Coronavirus (2021) thread

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England hospital deaths (Sunday data recall so always low) 3 with 1 from the NW (in Wigan)

Last week was 3 with 0, week before 3 with 0 and week before 4 with 0.

2 of the three were aged 40 - 59 and one over 80.

All three were on Friday and Saturday.

The other 2 were one in the East (East Suffolk) and one in MIdlands (Shrewsbury)
 
Other weekend England hospital deaths were:

Saturday: - 8 with 2 from NW (Tameside and Pennine Acute 1 each) (Up from 4 previous week and 13 and 16 the weeks before)

Sunday :- 2 with 0 NW (up from 1 last Sunday - with 2 and 3 the Sundays before)
 
The last 7 day run of 5 day total numbers of deaths ascribed to the actual date of death in England hospitals reads:

1 - 2 (now 3) - 4 - 4 - 4 - 4 - 3 (Total in the 7 days 22 - now 23)

The previous 7 days was

6 - 6 - 6 - 5 - 2 - 12 (now 13) - 6 (now 7) (Total in the 7 days 43 - now 45)

Deaths STILL clearly falling
 
@Healdplace

What kind of data do we get on cases today? Get confused to buggery with all the daily changes to how they release it when we are working on weekend data.
 
Scotland data

NOTE A TECH ISSUE MEANS THIS COVERS 26 HOURS NOT 24 AND ALSO SOME CASES MAY BE HELD OVER UNTIL TOMORROW

NB: THE HOSPITAL DATA OVER THE WEEKEND IS NOT GOOD NEWS

0 deaths - was 0 last week

313 cases - was 161 last week

2,8% positive - big rise - was 1.6% last week

96 patients UP 15 since Friday - was 68 last week - a bit of a rise here

5 ventilated UP 1 since Friday - was 3 last week
 
Invisible Man's Bandage said:
Judging by the mask/no mask ratio at the game yesterday I’d say most people are ready to get on with their lives now.

Once people were in their seats I reckon 80% didn’t wear a mask (me included) and even about 50% on the concourse at HT.

A zero risk end game isn’t feasible and by June 21st there should be no reason not to lift all restrictions except possibly certain countries for travel.
Click to expand...
Doesn’t have to be exactly 21st June, for me. A week or two later is fine if they just want to nudge towards getting a good few more vaccinations in before the total lift.

But once they’ve hit that figure, then let’s get as back to normal as we can. And if you’ve not had your vaccine by then when you could have done, then more fool you.
 
Healdplace said:
The last 7 day run of 5 day total numbers of deaths ascribed to the actual date of death in England hospitals reads:

1 - 2 (now 3) - 4 - 4 - 4 - 4 - 3 (Total in the 7 days 22 - now 23)

The previous 7 days was

6 - 6 - 6 - 5 - 2 - 12 (now 13) - 6 (now 7) (Total in the 7 days 43 - now 45)

Deaths STILL clearly falling
Click to expand...
great news.
 
Northern Ireland data:

SEEM TO BE A WORLD APART STILL FALLING LOWER AND LOWER IN HOSPITAL AND CERTAINLY NOT GOING THE SAME WAY AS SCOTLAND AND ENGLAND.

0 deaths - was 1 last week

53 cases - was 82 last week

4% positivity - was 6.6% last week

617 rolling 7 day cases - was 597 Friday & 616 last week

4 Care Home outbreaks - same as Friday & last week

29 patients - DOWN 5 on Friday - was 42 last week

1 ventilated - down 1 on Friday - was 3 last week

CLOSE TO ZERO WITH COVID IN NI AS YOU CAM GET REALLY. I ASSUME NO INDIAN VARIANT THERE?

Age Ramges of those testing positive in last 7 days:

0 - 19 (222) 36.1%

20 - 39 (244) 39.5%

40 - 59 (121) 19.6%

60 - 79 (18) 2.9%

80 PLUS (12) 1.9%


Yet another fall in these demographics.

Over three quarters under 40 getting sick and uber 5% over 60 doing so = what we see in the province.
 
2479 cases - was 1979 last Monday and 2357 week before

from 1, 152, 833 pillar 1 & 2 tests - about 80 K up on last Monday.

It was 454, 377 only yesterday & 699, 206 on Saturday
 
Regionally though NW has gone UP today. By 1. At 495.

