Coronavirus (2021) thread

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The thing is kids ARE mixing and have been since the school's shut. I look out of my window and see kids of all different age groups playing together and groups of teenagers milling about everywhere. Same with adults, plenty of visitors going in and out of other people's houses. I know it's not 300+ kids together but there is plenty of mixing.
Only mixing in small peer groups.
From Monday they will be mixing with people who live bus journeys away.
 
The testing should help too, there will inevitably be a rise in cases, we just need to keep it minimal.

Yes. The criteria was once all the vulnerable groups had been vaccinated and hospitals not overrun restrictions would be eased. Unless the virus just ends up dying off its here forever like the flu, life has to start carrying on again.
 
GM scoreboard:

373 - down from 380 - 46.5 % of the NW total of 803 - up 4. GM % down 1.1%


Wk to wk: 1038 v 968 v 807 v 578 v 516 v 373 today.



Manchester 56 - down from 72. Pop score up 10 to 9096. Weekly cases 493. Weekly Pop down 4 to 89. Uncharted territory for Manchester.

Bolton 54 - up from 32. Pop score up 19 to 8537. Biggest rise today. Weekly cases 311. Weekly Pop down 1 to 109.

Wigan 39 - down from 45. Pop score up 12 to 8388. Weekly cases 318. Weekly Pop down 10 to 97. Another borough goes sub 100.

Stockport 38 - down from 42. Pop score up 14 to 6746. Weekly cases 263. Weekly Pop down 2 to 90.

Salford 37 - down from 41. Pop score up 16 to 8477. Weekly cases 256. Weekly Pop down 1 to 99 and yet another borough now below 100.

Rochdale 36 - down from 38. Pop score up 17 to 9031. Weekly cases 269. Weekly Pop down 12 to 121.

Tameside 35 - down from 37. Pop score up 16 to 7585. Weekly cases 236. Weekly Pop down 4 to 104.

Oldham 34- up from 29. Pop score up 15 to 9193. Weekly cases 210. Weekly Pop up 3 to 89.

Bury 25 - down from 30. Pop score up 13 to 8644. Weekly cases 175. On the heels of Trafford for best weekly score. Weekly Pop down 12 to 92. Yet another sub 100 Pop Score arrives today.

Trafford 19 - up from 14. Pop score up 8 to 6642. Lowest rise today. Trafford now 104 clear with best Pop across the pandemic. Weekly cases 147 - lowest in GM. But Bury right behind. Weekly Pop down 6 to just 61 - best in GM since Summer.




Weekly Pop - Borough / Today / Seven days ago / Up/down by Lowest score is best - going down good/up bad

I add the Pop score across the entire pandemic too at the end per 100. This is essentially the percentage of the population in the borough who have tested positive and been recorded. So the minimum immunity acquired that way - if indeed any lasts up to a year by that route. Unrecorded cases, asymptomatic and, of course, vaccinated immunity are all on top of this base number locally.


Rochdale 121 / 176 / down 55 Testing positive 9.0%

Bolton 109 / 197 / down 88 Testing positive 8.5%

Tameside 104 / 172 / down 68 Testing positive 7.6%

Salford 99 / 153 / down 54 Testing positive 8.5%

Wigan 97 / 156 / down 59 Testing positive 8.4%


Bury 92 / 198 / down 106 Testing positive 8.6%

Stockport 90 / 178 / down 88 Testing positive 6.7%

Manchester 89/ 143 / down 54 Testing positive 9.1%

Oldham 89 / 141 / down 52 Testing positive 9.2%


Trafford 61 / 113 / down 52 Testing positive 6.6%


Seven of the ten boroughs now sub 100 for first time in 8 months. And the other 3 not far off joining them.

But week to week falls for everyone will be harder from here as not that far to drop and easy for a handful of case to increase not decrease a weekly Pop.
 
got the vaccine invite letter this morning so went on the website to book myself in and a 3 week wait so with the waiting time and the 3 weeks post injection i would not be protected untill the last week in April,if they have the vaccine stock i would consider this poor
 
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got the vaccine invite letter this morning so went on the website to book myself in and a 3 week wait so with the waiting time and the 3 weeks post injection i would not be protected untill the last week in April,if they have the vaccine stock i would consider this poor
I got my letter on Monday and am booked in for next Weds, I suppose it's just down to different areas moving at varying pace.
 
