Tim of the Oak
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 29 Dec 2012
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Tbf the Sage advice on the 13th March was that seeking to completely suppress the virus (lockdown) would lead to a 2nd peak.
This was John Edmunds from Sage in that date.
I think it’s clear that the science unfortunately got it wrong at the start of the epidemic here.
I don’t think SAGE have covered themselves in glory either (including this chap)!but what he’s saying that virtually everybody has to have resistance to the virus to eliminate the thread is probably true. Most of the expert say this approach is unrealistic unless you have a vaccine and the death toll was going to be even more horrendous by blindly seeking herd immunity.
Some of the “follow the science” stuff is really about following the WHO’s recommended procedures including test, trace and isolate. IMHO we needed a more bureaucratic and less of a maverick approach. SAGE said some of their key decision was in formatted by a lack of texting and tracing capacity so that wasn’t following “the science” from early March.