2020 US Elections

[yankblue]

Not so sure. If trump takes Pennsylvania as well it could be trouble

true, i think it will come down to PA at this point. hopefully i am wrong

 

[aguerrrroooooooooooo]

true, i think it will come down to PA at this point. hopefully i am wrong

I've been saying for the last day or so it will be coming down to Pennsylvania and Florida

 

[City Raider]

Florida looks gone but other key states more promising

 

[greasedupdeafguy]

Republicans slight favourite in Arizona, another state Trump has to win.

 

[Corky]

888 reduced to 7/10 on biden, the rest are similar to a Lancashire 40 over odds at home before the toss, no one really has a clue so they go 8/11 and 11/10 every time.

 

[aguerrrroooooooooooo]

Trump is winning a lot of states he needed too, definitely not going to be a landslide by any stretch

 

[KCblue]

Florida was a must win for Trump. Biden winning would likely signal that he'll win. If North Carolina goes to Biden, all he needs is Wisconsin and Michigan to flip to win, so long as he holds all the states that Clinton won (which seems likely).

 

[Bigga]

NYT projecting a 67% chance for Biden to lose NC!

I thought he was 'winning' it?

 

[mike1923]

888 reduced to 7/10 on biden, the rest are similar to a Lancashire 40 over odds at home before the toss, no one really has a clue so they go 8/11 and 11/10 every time.

Forgive my ignorance (genuine statement , nor trolling) but aren’t the odds based on exit polls, which are generally unreliable?

 

[MCFC1993]

Ohio still looking very good for Biden with half the votes in.

 

[City Raider]

NYT projecting a 67% chance for Biden to lose NC!

I thought he was 'winning' it?

It’s all early Biden vote

 

[Ric]

Trump drifting again with the bookies, not that it necessarily means much.

 

[MCFC1993]

Biden has a 12% lead in Ohio after half the votes and there's still a lot of early vote to come in. Looking good for him.

 

[aguerrrroooooooooooo]

NYT projecting a 67% chance for Biden to lose NC!

I thought he was 'winning' it?

From what I've seen North Carolina looks good for Biden

 

[Corky]

Forgive my ignorance (genuine statement , nor trolling) but aren’t the odds based on exit polls, which are generally unreliable?

More variables as well, they look at the margins of the first results, expert opinion, the betting public's opinion etc, and on the Betfair Exchange Trump is drifting and now 27/20.

Edit 6/4 now so 30/20 nd the odds got 15% longer in those 2 mins.

 

[mike1923]

More variables as well, they look at the margins of the first results, expert opinion, the betting public's opinion etc, and on the Betfair Exchange Trump is drifting and now 27/20.

Edit 6/4 now so 30/20 nd the odds got 15% longer in those 2 mins.

Thanks. I’m a bit old to be suddenly taking an interest in how it works but never too late to educate yourself!

 

[Bigga]

It's confusing watching places being 'projected wins' with 1% or 2%.

Is they doing that based on exit polls?

 

[The Northern Baptist]

From NYT on Florida, Georgia and North Carolina...

''If Joe Biden wins one of these three states, he is likely to win the presidency.
If President Trump wins all three, it could be days or more before a winner is declared''

NYT currently has Trump winning these 3 with % chance of winning 95+, 84 and 73 respectively.

 

[MCFC1993]

Biden still winning Texas with 2/3's of the vote in. Probably won't last but that's a very good sign.

 

[PannickAtTheDisco]

why do they focus so much on counties when it's the overall vote per state that matters?