COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Marvin said:
The take-up rate from those who are at risk will be very high. The only concern at the moment should be the logistical challenge of getting the at-risk vaccinated given that many may not be very mobile and this vaccine needs to be stored carefully.
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We should have the OXford/AZ vaccine in short order to help with that issue. In the meantime, I'd hope there's no problem getting good use from the Pfizer doses available.
 
Scotland data up first as usual: Recall Wednesday like Tuesday has catch up data from the weekends in the UK. Especially with death figures as registration is less easy then.

38 deaths

931 cases - 4.5% positive. Lowest in quite a while I think.

991 patients (another big fall of 30 to go below 1000 for first time in many weeks)

And 68 Ventilators (another 2 down in what has become a steady fall).
 
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The first minister points out everyone will require two doses of the vaccine 21 to 28 days apart, so it will take until very early in the New Year to complete the first vaccine courses.

She adds that starting the vaccination programme next week is "fantastic news".

The people who will be vaccinating everyone will get the vaccine first, she explains.

The Scottish government will then follow the independent advice received from the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI).
 
Scotland 3 wks v 2 wks v last wk v today

Deaths 64 v 54 v 44 v 38 today - which represents a steady fall.

Cases 1261 v 1264 (6.8% +) v 880 (6.7% +) v 931 (4.5% +) today Also falling in positivity. Meaning number of cases found per tests done is dropping. A sign of a falling epidemic.

Patients 1235 v 1241 v 1161 v 991 today - is a really strong downward curve.

ICU ventilators 98 v 88 v 86 v 68 today - even better news as this suggests deaths falling is a real track.

After the vaccine this is more excellent news today.
 
These are the UK deaths that occurred ON the date in question over the past month. I stop at 26 November as deaths do get added over the days and weeks after but they rise relatively less after the first 5 days.

These do seem to show a pattern of plateau and perhaps now a fall. In the way the daily reported data from each of the four nations does not as that collates not just the previous 24 hours deaths but adds in many from multiple past days. So do not really track in actual time day to day as this list does.

Key: Date///Number of deaths ascribed to that date in the UK as of 1 December///Rolling UK death total

26-11-202035658,090
25-11-202041857,734
24-11-202041957,316
23-11-202041956,897
22-11-202045856,478
21-11-202042356,020
20-11-202044055,597
19-11-202045255,157
18-11-202047454,705
17-11-202043254,231
16-11-202042253,799
15-11-202044753,377
14-11-202042352,930
13-11-202043152,507
12-11-202041652,076
11-11-202038951,660
10-11-202038651,271
09-11-202047950,885
08-11-202041150,406
07-11-202038449,995
06-11-202039749,611
05-11-202037649,214
04-11-202032748,838
03-11-202035748,511
02-11-202033048,154
01-11-202035647, 824
 
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Sadly Wales is in big trouble. And seems to be getting worse. Without question the worst of the four nations.

My best friend who is really vulnerable and has asthma has been asked to go to Wales for Christmas. I am sending her this data in hopes it will change her mind about saying yes. If indeed Wales is not in full lockdown by then.

I do wonder why their fire break was such a disaster and hope them going this far backwards is not a sign of a thurd wave for the rest of the UK.
 
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