COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Mrs is in bed aching and has a bad headache says it feels like her head is in a vice. Had to stay off work to look after the kids, she's not been outside for a week. Hoping it is something else will have to monitor her.
 
Just checked the intensive care specialist's numbers not because I thought he was wrong but because I like messing around in excel.

When you pass flu on, you on average infect 1.3 people. They then pass it on, at this point 1.69 people have been infected.
Now he said on average with covid 19 you infect 3 people. Now this doesn't look too bad. 3 vs 1.3 does it. But when those three pass it on you have 9 infected as opposed to 1.69. Significant.
Go through 10 stages and it's ridiculous.

Flu: 14 people infected
Covid 19: 60,000 infected

Mind boggling.
Agreed but it's not as bad as infecting 3 people. The numbers of people 1 infected person passes it on to is called R0 and for COVID-19, it is estimated R0 is between 2.0 and 2.5. Of course it depends upon what social distancing is being done. You pack 1 infected person into a crowded tube train coughing their guts up and R0 is probably 10+ for that unfortunate group. Across the populations it's running at between 2.0 and 2.5. We need to get it down to less than 1.0 asap.
 
Just checked the intensive care specialist's numbers not because I thought he was wrong but because I like messing around in excel.

When you pass flu on, you on average infect 1.3 people. They then pass it on, at this point 1.69 people have been infected.
Now he said on average with covid 19 you infect 3 people. Now this doesn't look too bad. 3 vs 1.3 does it. But when those three pass it on you have 9 infected as opposed to 1.69. Significant.
Go through 10 stages and it's ridiculous.

Flu: 14 people infected
Covid 19: 60,000 infected

Mind boggling.

The C4 program The Last Leg used the grains of rice on a chessboard proverb to illustrate the numbers (except they used jelly babies). It was quite scary tbh!
 
Lots of Spain hasn’t been hit too bad but if he was in Madrid or the Basque then that is madness.

Personally all flights would be grounded and anyone that’s been on a flight should be self isolating for 14 days

Granada. For the weekend no less - what a twat.
 
Most companies don't give a shit mate. One woman here came back from Tenerife on a saturday and she was in work on the Monday... Not a thing said. It's really beginning to annoy me now.

Me too mate. People are so fucking selfish. Went to Tesco's parrs wood on Friday - one of the most depressing experiences of my life.
 
Mrs is in bed aching and has a bad headache says it feels like her head is in a vice. Had to stay off work to look after the kids, she's not been outside for a week. Hoping it is something else will have to monitor her.
Sorry to hear that pal hope things improve stay safe
 
Just been for a run the streets are dead a few dog walkers and people walking all in twos and being sensible . Completely different to yesterday

Yea because all thises knobheads that were walking around and not keeping the 2 meter gap have now gone to work to put all us that stayed in , in danger
 
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