I have not once said it will be alright from day 1.
I have not disagreed that there will need to be a border if the UK follows through with its aim of having its own customs jurisdiction. I have even pointed out that setting up a border will only involve two major roads and a relatively small number of minor ones and that there is no history of violence to prevent infrastructure being put in place.
I have agreed that it will be difficult for some time, but where we differ is that I believe that ultimately Scotland has sufficient resources of its own to make a success of it within a single market of 450 million and I believe that it is in the EU's interests to help it along the way and not be unnecessarily obstructive. I think that directly comparing Scotland to other accession states is misleading because Scotland has been living by EU regulations for 47 years and there would not need to be the same level of transition.
We know that they have a deficit to address but that deficit is there in large part due to UK policies and the Scottish government will have more powers to change things. It won't be easy but I think they will be able to attract businesses that want an English speaking base within the EU (although they will need to avoid Glasgow if that's the case!).
Just my opinion and I'm prepared to accept I might be wrong and they could be in the shit for generations.
Most of that is a fair view point to take but one particular line I couldn’t disagree more with is Scotland’s deficit is down to Westminster’s management of it. It’s not even usually up for debate that the SNP had driven up and mismanaged Scotland’s deficit, they’ve actually done a worse job the more power they’ve been given and Scotland, per head of Population, may end up with a worse death rate for Covid than England, I saw that this week.
That’s not an attack on the Scottish people, just their government.
Regarding the border infrastructure, you’re right it won’t lead to bombs or attacks on the guards etc. but not being able to travel between the two countries freely, will course huge issues for businesses and people.
The problem with it being difficult for some time is that Scotland’s financial issues will get significantly worse and are getting worse every day, due to Covid-19 (as is happening anywhere) and they will have to take their part of the UK debt. For it then to become more difficult for a period of time whilst they transition to the EU, it’s going to be much worse.
Regarding your point about them being aligned to the EU, I don’t disagree, however even the fastest joining of the EU will take at least 3 years. I can’t see how it’ll be instant, based on what’s happened before, especially when the EU would have to bend its own rules to let them in.
The major problem is disconnect from the rest of the UK, that’s not 40+ years, that’s centuries of having all aspects of infrastructure, government, security and defence intwined with the rest of the UK.
I’ll say it as my opinion... that will be the hardest part for them.
I will just add that I do support their right to vote on it once Brexit has settled down, in a handful of years and if they vote to leave then good luck to them, I just think it’ll be a disaster.