COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Blimey, passed out! I assume you have family and friends nearby to help you? I missed that post last night, will try and find it. Let’s try and stay positive on this as everyone’s stress levels are through the roof already and I have not seen or heard too much on this topic which may mean that there is just a lag in getting fully recovered in a few cases. Keep posting so we know all is good with you and wishing you all the best.
Just me and neighbour but we can't see each other obviously,i was expecting a nice deep breath of air but it had the opposite effect ha,just have to laugh now,i've had a blub when it hit home how serious a position i was in
 
I fear you will pay a heavy price. Things are going to get nasty.

Stick together. Look after yourselves.

Yes I will do my utmost to see my family are as safe as can be. My parents are both vulnerable, in their 80's and my dad is in Wythenshawe hospital after having a bowel operation. The surgeon said he might be discharged tomorrow, particularly due to the coronavirus situation.
 
Finally, some sensible advice.

Good advice from a UK Consultant working with Covid19 in Italy

“What I have seen a lot of are recommendations for how to try to... avoid getting coronavirus in the first place -- good hand washing, personal hygiene and social distancing -- but what I have NOT seen a lot of is advice for what happens if you actually get it, which many of us will. So as your friendly neighborhood Nurse let me make some suggestions:

You basically just want to prepare as though you know you’re going to get a nasty respiratory bug, like bronchitis or pneumonia. You just have the foresight to know it might come your way!

Things you should actually buy ahead of time (not sure what the obsession with toilet paper is?):
Kleenex,
Paracetamol,
whatever your generic, mucus thinning cough medicine of choice is (check the label and make sure you're not doubling up on Paracetamol)
Honey and lemon can work just as well!
Vick vaporub for your chest is also a great suggestion.

If you don’t have a humidifier, that would be a good thing to buy and use in your room when you go to bed overnight. (You can also just turn the shower on hot and sit in the bathroom breathing in the steam).

If you have a history of asthma and you have a prescription inhaler, make sure the one you have isn’t expired and refill it/get a new one if necessary.

This is also a good time to meal prep: make a big batch of your favorite soup to freeze and have on hand.

Stock up on whatever your favorite clear fluids are to drink - though tap water is fine you may appreciate some variety!

For symptom management and a fever over 38°c, take Paracetamol rather than Ibuprofen.

Hydrate (drink!) hydrate, hydrate!
Rest lots. You should not be leaving your house! Even if you are feeling better you may will still be infectious for fourteen days and older people and those with existing health conditions should be avoided!
Ask friends and family to leave supplies outside to avoid contact.

You DO NOT NEED TO GO TO THE HOSPITAL unless you are having trouble breathing or your fever is very high (over 39°C) and unmanaged with meds. 90% of healthy adult cases thus far have been managed at home with basic rest/hydration/over-the-counter meds.

If you are worried or in distress or feel your symptoms are getting worse, ring 111 and they will advise if you need to go to hospital. The hospital beds will be used for people who actively need oxygen/breathing treatments/IV fluids.

If you have a pre-existing lung condition (COPD, emphysema, lung cancer) or are on immunosuppressants, now is a great time to talk to your Doctor or specialist about what they would like you to do if you get sick.

One major relief to you parents is that kids do VERY well with coronavirus— they usually bounce back in a few days (but they will still be infectious), Just use pediatric dosing .

Be calm and prepare rationally and everything will be fine. Share this as it's great advice!"
 
China are fucking liars pal.
They maybe but I have no doubt that their infection in Wuhan is over for the moment and that nationally it is for the moment under control

See Italy. There is no way you could hide the scale of those effects.

You should also consider that China sequenced the virus within days and gave that sequence to the world. Consider the consequences had they not. Testing regimes would be way further behind and importantly vaccine development would be way behind too.

Chinese virus? he used that again today. Someone should ask Trump where Spanish flu came from.
 
Analysis of Italian epidemic growth factor.

No of New cases/No of previous days cases using worldometer as source data

It wobbles all over the place as real data does but encouragingly in the last few days it is heading towards 1. There is a danger in looking for positives in data. In truth I could see the growth in new cases dipping a little and sort to quantify it. I'll look again tomorrow

18th March 2020, 4207/3536 = 1.19
19th March 2020, 5322/4207 = 1.26
20th March 2020, 5986/5322 = 1.12
21st March 2020, 6557/5986 = 1.10
Please let this be a genuine trend. Everyone needs the boost.
 
It remains to be seen if the daily number of tested is consistent.
yes. I just came back to edit my post to say the same thing. You are spot on. Something like that could twist the results.

This is the type of analysis we need rather than the atories the BBC pumps out about deaths. it might be shocking, and important but I would like to know how close the European epidemics are to turning. I think they are close.
 
They maybe but I have no doubt that their infection in Wuhan is over for the moment and that nationally it is for the moment under control

See Italy. There is no way you could hide the scale of those effects.

You should also consider that China sequenced the virus within days and gave that sequence to the world. Consider the consequences had they not. Testing regimes would be way further behind and importantly vaccine development would be way behind too.

Chinese virus? he used that again today. Someone should ask Trump where Spanish flu came from.

That's a bad question, such a negative question. You really are a very bad poster. Very baaad...
 
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