COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Apparently it's a different strain so I think I am correct in saying that you can get as close as you like with no danger to you or others. It's best to stick to facts not scaremongering in these difficult times.
Phew that’s a relief. I presume I can get out of the car at Knowsley Safari Park in the Tiger enclosure and I’ll be ok.
 
He seemed to think we did have the capability. Just not the will. 10 million a day, all the labs in the country could do it.
Was on sky news , try to listen to him. He is highly thought of specialist.

I'm sure he's a genius in his field, but I'm sure he isn't a logistics expert either. We literally don't have anything close to that capability. A shortage of testing equipment around the world has been documented extensively. They're aiming to get, and this is according to the government a few days ago, 100k a day by the end of April. That's ages away, and i'd be surprised if they manage that. Even 100k a day would only cover 700k a week. We'd have to multiply that by just under 100 times to test the whole population every week.

I would love it to happen, but it feels scarily unrealistic. Hopefully more plausible ways out of this are mooted.
 
Stop being so negative ffs!

It's not negativity it's fucking reality.

You can't lock the entire world up for 18 months and you can't test 20x more people per week than the entire world managed in the first 3 months.

Even when the antibody tests come in, they won't be able to make 66,000,000 test kits a week.
 
Hmm, yeah, really can't see why we're not aiming for this.

All we need to do is test 66,000,000 people every week. That's only 62,000,000 more tests than the entire world had carried out by 30th March.

Yes I did realise that a leader in the field, a highly rated epidemiologist, with massive experience would be a pillock in your esteemed eyes, has he not messaged you. ?
 
Interesting from julian peto, epidemiologist. Test all population , every week, pandemic over.
He is the expert, not sure why we are not aiming for this.
Lack of: Swabs, Chemicals, Machines.
Takes a while to ramp up production and every country in the world is chasing the same goal, so it's difficult to achieve.
Germany, through Roche and others, was ahead of the game with a massive medical test production capability to start with.
Even they're months away.
 
Yes I did realise that a leader in the field, a highly rated epidemiologist, with massive experience would be a pillock in your esteemed eyes, has he not messaged you. ?

This is the problem. He's an epidemiologist, if he talks about epidemiology then I will listen to him 100%.

But he's not, he's talking about mass pharmaceutical manufacturing, and I doubt he's an expert in that, which is why he's saying things that are completely out of line with every health authority in the world.

Unfortunately I can't really assess fully what Peto has said because he's chosen to publish this strategy which would save millions of lives behind the Financial TImes paywall so very few people can read it.
 
I'm sure he's a genius in his field, but I'm sure he isn't a logistics expert either. We literally don't have anything close to that capability. A shortage of testing equipment around the world has been documented extensively. They're aiming to get, and this is according to the government a few days ago, 100k a day by the end of April. That's ages away, and i'd be surprised if they manage that. Even 100k a day would only cover 700k a week. We'd have to multiply that by just under 100 times to test the whole population every week.

I would love it to happen, but it feels scarily unrealistic. Hopefully more plausible ways out of this are mooted.

New York inoculated 6 million people in 3 days 1947. 70 years ago
 
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