COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Terrible though the Italy figures are, there is some small ray of hope in them. The numbers of deaths is a good indicator, since it's very accurate, not open to interpretation and we're not relying on extrapolations of how many people may or may not have been infected and not tested, or anything like that. It's a cold, hard, measurable stat.

Anyway, here's the data:



If this was pure exponential growth, you'd expect to see a horizontal line, say +25% more deaths per day. That would be exponential growth. if the trend is downwards, that is good news and would seem to imply that things are slowing down... or at least not accelerating as fast as you'd expect. There's not many data points yet, but there would seem to be a declining trend. And very hard to extrapolate, but again, it might imply that sometime in the next couple of weeks or so, the Italy daily deaths may start to fall.

Is that not just because they're testing more and more people?
 
Just to confirm, I’m the fourth case in cheadle hulme.
Hope you are ok,plenty of fluids,paracetamol or similar every 4hrs,take something to help with the cough as you need to get some sleep,i know it really hurts your throat,if you can get dispersable paracetamol or similar then gargle before you swallow it
 
demographic and way of living of Northern Italy is not that different to UK. Turin/Milan is quite heavily industrial. Rest is mixture of towns and villages. It’s not all 80 year olds living in mountain villages
Italy’s population is a lot older than ours and they also tend to live in bigger numbers as a family i.e. grandmother, kids and grandchildren so three generations under one roof. Not saying that doesn’t happen here but more so there.
 
For those saying people need to be forced to stay in and not just asked to, do you think there’s actually a practical way of being able to achieve it? They could come out and threaten fines but who’s going to be enforcing it?

Police? Army personnel?

Not having a go, just wondering.

exactly what France is doing. Army being deployed tomorrow.
 
Ok, people won’t go because they’ve been told not to. Naive
Drove through Cheadle at 6.30 and pubs and restaurants empty as are the roads so maybe people around here are being sensible. Who knows how this will pan out but hopefully we will have fewer deaths by the methods being imposed at the moment. Despite draconian measures in places like Italy infections and deaths seem to be increasing far greater than here.
 
Company have finally stopped dicking about and said it’s up to us if we work from home now.

I feel they should have ordered it to be honest.

What’s the point in risking it when everyone can work from home if needed.
 
Just a reminder, after today’s presser, that we have a new thread in the Politics Subforum for discussion related to the political influence and implications of the government’s response to COVID-19:

COVID-19: Political Discussion Thread

General discussion about the government’s response within the context of what is being requested or enforced, as well as posts better explaining the guidance given will be allowed in the ‘COVID-19 — Coronavirus’ thread. However, any posts regarding politics, party stances/comments, specific criticism of officials, and the like will go in the Political Discussion Thread.

The general ‘COVID-19 — Coronavirus’ thread is meant for discussion about the outbreak, the general science behind it and official responses, our own actions in response to the pandemic, general commiserations, and other non-political topics related to the outbreak.
 
Just a reminder, after today’s presser, that we have a new thread in the Politics Subforum for discussion related to the political influence and implications of the government’s response to COVID-19:

COVID-19: Political Discussion Thread

General discussion about the government’s response within the context of what is being requested or enforced, as well as posts better explaining the guidance given will be allowed in the ‘COVID-19 — Coronavirus’ thread. However, any posts regarding politics, party stances/comments, specific criticism of officials, and the like will go in the Political Discussion Thread.

The general ‘COVID-19 — Coronavirus’ thread is meant for discussion about the outbreak, the general science behind it and official responses, our own actions in response to the pandemic, general commiserations, and other non-political topics related to the outbreak.
Noted..
 
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