The mind plays tricks and sometimes we are all guilty of seeing what we want to see and perceiving things because we desire them. It’s why most City fans think Laporte is better than Van Dyke; and with Liverpool fans vice versa.
And in saying what I’m about to say I’m conscious that I’ll inviting a degree of ridicule, but I’ve looked at the polls, and tried to read the mood music in the US, and attempted to weigh 2016 into the calculation, and considered the likely significance of the levels of postal voting and the overall turnout (which is going to be high) and I believe that Trump is going to get soundly beaten.
Maybe not quite Walter Mondale in ‘84, but around 200 electoral college votes is my prediction.