Russian invasion of Ukraine

Not sure I understand whats your question is, but I will try to answer it from my point of view. If I went down the wrong path, hope its okay!
What matters for Russia is USA, thats who they fear. Russia dont care about the other Nato members in particular, they dont care much about the UK or France since neither of these countries is a major threat to them. USA is. Thats the big difference here, USA is a part of Nato, not EU. I dont think Russias concerns about Nato expanding to Ukraine would be even comparable to what they are now if USA wasn't a part of Nato.

Again this is just me speculating and giving my opining, not facts in any way. I am open to be hear about other ways of thinking if you want to convince me I'm wrong=)
Your speculation is spectacularly wrong and has nothing at all to do with reality.

Putin desires power - and harkens to Russia's heyday. He sees control over as much territory as possible as a stepping-stone to a re-emergent Russian relevance on the world stage.
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I've no idea where you've concocted your beliefs - but your beliefs are simply playing into Putin's hands.

NATO isn't a USA versus Russia thing. It's mostly a Europe desiring to remain free and peaceful thing. That the USA is part of NATO is simply a recognition on the part of USA that promoting democracy world-wide is a good thing and that protecting Europe from despots is in the interest of a democratic USA.

The USA - under Trump - was on the verge of failing Europe. Thank God that - under Biden - the USA is back in support of Europe, 100%.
 
just-get-it-done-mad.gif
Absolutely 0.0000% chance of that happening whilst this is going on. Funny I mentioned jingoistic posters in a reply to you previously and said I did not mean you... and then you post that GIF. How ironic.
 
Again, is it not obvious? Because we absolutely DO have a massive problem today, and in 10 years we may or may not have had a massive problem. Anyone who takes a load of shit in preference to only a chance of a load of shit, is not thinking it through.

And what do you mean we have no right to tell anyone when they can or cannot join NATO? What nonsense. NATO could decide not to allow Ukraine to join, just like the EU doesn't allow Turkey to join. And anyway, perhaps if a western delegation had said to Zelensky, "Look, we think there's a very strong possibility that you will be invaded UNLESS you make a commitment not to join NATO for 10 years", whose to say he would not have agreed.

This is not the old "appeasement factor", which you obviously put at the top as if it's something to be ashamed of. It's about understanding the others position, talking, debating and finding a compromise that - whilst not ideal for either side - is something that both sides can live with. And which is massively better than the alternative of all out war.
NATO has no intention of invading Russia. Your whole plan is based around appeasing someone who is paranoid. In the NATO era, how many times has Russia invaded foreign territory in Europe? How many times has a NATO nation invaded Russian territory?

Russia seeks power, Russia seeks land, NATO seeks peace. This is really not that hard to understand. You don't "appease" a man like Putin. You treat him like what he is, a war criminal.
 
Putin calls Macron...

It was Putin who called Macron today, according to the Elysée. The call lasted an hour and a half. Macron told Putin: "you are lying to yourself". "There was nothing that Putin said that reassured us", a source in the presidency said. France is preparing for the worst’ @TheEconomist
Preparing for the worst? Liverpool winning the league?!
 
Absolutely 0.0000% chance of that happening whilst this is going on. Funny I mentioned jingoistic posters in a reply to you previously and said I did not mean you... and then you post that GIF. How ironic.
It's more the words than the image, but hey it plays into your narrative...
 
Your speculation is spectacularly wrong and has nothing at all to do with reality.
Oh, thanks for that. We didn't realise you'd spent 50 years studying geopolitics with a particular specialization on Russia. Now we know???!!

Fuck me no-one on this forum can say for sure WTF anyone's motives are, they are all OPINIONS.
 
Please don’t make make assumptions on the way I think.
I know Ukraine (they don’t like being called The Ukraine) do not pose a threat. I know that fact because I am rational and not a state-controlled Soviet. I do also know that we in the West have sleep-walked into this situation. After the Cold War ended we took our eye off the ball and thought everything was solved. Putin and his cronies were a threat then and have been planning this for a very long time. The population have been subdued into thinking the West is the enemy. The only hope is a military coup from the inside, or, God forbid a conflict. If Putin is going to take Ukraine he will not stop there. He is deranged.
If that's how you actually think - you might have posted so previously. Agree with everything in your latest post.

Instead, you posted about manure and neighbors and why Russia might be offended - which, is apt, only because of the manure reference - your previous post was bullshit (get it?).
 
What narrative???
What the hell is jingoistic about Rambo shooting a gun in the air with the caption "just get it done!"?

