COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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The Italy numbers are awful

a minimum of 600 people are dying a day, possibly for the next 4 months.

it shows that numbers wise it might go down one day and then rapidly up the next
I doubt that mate. They’ve been in lockdown for a couple of weeks now. You would hope this next week would at least see a leveling out but preferably a reduction. It was going the right way the past couple of days so we’ll have to see what the rest of the week shows.
 
This “two metres” message is futile! We should be saying double figures and it will stamp more meaning on it.

“Stay twelve metres away from other people”.

Two metres makes it sound like a small threat and the dullards of society will not care. They’d think if they can be as close as two metres from someone “it can’t be that bad”!

Plus some of them might not be very good at maths and have no idea what 2 metres is anyway!
 


So it turns out that before Mike Ashley was dragged kicking and screaming to close his doors, he hiked prices on the 'essential' exercise equipment by a significant amount.

It's the staff I'll feel for but he hasn't even got them on proper contracts.

I hope he struggles when we get out of this.

I hope he goes bankrupt, he’s a proper ****!
 
Maybe you’d be good enough to devise a giant spreadsheet complete with complex algorithms, scoring every conceivable eventuality and setting them into rank order. Then, in column AZ, you can comment on how to implement your plan.

While you’re amusing yourself, the government can get on with trying to manage a fast-changing emergency.
By their being unclear about risky things like going to work in London but clear about something not very risky (frankly of negligible risk relative to the worker issue). They've just said anyone can go to work so long as you stay 2m apart!
 
Because when they announced their lockdown, people dispersed all over the place (just like us), they still continued and still continue to go out and about in crowds (just like us), they have the second largest elderly population in the world (they are 23%, UK is 18% so not far behind), they have families of different generations living together, somehow it seems to have got into and spread through care homes (we have a lot of care homes), they kiss to say hello to each other, their population have not been wearing masks and gloves like S.Koreans have (just like us)...

We will follow Italy’s trend and will have deaths like they have!

They have been in a form of lockdown for a couple of weeks. It wasn’t quite as strong as the one in places like China but they did close schools and bars, cinemas and gatherings etc. It’s been very different to the UK the past couple of weeks but not as stringent as they could have been.
 
Just been to my garage and found two masks, so when I have to pop out tomorrow to get the missus medicine I will be wearing one. It's going to feel odd and i will get some odd looks. But I think it's the right thing to do.
I tried it in Sainsburys last week. Nobody seemed bothered. Despite the abuse over my rational attitude to risks I've personally been far more cautious than most.
 
They have been in a form of lockdown for a couple of weeks. It wasn’t quite as strong as the one in places like China but they did close schools and bars, cinemas and gatherings etc. It’s been very different to the UK the past couple of weeks but not as stringent as they could have been.
There was a video from Naples at the weekend where a number of people were all out and about at markets and through the streets.
(I can’t find the video)
 
Why are Italy having it so bad
Because they were one of the first European countries to be infected so they are ahead of other countries. That's the main reason. We will be where they are soon.

Everything you see is a smooth curve, which is just translated by a horizontal displacement between various countries according to time. So what you see in Italy now you will see in England soon.

There is one proviso. In the equation that describes the curve there is a factor relating to the transmission rate.

That can be lowered by two main ways: testing to weed out the infected person from society and hence transmission and social distancing which reduces transmission.

I can't see that we have done too much different to Italy in that regard. The nations that survived put through social distancing and testing, and did it a lot more effectively than our government - partly because they were prepared by SARS. Partly though its because we evaluated the disease incorrectly and pursued the wrong strategy until it was almost too late. It's still not clear whether we are trying to suppress this completely or trying to micro manage the transmission rate.
 
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I doubt that mate. They’ve been in lockdown for a couple of weeks now. You would hope this next week would at least see a leveling out but preferably a reduction. It was going the right way the past couple of days so we’ll have to see what the rest of the week shows.

Deaths wise, I think there will be a levelling out over the next couple of weeks and then it will start to reduce. Needs the number of new infections to drop, and then the number of deaths should decrease a couple of weeks after that. Everythings on a lag.
 
Just been to my garage and found two masks, so when I have to pop out tomorrow to get the missus medicine I will be wearing one. It's going to feel odd and i will get some odd looks. But I think it's the right thing to do.
I wore a mask and gloves it on the bus to and from work all last week, went to the supermarket on Friday and Sunday in them.

I got loads of looks, a few people laughing and a few comments... I didn’t care! You’re doing the right thing wearing them.
 
Just out to get my meds,had a bright yellow washing up glove on,i got a couple of funny looks! it was quiet out though when it should of been really bad getting home time
 
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