Coronavirus (2021) thread

[cleavers]

If that's reported as part of the main testing results it will make them meaningless as a way of tracking the pandemic.

Expect that to happen then ;-)

 

[cleavers]

As a gesture of goodwill, and with things going so well here, we should send them from our stocks, and stick 2 fingers up at italy and the eu. The total amount stopped, is under 1 day (mostly) of our doses given out.

 

[PannickAtTheDisco]

As a gesture of goodwill, and with things going so well here, we should send them from our stocks, and stick 2 fingers up at italy and the eu. The total amount stopped, is under 1 day (mostly) of our doses given out.

can people like me getting a vaccine first? cheers.

 

[cleavers]

can people like me getting a vaccine first? cheers.

I've not had mine either, but I'd be willing to let Australia have a single days worth of ours to help, it's utterly pathetic from the eu.

 

[Tim of the Oak]

 

[PannickAtTheDisco]

I've not had mine either, but I'd be willing to let Australia have a single days worth of ours to help, it's utterly pathetic from the eu.

I'd rather we look after our own first.

 

[True_Blue69]

I think case numbers may instantly become unreliable as school testing comes online - LFT false positives may dominate the numbers as IIRC the fake positive rate is far higher than PCR. I wonder if PCR testing will be/is split out.

Once Avacta gets their test out there will be no false positives if their initial test results prove to be correct. Result in 5-10 mins as well and a British company to boot.

https://avacta.com/results-of-initi...eral-flow-antigen-test-with-clinical-samples/

 

[Healdplace]

England hospital data:

Another good day

Patients down 502 in the day to 9092. Was 12, 449 last Thursday.

Ventilators down 53 in the day to 1454. Was 1866 last Thursday.



UK patient numbers are the above plus 1874 = 10, 968 in UK hospitals.

And the above plus 138 on ventilators = 1592.



Regional numbers to follow.

 

[splinter]

I've not had mine either, but I'd be willing to let Australia have a single days worth of ours to help, it's utterly pathetic from the eu.

Well the EU are certainly showing their true colours now..and I'll leave it at that.

 

[tonea2003]

Another wonderful day.



We're gonna be having potentially sub 200 days on the 'big' days next week and probably even some sub 100 days on the others I reckon.

i get your gist mate, but 242 deaths is never wonderful

 

[roubaixtuesday]

Once Avacta gets their test out there will be no false positives if their initial test results prove to be correct. Result in 5-10 mins as well and a British company to boot.

https://avacta.com/results-of-initi...eral-flow-antigen-test-with-clinical-samples/

Their press release claim zero false negatives out of 26. That's a rather small sample to be claiming zero false positve rate...

 

[twosips]

i get your gist mate, but 242 deaths is never wonderful

Obviously! Its all relative though of course.

 

[Healdplace]

England hospital regions:



Total Patients down 502 to 9092 and Ventilators down 53 to 1454


Regions:

Patient // Ventilators // change in past 24 hours and v last week



East down 37 to 927 v 1344 // UP 1 to 129 v 149

London down 40 to 1821 v 2371 // down 19 to 458 v 577

Midlands down 138 to 2043 v 2776 // down 17 to 295 v 376

NE & Yorks down 108 to 1894 v 1947 // UP 3 to 202 v 232

North West down 84 to 1363 v 1830 // down 9 to 165 v 233

South East down 68 to 1116 v 1624 // down 8 to 152 v 227

South West down 27 to 378 v 610 // down 2 to 53 v 72

 

[denislawsbackheel]

Can expect that to shoot up again as LFTs are rolled out in schools - 2 tests per pupil per week, must be a million a day easily?

Purely voluntary tests that in Kent haven’t got more than 35% permission of parents to conduct?

 

[Invisible Man's Bandage]

The Telegraph reporting that the next ONS report on Tuesday may well show deaths slightly below the long term average. Even though the latest figures showed they were 18% higher the rate they are dropping will mean they should go below the mean very soon.

 

[Healdplace]

GM scoreboard:

434 - up from 347 - 48.8% of the NW total of 889 - down 34. Up from 37.6 % yesterday.


Wk to wk: 1203 v 1042 v 906 v 684 v 553 v 434 today - Slow fall week to week.
\


Manchester 83 - up from 51. Pop score up 15 to 9073. Weekly cases 542. Weekly Pop up 1 to 98. First rise here in a while but by only 2 week to week.


Wigan 60 - up from 43. Pop score up 18 to 8362. Weekly cases 394. Weekly Pop down 3 to 120.


Rochdale 55 - up from 46. Pop score up 24 to 8997. Highest rise of the day. 9000 club beckons tomorrow. Weekly cases 308. Weekly Pop up 3 to 138.


Bolton 53 - up from 35. Pop score up 19 to 8507. Weekly cases 369. Weekly Pop down 4 to 129.


Salford 38 - up from 35. Pop score up 14 to 8461. Weekly cases 276. Weekly Pop down 5 to 106.


