Do you follow through, just because you have made an initisl choice, or stop and think.

Sit on the pot you have a bit longer where it is still at least somewhat warm and you and your neighbors tolerate each other.
 
When having or being involved in a hedge fund is illegal in this country i might start taking notice of posts like this.

Martin Taylor of Nevsky Capitol was a big benefactor of Labour under Milliband.

So fucking what?

Where did I say that? What is your problem?
 
But do you recognise that there is no symetry between the Remain and the Leave position? The two sides are not equal. One side "lost" the referendum vote, the other "won".

We may not like this. We may argue it was badly framed, unfair, should never have happened, whatever. But none of that changes the fact that the country voted to Leave, they did not vote to Remain.

THEREFORE, if and when we leave (and I think it is when, btw) , the Remain side will reluctantly have to accept it. If we end up deciding to remain, the Leave side is entirely justified in NOT accepting it.
*applauds*

And by all accounts, if the remainer lobby after brexit wishes to continue with a campaign to have us rejoin the EU, (as Swinson has recently stated the Lib Dems would be) it would be entirely justfied on their part because rejoining is an entirely different discussion, one which then falls upon leave/brexit advocates to argue against by proposing the merits of independence.

As in everything democratic, the public will decide collectively which argument they support. Many leavers would be disappointed, after having secured independence from the EU, only to see us go back in, but none of them could ever say that such a process was "undemocratic", if we were to rejoin, either by referendum or voting in MP's and a Government which publicly supported the idea of rejoining the EU as party of it's manifesto pledges.
 
Many seem to think that only the remain vote would be split in a G.E.? Surely the leave vote would be as well. After all the leave offered by Boris is nowhere close to the leave that was voted for. I personally as a leaver take the view that if we leave we leave under a truly committed leave government prepared to go on a pretty hard Brexit. However in the absence of that being the case then I see little point in leaving at all. I really dont think farting about with deals is going to work out.

In short I dont think this is something that half measures are going to really work, for me its one or the other either get out on our own terms or stay in and be committed to trying to make changes within the union. I really think leaving under the leadership of the bumbling oaf Boris will be the worse option of the lot.
 
And what if remain wins? What would you suggest leave voters do then?

If they think they really want it that bad, why, and what it is worth, then back a party that promises it again at the next G.E.

If any are bold or capable of ever trying it again and getting the numbers.
 
you
I disagree. Society will recover just fine, we have to trust it to be mature enough to digest that it potentially flirted with disaster and dodged a near miss, should we somehow end up staying. Which i doubt.
Your perspective misapprehends human nature. The notion that people who voted to leave will (in the main) view it as a near miss is wholly misconceived.
 
I think you need to brush up on your understanding and use of the word "lie".

Broken promises are not always lies. Why did you not just highlight his broken promises? My guess is because you can't stand the bloke and it suits you to slag him off any way you can.
You are correct that I have no appetite for serial liars.
 
Fair point(s)

However, we have had a GE in 2017 which was billed as the one to get Brexit sorted(or "done") and that led us to here. I am not a fan of the idea of a 2nd Ref but I think I'm with Tony Blair on this - if the Government thinks it is time to go to the people to unpick the Brexit lock a GE is not the way to go about it. A GE is voted on many issues, for many reasons and is also constituency based i.e not one person one vote - if the Government want to go to the people to resolve Brexit one way or the other then it should be with a referendum

It entirely depends upon what you think a general election now (if that's where we end up) is FOR.

If it is to ask the public again about Brexit, then I agree with you entirely. GE's are indeed complex affairs where all sorts of issues would mask what the public actually think about Brexit. Perhaps never more so that right now when we have arguably two of the most polarising leaders at the helm.

But that is not what is needed. We've already asked the public what they wish to do and that is to leave. A GE is simply an opportunity to swap out this bunch of incompetents for another lot who can have another stab at it.
 
"Most" has a very specific meaning which needs very specific justification. "Some" does not.

If it had been said, "Some of the ERG are fund managers or have close connections with fund managers", I would have had no issues with it.

My reply would have been "so what, who cares". And even if someone stands to benefit in some way from some political outcome, that is not in itself evidence that they are voting purely for unscrupulous reasons.

I have long held the view that people go into politics because of a deep desire to make the country a better place, not to feather their own nests.[/QUOTE]

I agree with your last sentiment entirely but there are others who clearly have a different perspective than that Blair, Osborne, Johnson but to name a few. Its a question of morality in all this when you consider the shape of Johnson's agreements which involves a very radical change to our current economic and social models. When they are supposed to be acting in the interest of the people that they serve and have economic impact assessments when does the realisation kick in that shaving 7% off GDP over the next few years is not such a good idea.

Then you have to question why rail road a deal through without the usual scrutiny that is going to cause such harm to the country? Who are they doing this for clearly not in the best interest to the population of the United Kingdom.
 
I wasn't in that vid, AC!
Lol, but as it plainly shows, each and every one of them is a lying, dissembling ****, constantly singling out
Johnson by those who hate him may make them feel better, but right there is virtually the whole fucking shower of them.
Grieve is the one that sickens me the most, what he was lying about here is available in a full vid somewhere, but you
have the whole wretched, rotten cabal of party leaders, senior front bench MP's, and sundry other undesirables
shown up for what they are.
 
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