Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Or is the beginning of the end?... I for one won’t be risking going to the pub for a while. I think the government have decided to let the ‘virus rip’ now that the vulnerable have had two doses. As a side note..,,, I wonder if the consumption of curries will go down ?
 
GM Weekly Pop Data after today:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.



Bolton 216 / 95 / UP 121 Testing positive 9.4%

Rochdale 50 / 35 / UP 15 Testing positive 9.7%

Manchester 42 / 35 / UP 7 Testing positive 9.7%

Tameside 34 / 20 UP 14 Testing positive 8.2

Stockport 32 / 26 / UP 6 Testing positive 7.2%

Wigan 32 / 24 / UP 8 Testing positive 8.9%

Salford 30 / 36 / DOWN 6 Testing positive 9.1%

Trafford 29 / 42 / DOWN 13 Testing positive 7.1 %

Oldham 27 / 28 DOWN 1 Testing positive 9.8%

Bury 21 / 22 / DOWN 1 Testing positive 9.1%



Bolton still climbing miles above the rest 166 ahead of second - yet another 2021 record high weekly rise of 121. Has to stabilise soon surely.

Stockport as Zoe App predicted is still creeping up and well past its best scoring 19 three weeks ago, Edging upwards almost every day now.

Manchester has also been edging up a tad like Stockport but Rochdale at the moment the is doing slightly worse.

Wigan too has started to edge up like Stockport as it did in August when Bolton last saw a big number rise.

Oldham and Bury are top of the tree and doing well right now.

But Trafford has slowly reasserted itself to slip down the table (which is good in Pop table not bad) with Salford too doing much the same.
 
Healdplace said:
Zoe App

Predicted Cases 2780 (almost double yesterday on old system and a few hundred up on the posted numbers today)


The worst in the UK right now is Melton Mowbray in the Midlands on 259 / 5122

Newport in Wales is its only watch area. And not far off Melton levels.

And East Dunbartonshire in Scotland above all but Bolton in GM and the worst there but large swathes of Scotland are in similar sized zones to Stockport.
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The latest figures for Covid by Local Authority show the highest weekly rates in mainly industrial towns like Ilkeston, Blackburn, Selby, Bootle, Corby and Bolton, where workers will struggle to stay apart.

No idea about Melton Mowbray but it's a small area and only had 15 cases in the week ending 7th so probably just the law of low numbers.

Be interesting to see the hospital admissions data in these areas lately.
 
HOSPITAL DATA

Summary:



Another small daily fall of 14 and 3 ventilators. Another 2 down in the other 3 nations.

So very little change today.

There were 4338 in hospital in the NW in mid January at the peak - now at just 158. 6 September was the last time fewer were in hospital in the NW and 10 September last time fewer patients were on ventilators. Now 14 in NW rather than at the January peak when there was 417. These dates when last lower in the NW are still a little ahead of the UK average time table that is slipping backwards day by day towards August.


UK total:




Patients down to 1079 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 38, 169 in 114 days) :- lowest since 15 September

Ventilators down to 136 it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 3941 in 108 days) : lowest since 17 September


England only:-


ADMISSIONS:-

76 Covid admissions following 76, 80, 77, 88, 96, 76, 98 in the week before.

As you see daily Covid admission numbers in England well under 100 again.




PATIENTS:-

Patients down by 14 to 907 v 1032 last week :- lowest since 15 September

Peak was 34, 336 on 18 Jan (fall 33, 429 in 114 days)

Ventilators: Down 3 to 123 v 161 last week :- lowest since 17 September

Peak was 3736 on 24 Jan (fall 3613 in 108 days)



Regions:


Patient // Ventilators // change in past day to today and v last week


East down 1 to 66 v 90 // UP 1 to 4 v 7

London down 6 to 275 v 284 // UP 2 to 56 v 65

Midlands down 3 to 182 v 201// UP 1 to 22 v 28

NE & Yorks UP 9 to 149 v 160// Stays at 20 v 24

North West down 1 to 158 v 178 // down 1 to 14 v 24

South East down 13 to 50 v 86 // down 5 to 3 v 9

South West UP 1 to 27 v 33 // down 1 to 4 v 4
 
Leaks to media that next Monday easing will go ahead but 21 June may be delayed.
How predictable
 
ctwrd said:
Leaks to media that next Monday easing will go ahead but 21 June may be delayed.
How predictable
Click to expand...