Tameside 38- up from 33. Pop score up 17 to 7553. Weekly cases 254. Weekly Pop down 2 to 113.


Stockport 36 - up from 31. Pop score up 12 to 6718. Weekly cases 296. Weekly Pop down 10 to 101. Fifth big fall back to back in weekly Pop but still loses more overall pop score points to Trafford!


Oldham 30 - up from 28. Pop score up 12 to 9166. Weekly cases 239. Weekly Pop down 10 to 101. Like Stockport just misses going below 100 by a case or two today.


Bury 24 - down from 28. Pop score up 12 to 8615. Weekly cases 215. Weekly Pop down 12 to 112. Yet another big weekly Pop fall puts all its woes of the media stories last week behind them.


Trafford 17- equals yesterday's record low of year. Pop score up 8 to 6629. Trafford now 89 clear with best Pop across the pandemic and uncatchable with low numbers like it is getting. Weekly cases 181- lowest in GM. Weekly Pop down 4 to just 77 - best in GM since September. As are quite a few recent GM numbers.




Weekly Pop - Borough / Today / Seven days ago / Up/down by Lowest score is best - going down good/up bad

I add the Pop score across the entire pandemic too at the end per 100. This is essentially the percentage of the population in the borough who have tested positive and been recorded. So the minimum immunity acquired that way - if indeed any lasts up to a year by that route. Unrecorded cases, asymptomatic and, of course, vaccinated immunity are all on top of this base number locally.


Rochdale 138 / 170 / down 32 Testing positive 9.0%

Bolton 129 / 205 / down 76 Testing positive 8.5%

Wigan 120 / 159 / down 39 Testing positive 8.4%

Tameside 113 / 187 / down 74 Testing positive 7.6%

Bury 112 / 208 / down 96 Testing positive 8.6%

Salford 106 / 161 / down 55 Testing positive 8.5%

Stockport 101 / 184 / down 83 Testing positive 6.7%

Oldham 101 / 143 / down 42 Testing positive 9.2%

Manchester 98 / 166 / down 68 Testing positive 9.1%

Trafford 77 / 119 / down 42 Testing positive 6.6%


The big falls continue and several boroughs close to joining Trafford and Manchester with Pop scores below 100 as soon as tomorrow depending on a good day.

 

[tonea2003]

Obviously! Its all relative though of course.

of course its relative, and i did say i got your gist.

it reminded me of a time, when i was travelling with a friend, i think through the peak district and we passed a road sign that said 5 people have died on this stretch of road in the past year, and she said as we passed it "is that good"

i get all the coming down of infection rates, hospitalisations and deaths is better news, just thought the choice of word stuck a bit, that's all

 

[inbetween]

COVID is now in retreat around the world and it's clear that the vaccines are having a massive effect.

The case numbers in the US in particular are falling fast which is incredible since there hasn't been any real national lockdown and they are even removing mask mandates in some states (Texas).

The biggest one for me is just within the last month the linear scale of global cases and deaths has finally started to show cumulative reductions which has never happened in this pandemic until now.

We are on our way out of this folks.

 

[grunge]

COVID is now in retreat around the world and it's clear that the vaccines are having a massive effect.

The case numbers in the US in particular are falling fast which is incredible since there hasn't been any real national lockdown and they are even removing mask mandates in some states (Texas).

The biggest one for me is just within the last month the linear scale of global cases and deaths has finally started to show cumulative reductions which has never happened in this pandemic until now.

We are on our way out of this folks.

Not to rain on the parade as I do think we have turned a corner. Its starting to grow again in a lot of places. Europe especially. we need to not get complacent just yet.

it could just be the UK strain spreading to other countries which is causing a surge. this is the czech republic for example. and the WHO are warning its gaining tracking in Europe again




Globally there was devinatly a post winter drop thats for sure.


the US drop has levelled off a lot,

 

[inbetween]

Not to rain on the parade as I do think we have turned a corner. Its starting to grow again in a lot of places. Europe especially. we need to not get complacent just yet.

it could just be the UK strain spreading to other countries which is causing a surge. this is the czech republic for example. and the WHO are warning its gaining tracking in Europe again

View attachment 11879


Globally there was devinatly a post winter drop thats for sure.
View attachment 11880

the US drop has levelled off a lot,
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Of course it will vary country by country. Eastern Europe is probably amongst the worst places for COVID in the world right now but the trend generally is flattening or heading downwards. More critically this trend is happening in places where restrictions are more lax compared to the UK which makes no sense.

COVID doesn't work like this, COVID exponentially increases in places where transmission is made possible. The only factor acting against this must be herd immunity (very unlikely) or the vaccines.

The US for me is the best example, they have vaccinated more people than anyone else and they have the most unrestrictive society compared to anyone else. They should be seeing crazy numbers of cases but actually both cases and hospitalisations are now reducing despite no changes to society that would cause that to happen.