Yorkshire has fallen again and is now behind London as well as being 242 behind the NW.

London rose by even more than the NW but is still 185 behind.
 
Unfortuntely the GM data is not that good today. Bolton going down was the best thing but most other places were up quite a lot and only Bolton and Manchester actually down.

The gap between Bolton and the rest reduced a lot but the rest are going up. Much as Zoe showed.

Of course, more testing is occurring in the NW so we might expect this but for now the possibility of Bolton getting itself under control being replaced by other boroughs going up is still there.

The gap between Bolton and Manchester in past week day to day has been:

145 - 134 - 203 - 145 - 152 - 90 (yesterday), Today it is just 61 - 106 to 45.

Rochdale is at a recent high, Bury, Trafford and Wigan all up in the 20s.

Even Stockport is well up day to day and week to week on 17.

Only Tameside did well at 7 and even that is well up on 2 from last week.


Overall GM at 299 was down 10 on yesterday (when NW went up 1)

And week to week is up just 11 of the 63 that the NW rises by.

Those are good numbers BUT the big fall of Bolton drove them and the rise of other places minimised Bolton's good news impact.

As long as no other borough takes off and becomes the next Bolton we should be OK and luckily we are now on guard for that. So hopefully not likely.

But GM remains the main problem area even though Bolton had a very good day.

Could yet tip either way.
 
Sadly the hospital data is also not good and has gone up over the weekend.

Not by a huge amount is the good news and ventilated patients actually fell by 2 over the days. And is down 4 week to week. Though NW is up 2 to 20.

Patients though are up 31 over the weekend and are just 1 down on last Monday at 797.

The fall week to week is on the verge of reversing but is not quite there yet.

NW patients rose by the most today (16) of any region in recent days (21 over the weekend). At 174 it is now 22 up on last week and that was 6 up on the week before.

So NW patient numbers are clearly now rising. And this is the most by any region. Midlands up by 10 over the weekend and Yorkshire by just 1.

As yet the numbers are small but are real.

Admissions in each day have risen slightly across England but no day has yet topped 100.

The data from past 3 days (which come from 2 days earlier than that remember) are 98 - 85 - 75. But that is well up on last week's equivalent days 74 - 72 - 70 - though that increase has reduced daily as you see.

We are at a tipping point.

Daily NW admissions over the past week have been 13 - 16 - 13 - 19 - 18 - 19 - 22 - 14 - so only a slight rise on last week.

MIdlands had a similar week going 16 - 12 - 21 - 28 - 17 - 25 - 22 - 17 (though a little higher numbers here).
 
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ZOE data today shows NW up into the only occupant of the Red zone again. Significant increase.

Predicted cases in UK fell by 6 to 2313 (it was 2439 for real)

Ongoing symptomatic infections up 850 to 39, 348. This is rising daily again after months of falls.

GM looks increasingly a concern.
 
ZOE APP

NORTH WEST NUMBERS



(Predicted active cases / Estimated cases per million population locally / Both V yesterday)

BURY 1088 / 5771 V 919 / 4875 Another Rise.Bury in the highest red watch zone.


BOLTON 1211 / 4273 V 767 / 2705 - ~ Unfortunately back up a lot and in the next watch zone but below Bury.

MANCHESTER 1909 / 3501 V 1603 / 2940 - another big rise here since yesterday takes the city up a tier.

TAMESIDE 550 / 2459 V 449 / 2006 - another rise edging up.

ALL FOUR NOW IN HIGHER WATCH ZONE TIERS


Other GM Areas:-



OLDHAM 80 / 344 V 136 / 580 - happily going down here.

ROCHDALE 51 / 234 V 46 / 211 edging up today

SALFORD 53 / 209 V 54 / 216 tiny fall here

STOCKPORT 98 / 339 V 85 / 294 unfortunately edging up again after a series of falls but not yet a concern

TRAFFORD 73 / 310 V 68 / 292 - like Stockpoirt edging up today but not quite as much as Stockport.

WIGAN 125 / 387 V 109 / 335 - again like the two above edging upwards but not yet a worry.
 
Other Zoe watch places:

Stratford on Avon up again to a very high 820 / 6513 - the highest in England I think now.

Peterborough is catching it too. But still behind there and Bury.

Many other parts of Scotland now in lower tiers but nowhere other than Aberdeen very high and that has been falling slowly
 
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