got the vaccine invite letter this morning so went on the website to book myself in and a 3 week wait so with the waiting time and the 3 weeks post injection i would not be protected untill the last week in April,if they have the vaccine stock i would consider this poor
I got mine today as well, but I'd been tipped the wink earlier in the week that it was sent on March 1st, I tried to book on 2nd, it wouldn't let me, so tried again yesterday, no problem this time, so booked for next Friday.
 
got the vaccine invite letter this morning so went on the website to book myself in and a 3 week wait so with the waiting time and the 3 weeks post injection i would not be protected untill the last week in April,if they have the vaccine stock i would consider this poor
Try waiting in Wales - statistics ha ha
 
If it hasn't been mentioned elsewhere, was able to book vaccine appointment via NHS website for Manchester today for over 56 + with no underlying health conditions. Bring it on
 
If I was in these Countries. I would be gutted if we had major outbreaks because a bunch of people in Kent couldn't follow the basic hands. face, space rules.
But that's not what happened. The Kent variant is simply 50% more infectious so what used to work keeping it at bay no longer does. It is now the dominant strain across most of Cental Europe except in Eastern France where the Brazilian and South African variants now dominate.
 
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Interesting map on where folks have had tge vaccine in England:
So the bame community in this country who are at higher risk of illness and death from covid don't want the vaccine. No problem, up to you. Send these vaccines to people's in less developed countries.
 
Interesting map on where folks have had the vaccine in England:
Interesting, but hard to interpret without some knowledge of demographics !

Tendring and Saxmundham, both above 50% vaccination of adults, are largely coastal retirement villages for Essex and Suffolk, while down the hill Sheffield's Cathedral & Kelham is largely modern flats for young professionals and student digs.
 
Wales data:

18 deaths - was 24 last week

152 cases - was 247 last week (lowest in months here btw)

1.4% positivity - was 2.4% last week

Weekly Pop score 46 - down from 48 yesterday - was 67 last week.

Another good set of data from Wales. Though deaths still need to fall a little more.
 
Wales vaccination update:

995, 059 first doses - 11, 640 today - was 16, 377 yesterday & 7279 last Sunday

Should pass one million first doses tomorrow out of about 3.2 million who live there. 2.6 million are over 16.

So this is about 39% of the adult population have had at least one vaccination.

They are I think the furthest ahead on this stat and seem to be having the smallest case numbers too.

176, 054 second doses - 7891 today - was 13, 344 yesterday & 7355 last Sunday
 
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England Regional Pop Scores update:

Region // 1 Mar Weekly Pop (latest finalised date) // 7 days before // Change


Highest score is 'worst' in Pop Scores - just as in the GM table I do each evening on same basis as this.


Yorkshire and Humber 111 // 151 // Down 40 - 27%

East Midlands 111 // 164 // Down 53 - 33%

North East 96 // 136 // Down 40 - 30%

North West 96 // 146 // Down 50 - 35%

West Midlands 95 // 152 // Down 57 - 37%

East 61 // 91 // Down 30 - 32%

London 50 // 78 // Down 28 - 36%

South East 48 // 77 // Down 29 - 38%

South West 40 // 66 // Down 26 - 39%



As you can see huge drops in all regions and close to everywhere in England going below 100. In past few days North West has dropped faster than all but the West Midlands outside the southern regions.

Though recall this is 6 day old data and things are still dropping in the NW but more slowly in recent days.

In Greater Manchester only Rochdale at 121 has a higher weekly Pop than all of the above regions.

Bolton (109) and Tameside (101) are between second and third on the table.

Salford (99) and Wigan (97) are just above the NW average.

The other 5 boroughs are below the NW average as of last night:

Bury (92), Stockport (90), Manchester and Oldham (89) below all but the southern regions

And Trafford at 61 level with the highest of the southern regions (East).
 
Another note on that table above. With Wales at 46 Weekly Pop and I believe both Scotland and N Ireland sub 100 too - though they do not publish their number daily - when the two remaining England regions fall below 100 as looks imminent that will be UK wide the lowest I recall seeing the numbers everywhere in every region of the UK.

A Pop under 100 used to be a sign you were doing really well. Now it is about to become universal.

A big change over the past 2 months as in early January those southern regions were around 1000.
 
The Times has a story today (behind pay wall) that every case of a sports professional in a study of football, rugby NFL and others - where players have tested positive - ALL have been traced to a contact indoors. None from playing or training outside.
 
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