daveiw01
Well-Known Member
Sorry, it wasn't a criticism in any way shape or form, just pointing out that large gatherings which can and in my opinion should be postponed, can pose major risk.
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COVID-19 — Coronavirus
- Thread starter urban genie
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daveiw01
Well-Known Member
Well, that's me reassured, thank you Dr.people can order food and supplies to their house
i'd say the chances of virus spread is 10x greater at large shopping centers than it is at Cheltenham Horse races
Tbf if you and Karen do have it then there’s a good chance a few more members on here might if you were all in close proximity at Wembley.I honestly believe tens of thousands have it - if i have it (will know in 3 days apparently) and Kaz - how likely is it that of the 450 odd cases in the Uk - 2 of them post on here? Odds must be in the multi millions.
Fingers crossed yourself and others don’t.
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worsleyweb
Guest
Tbf if you and Karen do have it then there’s a good chance a few more members on here might if you were all in close proximity at Wembley.
Fingers crossed yourself and others don’t.
Thats the nicest you have ever been to me. Love you.
AlgarveBlu
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youve got it hand it to Trump he knows how to massage the figures, but unfortunately for the United states they will have the highest mortality rate in the world Versus confirmed cases on paper - his advisers have got this one wrong again
purplenose
Well-Known Member
To be honest, I'd be more relieved with a higher infected count because it would mean the death rate is much lower than we might otherwise fear. At the moment we are seeing death rates which are sky high and "hoping" that there's loads more people infected and that it isn't so bad in reality. South Korea would tend to indicate that's the case. Maybe Italy is inundated because half the country is in fact infected already? That would be (bizarrely) great news if true.
I am convincing myself that this is actually the case.
As you say it would be great news. Despite that if in the coming few days they actually announced that they had pretty good estimates to say a couple of million have already got it people would absolutely brick it. Trying to explain why this would infact be good news would probably be a difficult and painful process due to the amount of thick twats roaming the streets.
We spent about 8hrs together and he had my arm the whole time,couple of hugs,impossible to know if i had it before during or after
I had a post deleted the other day so I'll ask in a different way. Are you saying that out of a population of 66m+ you are one of the 456 confirmed cases in the UK?
urban genie
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It is probabaly more rampant than presently suggests.
I still see peolpe touching their faces/mouth on the bus and then holding the rails, anyone of them could have it and be passing it on.
Also despite the warnings I bet many people are not washing their hands any more than normal if at all throughout the day
I still see peolpe touching their faces/mouth on the bus and then holding the rails, anyone of them could have it and be passing it on.
Also despite the warnings I bet many people are not washing their hands any more than normal if at all throughout the day
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xgorton
Well-Known Member
You have this thing about Cheltenham for some reason,are you a jockey ?people can order food and supplies to their house
i'd say the chances of virus spread is 10x greater at large shopping centers than it is at Cheltenham Horse races
kaz7
Well-Known Member
I left the shagging bit outAwww! Don't tell them about the hotel!
Some things are more important than politics. I disagree with you a lot but don’t want you ill or dead!Thats the nicest you have ever been to me. Love you.
She is.I had a post deleted the other day so I'll ask in a different way. Are you saying that out of a population of 66m+ you are one of the 456 confirmed cases in the UK?
BosnianBlue
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everything banned here, lol. even sports training for kids.
Chippy_boy
Well-Known Member
That more than the declared 456 are infected is not in doubt. But beyond that, it's very difficult to predict and would need data and statistical modelling tools beyond my capabilities. You can have a stab at it by looking at how "random" outbreaks are. If they are very evenly spread throughout the UK, then that implies widespread infection in large numbers. If it's more "patchy" then very likely the numbers are fewer. A bit like tossing a coin 10 times = you might get 8 heads and 2 tails. But toss it 1,000 times and there is no way you're getting 800 and 200. It will be more like 532 - 468. 100,000 times and maybe 50,320 vs 49,680. The more cases, the more predictable the outcome.I honestly believe tens of thousands have it - if i have it (will know in 3 days apparently) and Kaz - how likely is it that of the 450 odd cases in the Uk - 2 of them post on here? Odds must be in the multi millions.
So my gut reaction is that we may have 2x, 3x, even 5x the number of cases, as yet untested. I hope so. But I doubt "tens of thousands".
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worsleyweb
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Some things are more important than politics. I disagree with you a lot but don’t want you ill or dead!
I am genuinely moved.
kaz7
Well-Known Member
I know lovely,you are right,the way it is spreading is a concern and we should really be thinking ahead a few weeks and taking measures now,it must be a difficult decision to make,the wrong move could send the econemy into freefallSorry, it wasn't a criticism in any way shape or form, just pointing out that large gatherings which can and in my opinion should be postponed, can pose major risk.
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worsleyweb
Guest
That more than the declared 456 are infected is not in doubt. But beyond that, it's very difficult to predict and would need data and statistical modelling tools beyond my capabilities. You can have a stab at it by looking at how "random" outbreaks are. If they are very evenly spread throughout the UK, then that implies widespread infection in large numbers. If it's more "patchy" then very likely the numbers are fewer. A bit like tossing a coin 10 times = you might get 8 heads and 2 tails. But toss it 1,000 times and there is no way you're getting 800 and 200. It will be more like 532 - 468. 100,000 times and maybe 50,320 vs 49,680. The more cases, the more predictable the outcome.
So my gut reaction is that we may have 2x, 3x, even 5x the number of cases, as yet untested. I hope so. But I doubt "tens of thousands".
Maybe - but tonnes of people seem to be coughing ans struggling or under the weather at the moment.
Chippy_boy
Well-Known Member
And the forums ;-)I am convincing myself that this is actually the case.
As you say it would be great news. Despite that if in the coming few days they actually announced that they had pretty good estimates to say a couple of million have already got it people would absolutely brick it. Trying to explain why this would infact be good news would probably be a difficult and painful process due to the amount of thick twats roaming the streets.
If you have been told to self isolate for two weeks then why aren’t you doing just that?
I've not been told to do that though. I posed the question to the GP, he said to me "if you feel you're fit for work, go back to work". For him to say that, he must have been pretty confident I don't have the coronavirus.
Chippy_boy
Well-Known Member
True enough. I've had cold-like symptoms for a few days... which I presume is er, a cold.Maybe - but tonnes of people seem to be coughing ans struggling or under the weather at the moment.
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