Why do you think we concede so many goals from so few chances? Why do you think it takes us so many chances to score? We have the "best striker" and forwards in the league excluding Livarpool if you believe the majority of fans, pundits and professional s within the game.
It's a very regular pattern with our defence that boils down to risk vs reward. It happens a lot to us because we commit so many players forward, too many at times, when we get desperate and are trying to force it. Opponents have "easier" chances to score against us as we're wide open, there's no pressure from our defendeds. We don't get as many "easier" chances because a lot of the time we're taking a shot under heavy pressure of defenders, due to the numbers they have back to recover.
So yes the data does back up what I'm saying, it's just you choose to interpret it in a very different way than I do. You're entitled to your opinion but I personally think you're deluded or are just looking at the stats too simplistically, rather than exploring why things happen.
What we are seeing now is what we saw in 16/17. It has nothing to do with inverted wingers and lack of creativity.
Where are the data which back your point? Can you post them? Are you saying we don't create more big chances than Liverpool and Leicester?
xG models give values to any chance, from big to small. Those values are not arbitrary but based on data from thousands of football games.What yoy say is that we create many small chances which boosts our xG numbers but which does not reflect quality. But this is naive at best. Roughly speaking, the probability to score from 8 small chances and 2 big chances is the same. It's not like teams score only from big chances. And it's not like there is a team creating more big chances than City.
But but we create more chances because we take more risks! Bollocks. If you take more risks, you concede more chances. Whether you concede 8 small chances or 2 big chances doesn't matter in reality. Why do we concede more goals than Liverpool and Leicester if our xGA is comparable to theirs? Because our defenders have been poor. Kompany and Laporte were first choice for most of the run in last season. Now they are not available + Stones who has missed many weeks through injury. We are playing a 34 y.o midfielder at CB and Otamendi who has been shoking at times. Mendy/Angelino have been poor too. Zinchenko started the season in poor form as well. Cancelo is new to the league, Walker inconsistent. This is why we concede more goals than Liverpool, not because we take more risks going forward. And we have conceded only 5 goals more than Liverpool over 16 games. It's not like we concede much more goals than them.
But even if there is some truth to the opinion we commit too many players in attack, it would be different if (1) our defenders were better and didn't concede cheap goals and (2) we were more clinical. If we are not sufficiently clinical, then we will have to take risks, those risks are more significant, if our defenders are poor, etc. Pep is right, if we do better in the boxes, then those problems wouldn't exist. We went back to 16/17 in terms of our performances in both boxes. We didn't have good defenders/keeper in 16/17 and weren't sufficiently clinical. There is a reason why Pep benched Sergio when Jesus arrived. Sergio hasn't been that great this season, Jesus, Sterling, Mahrez, Bernardo have been inconsistent regarding goalscoring. We crate enough chances, but we miss too many of them compared to Liverpool (5 goals from 5 shots on target against Everton!) and Leicester/Vardy.