How can they be making judgments that far in advance if it is true? When you look at Israel and hit the virus behaved there during the vaccine program it had a little spike as things opened up again but then died as the younger people had the jab. They need to stick to that date of June 21st.
 
SAGE meeting called tomorrow.

Yet again govt delay, this time to avoid Johnson's India trip being cancelled, puts us at risk.

Yet again, the delay was futile.

Yet again, the consequences might be far worse.

Groundhog day.

inews.co.uk

Scientists fear possible delay to 21 June lockdown end as India variant cases 'triple in one week'

A Sage member says it is 'possible' the final lifting of lockdown could be delayed beyond 21 June due to the threat of the highly transmissible variant
inews.co.uk inews.co.uk

[On a more positive note, I'm still optimistic June won't be delayed. We'll see. But we should never have imported so many cases while we avoided putting India on red list for political reasons]
 
Is anyone aware if anything has been mentioned about vaccine supplies/progress lately? Not that it's bad or slow, it's just not really took off in the way I was maybe led to believe it would. I know we were meant to have a rough few weeks with some supply issues but that seems a long time ago now.
 
ayrshire_blue said:
Is anyone aware if anything has been mentioned about vaccine supplies/progress lately? Not that it's bad or slow, it's just not really took off in the way I was maybe led to believe it would. I know we were meant to have a rough few weeks with some supply issues but that seems a long time ago now.
Click to expand...

they’re asking 38-40 year olds to get jabbed now. Seems we’re getting down the years pretty quick.
 
roubaixtuesday said:
SAGE meeting called tomorrow.

Yet again govt delay, this time to avoid Johnson's India trip being cancelled, puts us at risk.

Yet again, the delay was futile.

Yet again, the consequences might be far worse.

Groundhog day.

inews.co.uk

Scientists fear possible delay to 21 June lockdown end as India variant cases 'triple in one week'

A Sage member says it is 'possible' the final lifting of lockdown could be delayed beyond 21 June due to the threat of the highly transmissible variant
inews.co.uk inews.co.uk

[On a more positive note, I'm still optimistic June won't be delayed. We'll see. But we should never have imported so many cases while we avoided putting India on red list for political reasons]
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Many cases from India have come into the UK via Turkey due to cheating Covidiots. Why is that the fault of the Government?
 
BlueHammer85 said:
they’re asking 38-40 year olds to get jabbed now. Seems we’re getting down the years pretty quick.
Click to expand...

Maybe it's just up here things are seemingly stalling a bit then. Got loads of family in late 40s and none of them have heard anything about a first dose yet.

BlueAnorak said:
Many cases from India have come into the UK via Turkey due to cheating Covidiots. Why is that the fault of the Government?
Click to expand...

Shouldn't Turkey have been on the red list much earlier too at the time when it was rapidly escalating over there?
 
the Indian variant was believed to be spreading in early April (in a minimal way) and there were known community transmissions (minimal) before April 23rd at the latest.

what came after re travel and Turkey and so on was avoidable but once it's in.....
 
I think that the SAGE meeting today is the right course of action, I would be more concerned if they weren't meeting to discuss this variant and what needs to be done to keep a handle on it.
 
Weren’t we all told to expect cases to go up, but because of vaccinations they shouldn’t translate into a meaningful increase in hospitalisations? This seems to be exactly what’s happening now. So what’s the problem?

Everything suggests the vaccines work fine against the Indian variant.
 
ayrshire_blue said:
Maybe it's just up here things are seemingly stalling a bit then. Got loads of family in late 40s and none of them have heard anything about a first dose yet.



Shouldn't Turkey have been on the red list much earlier too at the time when it was rapidly escalating over there?
Click to expand...
Most people around here ,in the Borders, in their 40s have got theirs, seem to be doingabout 40-42 this week.Just looked on travellingabby,say 59% of those in their 40s done.so lower 40 sounds about right.
 
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