Russian invasion of Ukraine

bit bored of hearing this by people sitting in comfort behind a keyboard

Putin and Russia deserve the abuse here.

We've seen this week the ineffective sanctions, the UK doing some sanctions against small Russian banks and individuals, European countries keeping certain stuff off sanctions to protect their banks and businesses trading with Russia.

There will be tough talk but they'll do relatively nothing.
 
But there is basically fuck all we can do about it with risking all out war, and the terrible consequences of how that could escalate, i.e. nuclear weapons.

The real dropped ball was the west, not spelling out exactly and clearly to Russia just how bad the economic and political consequences would be for Russia and Putin, BEFORE he invaded. We pussy-footed around and he had taken the gamble that he can get away with it, and from where I'm sitting, he's probably right.

Will we stop importing Russian oil and gas, seize all their bank accounts, cut them off from the banking system and cease all trade with them? I don't we have the political will to do it, given the economic consequences for the west.

Same happened in 38 - we allowed the Nazis to carve up the Czechs in a bid to avoid a war.

Biden has already telegraphed it in that the US won't put soldiers on the ground and, by extension, that also means the rest of NATO.

Putin isn't gambling at the threat of war, he's gambling sanctions won't bite hard enough. He already sold off Russia's dollars months ago in preparation.

That, and he likely doesn't give a shit what happens to his own people.

We must go full Tonto on economic sanctions or this won't be the last time.
 
Appreciate this might be one for the politics thread but Mike Sweeney currently has Burnham on his show. Interestingly, Burnham has said that while the Tories have taken Russian money, the left need to look at themselves too. This was in response to Sweeney saying that under Corbyn's leadership, Labour were quick to blame NATO rather than Russia for this whole situation. Burnham said he made an address to parliament some years back condemning Putin's behaviour, yet certain Labour figures wanted him to water it down. I'm no fan of Burnham but if what he says is true then it backs up what you're saying about Putin - that he's been playing everyone off against each other, and both right and left are culpable.
Everybody on both ends of every argument in the West going back a few decades, mate. Burnham is spot on.

There are many people on this website who are guilty of falling for Putin’s tactics and pushing them on a daily, if not hourly, basis. I’ve been guilty of it myself when I’ve given shit to Covid conspiracy pushers and anti-vaccers. It’s not completely their fault that they’ve fallen for misinformation online, because it’s Russia (and China, and possibly North Korea) who start spreading this misinformation in the first place and some of it is convincing.

Both ends of all arguments are always in the wrong when all they do is moan and point fingers at the other side, because they are enacting Putin’s tactics to destabilise the West, they’re Putin’s pawns.
 
In the nuclear age any maniac leader of a large nation has the balls of the world in a vice. He’ll go nuclear as soon as he’s physically opposed. What can you actually do to stop him that isn’t just sanctions? He might even threaten it if the sanctions go so far. He’ll think he has nothing to lose.
This is what genuinely worries me. Who's to say he would never start pressing nuclear buttons?

Imagine a scenario where he's facing deep unpopularity at home and fearing a domestic coup where he may get disposed, and perhaps ultimately tried and being executed (a la Saddam Hussein). Who's to say in those circumstances he might think "fuck it - may as well be hung for a sheep as a lamb" and start firing nuclear weapons.
 
We've seen this week the ineffective sanctions, the UK doing some sanctions against small Russian banks and individuals, European countries keeping certain stuff off sanctions to protect their banks and businesses trading with Russia.

There will be tough talk but they'll do relatively nothing.

I don't think we can no for sure - its very early stages and they have begun sanctions more and more sanctions/economic measures will happen against Russia and if that doesn't work, then we're looking at WW3
 
Same happened in 38 - we allowed the Nazis to carve up the Czechs in a bid to avoid a war.

Biden has already telegraphed it in that the US won't put soldiers on the ground and, by extension, that also means the rest of NATO.

Putin isn't gambling at the threat of war, he's gambling sanctions won't bite hard enough. He already sold off Russia's dollars months ago in preparation.

That, and he likely doesn't give a shit what happens to his own people.

We must go full Tonto on economic sanctions or this won't be the last time.
Agree with all of that.
 
I sort of agree, but we are assuming that his replacement would be better. No idea if that's the case, but I'd bet there is a whole generation still a bit cross about the collapse of the USSR that have similar mindsets.

Probably the case, sadly. Putin will have put all his acolytes in positions of power, but I'm not sure better the devil we know applies anymore to this despot.

We have certainly made a mess of things when the US and Western powers have previously tried to install someone in after a coup.
 
I don't think the ordinary Russian deserves any sympathy for the consequences of sanctions.

Ultimately any government or leader serves at the will of the people. Russians know that better than anyone, and if sanctions bring poverty and famine to Russia then it's people know how to stop it.

They do have my sympathy, because 'ordinary' people just want to work, provide for their families and try to enjoy life the best they can.

Putin has that country in an iron fist because of the lengths he is prepared to go with ordinary people.

Yes, history is littered with the dead bodies of those people who were brave enough to take a stand, but most people who talk about uprising and the glory of war, have never seen those horrors up close.
 
But there is basically fuck all we can do about it with risking all out war, and the terrible consequences of how that could escalate, i.e. nuclear weapons.

The real dropped ball was the west not spelling out exactly and clearly to Putin just how bad the economic and political consequences would be for Russia and Putin, BEFORE he invaded. We needed to convince him that for him PERSONALLY, it would be a very bad idea. But instead we pussy-footed around with wishy-washy half threats, and he has taken the gamble that he can get away with it, and from where I'm sitting, he's probably right.

Will we stop importing Russian oil and gas, seize all their bank accounts, cut them off from the banking system and cease all trade with them? I don't we have the political will to do it, given the economic consequences for the west.

The BBC are reporting runs on the banks in Moscow, even before the sanctions have been announced.

I do think that cutting them off from the west entirely can bring the country to its knees and force a backtrack, remember he's advertising this to the Russian public as "special military operations", not an invasion, so he has room to backtrack.
 
They do have my sympathy, because 'ordinary' people just want to work, provide for their families and try to enjoy life the best they can.

Putin has that country in an iron fist because of the lengths he is prepared to go with ordinary people.

Yes, history is littered with the dead bodies of those people who were brave enough to take a stand, but most people who talk about uprising and the glory of war, have never seen those horrors up close.

No, no, no, none of this "poor helpless 400 million russians" nonsense.

Ukrainian bodies are lying in the streets, if the Russian public don't want the consequences of that then they can stop it. Putin's bringing up pre-1917 Russian borders, the people can remind him why 1917 is the bookend for that era of history.

They are responsible for him and the actions he makes in their name.
 

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