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  1. M

    Russian invasion of Ukraine

    The Russian-Ukrainian friendship treaty was signed by Yeltsin. He didn't personally sign that agreement. Trump has broken deals signed by predecessors (NAFTA, Iran Nuclear deal) but if he were to become president again and a deal needed to be made then the opposite party would make a deal. No...
  2. M

    Russian invasion of Ukraine

    You're a true patriot. That's why I wouldn't seek to temper your optimism. You may be right. But there may be a time when Ukraine does not have a choice. It may be necessary to avoid defeat or Military aid may tail off.
  3. M

    Russian invasion of Ukraine

    I don't need to conduct primary analysis. At no stage did I purport to be a military analyst or armchair general. There are plenty of sources out there that inform this view. The prevailing view among reputable western commentators is that Ukraine is holding on at best. Victory might be...
  4. M

    Russian invasion of Ukraine

    I know you genuinely believe that. You have to. But the facts tell a different story. Why would they immediately invade again? He gets to walk back and save face and claim victory. His political legacy is assured. Further conflict risks a proper war with Nato which Russia is the favourite...
  5. M

    Russian invasion of Ukraine

    So you didn't bother to read then? I don't ignore it. But ultimately it doesn't matter. Hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian fighting age men have fled the country and there isn't an increasing appetite to join up. Ukraine won't sacrifice the men for territory on the battlefield and it's more...
  6. M

    The Conservative Party

    Correct.
  7. M

    Russian invasion of Ukraine

    Isn't it interesting that you have to make personal and snide remarks. And I've not made any in your direction? My prediction is that City will win the Premier league. That's not a bold prediction. The past seven seasons makes us favourites and all the evidence points towards us getting...
  8. M

    Russian invasion of Ukraine

    You say thar as if I am placing a bold bet. It's not. It's the logical reading of the facts on the ground. The armed forces of Ukraine has had the opportunity to prove their capabilities as an effective offensive fighting force and has not shown success. Save for the negligible incursion in...
  9. M

    Russian invasion of Ukraine

    The tide is turning. Support for negotiations is increasing. The average age of Ukrainian soldiers is increasing. Are Ukrainians who left their country going home or are they going to use it as opportunity to improve their living standards in the West? Ukraine will eventually have to give up...
  10. M

    Russian invasion of Ukraine

    But so far they've consistently proved that they can't gain peace through defeating Russia and reclaiming territory either. Kursk was a bold and successful raid but it's zero sum after the losses in the East at the same time. They can exit the conflict and get rid of some of the troublesome...
  11. M

    Kamala Harris

    Are you Joseph McCarthy?
  12. M

    Russian invasion of Ukraine

    What a weird response. I was asking a question because someone appeared to make a non factual statement. Are we allowed to correct people or is the thread where truth goes to die. From my interactions with the poster in the past I don't attribute any malice or deliberate intent to mislead but...
  13. M

    Russian invasion of Ukraine

    I read your comment that the Ukraine casualties are higher. That isn't the case. Whilst it's difficult to get comprehensive and accurate stats, we do know that casualties in Gaza are higher and over a shorter period of time.
  14. M

    Russian invasion of Ukraine

    What's the citation for this? Why would it not be reported?
  15. M

    Cole Palmer

    If we'd kept him, we would have had to give him De Bruyne's or Foden's spot in the middle. Think it's a bit much to expect Pep to have the foresight to know just how well Palmer would turn out.
  16. M

    Your First Post on Bluemoon

    That wasn't Fetlocks it was another person messing about by pretending to be him.
  17. M

    Men Only

    Gay bars and bathhouses still exist don't they?
  18. M

    Middle East Conflict

    A ****. He's a neoconservative who hates Islam and spreads racist poisonous rhetoric. Very angry and spiteful speaking style. Used to regularly appear on Sunday morning programmes on the BBC such as the Big Questions (as did Anjem Choudry and Tommeh).
  19. M

    Vat on Independent school fees?

    It won't be, plenty of religious schools with places for them to take up. Reminds me of the legal argument against making tobacco products plain packaging on the basis that it infringed copyright. It was bunkem and always based on a political position rather than law. The courts can't rule a...
  20. M

    Middle East Conflict

    Iran weren't even aware of October 7th before it happened. There's a credible theory that Yahya Sinwar didn't even communicate it to the political wing of Hamas exiled in Qatar because he feared the plan would be compromised.

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