11 Points to win the League

How many points will be needed to win the league?

  • 81 - 85

    Votes: 583 66.1%
  • 76 - 80

    Votes: 247 28.0%
  • 70 - 75

    Votes: 52 5.9%

  • Total voters
    882
  • This poll will close: .

madden150

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Joined
15 Jul 2011
Messages
810
1 week is a long time in football. Nothing is done yet. We are looking good but 1 game at a time and just see what happens.

Utd led by 8 points towards the end of the 2011/12 (albeit I think we had a game in hand) and dropped points against Wigan, Everton and us.
 

Chi-town blues

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Joined
5 May 2012
Messages
18,069
1 week is a long time in football. Nothing is done yet. We are looking good but 1 game at a time and just see what happens.

Utd led by 8 points towards the end of the 2011/12 (albeit I think we had a game in hand) and dropped points against Wigan, Everton and us.
Yup city fans know first hand its not over till it’s over but chewing gum whisky nose lost 8 points lead and what makes you think squeezed lemon can over take 12 points gap?
Look at all these raggy cunts and tell me who is willing to stand up and fight ?
 

Mike45

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Joined
25 Feb 2021
Messages
91
Did some simulations based on probabilities according to the place each team is now(i can do it according to betting companies too but they do not have for all matches):

From 20000 runs of the championship(i.e 20000 championships from now on), Manchester City won 19729 and lost 271, i.e won 98.65 % of them.
Average points of 1st place were 85.8 while for 2nd place 73.0


Assuming the upcoming ManCity - Utd ends in a United win, results are:
From 20000 runs of the championship Manchester City won 19696 and lost 304, i.e won 98.48 % of them.
Average points of 1st place were 84.3 while for 2nd place 73.7


(I did have inside though the home team small bias/advantage, but in the COVID19 world right now this is eliminated so if i remove it then points for 1st and 2nd place will go up i guess)
 
Last edited:

madden150

Well-Known Member
Joined
15 Jul 2011
Messages
810
Yup city fans know first hand its not over till it’s over but chewing gum whisky nose lost 8 points lead and what makes you think squeezed lemon can over take 12 points gap?
Look at all these raggy cunts and tell me who is willing to stand up and fight ?

It's City. We could 5 mins away from a league Title and I'd still be worried. lol
 

Chi-town blues

Well-Known Member
Joined
5 May 2012
Messages
18,069
Did some simulations based on probabilities according to the place each team is now(i can do it according to betting companies too but they do not have for all matches):

From 20000 runs of the championship(i.e 20000 championships from now on), Manchester City won 19729 and lost 271, i.e won 98.65 % of them.
Average points of 1st place were 85.8 while for 2nd place 73.0


Assuming the upcoming ManCity - Utd ends in a United win, results are:
From 20000 runs of the championship Manchester City won 19696 and lost 304, i.e won 98.48 % of them.
Average points of 1st place were 84.3 while for 2nd place 73.7
 

Paladin

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Joined
10 Jan 2009
Messages
4,407
Location
Cheshire
It's City. We could 5 mins away from a league Title and I'd still be worried. lol
Haha. I was nervous for the entire run in two years ago, when we won our last 14. Only when we were 3-1 up at Brighton could I relax a little.

During the Centurions season, even though we had won the league, I was nervous for the 100 points. In typical City fashion, they kept us all on tenterhooks right up to the last minute. I preferred this one though, and will be happy when we are mathematically certain to win the league.
 

feedmpenzaandhewillscore

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Joined
2 Apr 2012
Messages
6,140
Location
Front of the kippax chomping on a wagon wheel
Haha. I was nervous for the entire run in two years ago, when we won our last 14. Only when we were 3-1 up at Brighton could I relax a little.

During the Centurions season, even though we had won the league, I was nervous for the 100 points. In typical City fashion, they kept us all on tenterhooks right up to the last minute. I preferred this one though, and will be happy when we are mathematically certain to win the league.

Thats was torture that run in knowing we were walking a tight rope and any slip up could let those dippers back in. I thought we’d slipped up after an ordinary first half at old Trafford in the derby then we came out the second half and destroyed them. More on the same Sunday please.
 

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