COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Strap in for the GM scoreboard today

Though it is good news for some and not for others.

Bolton 11 (up from 10) 202 over the month - 55 over past week - 31 over past 3 days Pop score 696.3 (will join 700 club this weekend)

Bury 0 (down from 7) 80 over the month - secures second spot - 29 over past week. Pop score 705.4 (Bolton on its heels)

Manchester 34 (up from 29 and new record daily number) 434 over the month - 185 over past week - another new record - 95 over past 3 days. Pop score 596.9 - has rocketed recently heading fast into the 600 club and so overtaken by a surprise candidate see below.

Oldham 19 (down from 29) 310 over the month - 135 over past week - 65 over past 3 days. Better number today but enough to tip it into the 900 club which only a handful of UK towns have got to. Pop score 900.2

Rochdale 10 (up from 7) 336 over past month (second only to much larger Manchester) - 63 over past week (half Oldham) - 28 over past 3 days. Pop score 847.3 - second worst but well behind Oldham still.

Salford 7 (down from 11) 156 over past month - 59 over past week - 29 over past 3 days. Pop score 571.1 Still lowest in GM

Stockport 7 (down from 12) 122 over past month - 63 over past week - after averaging under 20 for previous 3 weeks - 24 over past 3 days. Pop score 594.6 - clinging on to 500 club but after being behind Manchester for whole of pandemic on pop score Manchester today overtook it for the first time in 5 months. Showing more how badly Manchester is doing right now than how well Stockport currently is.

Tameside 11 (up from 8) 114 over past month - 45 over past week - 24 over past 3 days. Pop score 714.9

Trafford 11 (down from 14 and lowest in 6 days) - 77 over past week - 43 over past 3 days, enough to make it into the 600 club. Pop score 603.3

Wigan 2 (down from 5 and lowest in past week) - 70 over the month and still top in GM - 24 in past week - lowest total in GM over past week. Pop score 668.2.

Solid work as usual.

Question, and I'm probably being a bit thick. What is the pop score about? Tried Google but not getting anywhere.
 
London patients fell from 124 last Friday to 109 today. And Ventilator beds from 21 to 18 over the week.

Indeed I checked every England hospital region from last Friday to today. Everyone has seen patient numbers fall over the 7 days and every one has either got fewer on ventilators or the same.

The only exception is the south west where they have one more patient than last Friday. But that number is only 20 patients in the region - by far the lowest.
 
Nick - the Pop score (Population Score) is a govt figure that uses both the number of cases and the population of the health area.

Raw case numbers only tell you if a place is going up or down v itself over past weeks and months.

By factoring in the population level in each place too you create a score that tells you how well each place is doing relative to other towns/health areas (these are not necessarily the same thing bear in mind as just the border of a town) by smoothing out the different populations.

The case numbers will vary day to day. The pop score will always rise across the pandemic as its a fraction of the population of the location divided by the number of cases in total over the pandemic.

Otherwise saying Trafford has 1426 cases in total over the pandemic and Salford has 1453 suggests they are doing equally well or badly.

You can know that Salford added 7 today down from 11 yesterday and Trafford had 11 today down from 14 yesterday. And again it tells you only about the current situation.

But Salford is a larger health area than Trafford with more patients so the pop score factors that in and as a result at a sore of 603.3 Trafford has a higher number than Salford at 571.1 if you factor both population and case numbers into one rating
 
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