COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Talking to my cousin who is a paramedic, they are moving nearly all Covid patients to the Nightingale and they’ve seen a spike two weeks after VE Day!! She says the thinking is to get everyone out now to get infected and hopefully be able to deal with them before the inevitable winter flu hits us.
 
Had my bloods done at the doctors today (They called me in I didn't make the appointment) stood outside because all the doors were locked and the bells were taken off so people didn't infect the buttons by pressing them. I scrubbed my hands with hand sanitiser that I had topped up with 99.9% IPA the second the door opened.

I was given a mask which I put on and was ushered to the toilet to wash my hands, the toilets were in a bad state and all that was there was the generic dispensing soap so I obliged obviously touching the taps dispenser and hand drier that numerous people today had touched before. When I emerged from the toilet I pulled out my high alcohol handwash and washed my hands with it again, the nurse asked me what I was doing and I explained that what the practice was doing could actually spread Covid.
 
In the meantime test numbers are high enough for stats (worldometer numbers).

In the UK 270k from 3.9m tests were positive (6.7%).
In the US 1.75m from 16m test were positive (10.9%).
Worldwide 5.8m from (very roughly) 75m test were positive (7.7%).

Shouldn't we assume in this early phase of the pandemic mostly symptomatic persons should have been tested? The chance must be quite high that we have at least hit the average infection rate.

Why should we have tested an under-average number of positive persons?

If it's true PCR tests are at least 97% accurate the true infection rate shouldn't be higher than the %-ages above, even if not welcome as a message.

No?

I'm sure someone will correct me if I'm wrong but aren't the total tests a combination of antibody tests having gotten over the virus and tests to see if the patient is still symptomatic with the virus?
 
Talking to my cousin who is a paramedic, they are moving nearly all Covid patients to the Nightingale and they’ve seen a spike two weeks after VE Day!! She says the thinking is to get everyone out now to get infected and hopefully be able to deal with them before the inevitable winter flu hits us.

Not a chance. It's been known from the start that it doesn't spread well outside due to a number of reasons. No way they would lock down for 10 weeks just to let everyone out to catch it.
 
I think that's probably because most assumed the government would actually try and stop the virus, not just give a half arsed go at it for 6 weeks and then just let everything go back to normal and pretend they'd fixed it. Hard to imagine why we wouldn't just start all getting infected again like before the lockdown, as nothing really has changed (except maybe 5% are immune and thousands are now dead)

Depends what you mean by normal? There’s no sign yet in any of the other countries that have relaxed lockdown that people are all just getting infected again.

I think Social distancing and the measures put in place before the lockdown were already starting to have an effect and the hope is that it will be enough to keep it under control as things are eased.
 
If 200,000 don't book tests what do you expect them to, go knocking on peoples front doors ?
That's one idea. Setting up mobile units was another - particularly targetting workplaces, or communities with high infection rates. The effort to be able to say we'd met a target being one thing, the actual effort required to make testing effective being quite another.
 
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