How does your mind get to that stage? Its a gif to imply frustration, not warmongering jingoism, but that's as I say, your narrative to twist things.
 
Putin calls Macron...

It was Putin who called Macron today, according to the Elysée. The call lasted an hour and a half. Macron told Putin: "you are lying to yourself". "There was nothing that Putin said that reassured us", a source in the presidency said. France is preparing for the worst’ @TheEconomist

Putin on Sky News now - mad as a box of frogs, utterly detached from reality. A danger to mankind.
 


Brand opens up a great discussion here.

As it's him some will dismiss it and carry on abusing people with a different opinion to theirs in here.


This is long but it's hard to respond to a 16 minute video with brevity.


I actually watched this entire thing in the spirit of open mindedness that Russell Brand would no doubt endorse, so I'm going to take the time to just pull apart a few things. You may or may not bother taking it in, but maybe someone else will and we'll have saved another from thinking he's some sort of intellectual.

Firstly the premise of the video "WE CAN'T TALK ABOUT THIS" aka "Did NATO expansionism cause this" not the forbidden topic that Russell Brand tries to portray it as. For example, you don't need to go to some "non-mainstream" website to find this opinion like Brand has, this article was published in the guardian. It was also debated pretty freely in this thread for the first few hundred pages.

It has however been comprehensively disproven as a theory and only exists as a Kremlin propaganda line to justify the war, so while you're certainly allowed to say it, you might get judged.

Reasons it's bullshit.


1) Ukraine was no closer to joining NATO now than it was 10 years ago, in fact NATO rules actually meant Ukraine couldn't join since 2014 due to the ongoing conflict in Donbass, so Russia did not think it was going to join.

2) Russia has infact had NATO garrisons on its border since 1949, so what Brand describes as "antagonistic" is actually just how things have been for 75 years.

3)In 1975 Soviet leader Leonard Brezhnev willingly signed on to the Helsinki Accords, which stipulated every country is free to choose it's own alliances. So the USSR/Russia explicitly endorses every countries right to join NATO if they want and has done for 50 years.

4)The fable of "not 1 inch east". This quote by the US Secretary of State was made during negotiations about Germany. They were trying to come to an agreement about how to reunify Germany and Russia wanted assurances that the massive NATO forces still garrisoned in West Germany weren't going to rush to the new Eastern Border with Poland.

However this was not actually possible because NATO wouldn't have been able to defend Germany under Article 5 of NATO, so it was resolved and made no appearance in the 2-plus-4 agreement that the USSR agreed to.

5) Russia has the biggest nuclear arsenal in the world. That makes them absolutely invulnerable to attack, because (as they so often threaten) it risks nuclear apocalypse. No NATO troops on the border changes that.

So now I come onto why Brand is a fucking moron (in this video in particular.)

1) He goes on a rant about how "The West wants Ukraine to be in NATO" and "Russia wants Ukraine to be an ally" and no one ever asks the poor old Ukrainians, and isn't it always that way?

This is just incredibly ignorant. Ukrainians decided. They rebelled against the Pro-Russian government in 2014, and elected a pro-EU government, and then did it again in 2019 when Zelensky was elected. Ukrainians overwhelming want to be in the EU and NATO.

2) He several times during reading Freedland's article disregards Putins stated beliefs as Freedlands opinion, which is dishonest.

He also sums up the objective of Freedland's article as persuading us "We must support our government's actions" which is not a reasonable interpretation of an article titled "We're appalled by Putin but the west gave him the green light, the article is really clearly arguing that prior refusal to act has lead to this war.

That was weird, but what's really weird and where the lying kicks in is that he then claims this article that explicitly criticises our governments lack of action in the past as propaganda that "Asks you to support the existing power structures in your set of systems or nation".

So at this point he's not even arguing against the Freedland article, but something else.

3) He gets upset that Freedland considers democracy a good thing and a better system of government than Russia's dictatorship...

The irony in this section is that he's too ignorant to realise that the problems we've had with our democracies lately - Trump, Republican's trying to steal an election, mask protests, anti-vaxxers vs normal people, Brexit....

Half of them don't exist in Russia because Putin detains and arrests and kills those people. The others - Brexit and Trump - were funded by Russia to cause disharmony.

There's a lot of "all people are people" in this video, but at no point does Brand consider that's not true in Putin's Russia, is it?



The problem with Russell Brand is that he is so desperate to define himself as against "the man" or government, or "the mainstream" that he will elevate whatever those establishments oppose to be an equally valid point of view, and unfortunately for him it shows how out of his depth he is debating these topics, because sometimes there is actually a clear right and wrong.
 

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