Yes, its am assumption. Just like yours that we need more strikers. Neither is a fact, both are assumptions, so its redundant pointing that out.
As for your " point on Dzeko and Negredo" still standing? Well, only if you pretend to be oblivious to the point being made.
Here is the point, a young striker and Speedy attacking midfielder are more likely to be just as productive in a system they are already comfortable in, as an average or good striker who is coming in cold halfway thru the season.
That in a nutshell was the point. But if you want to know how Dzeko is truly relevant to this discussion, check how many goals he scored after joining us in January of 2011 - 6 goals. But I'm sure you already knew that.
But seeing as that supports my position that bringing in a new backup is unlikely to be more productive than using what we have on the bench l.E. Kelechi and Sterling, you underplayed it.
So here is the real question here, do you think Kelechi and Sterling can muster 6 to 8 goals between them over the next 6 months just like Dzeko did when he came in cold in January or like Bony did when he came incold last January?
Our history of buying backup strikers in January has shown to bring us no serious value towards the rest of the season that Kelechi and Sterling can't cover.
That is the point!!!
I'm not limiting it to January, Bony's going nowhere because there's nobody to bring in. Add I'll add I'd rather we sold him as he's a square peg in a round hole.
If you wish to talk about history, my assumption that we would benefit from the option of a recognized striker rather than putting a winger up front, again our recent honours would support that. There's more evidence of success for our "style of play" with a striker up front, or a striker replacing a striker, than when we stuck Jimmy up front; swimming in medals that season weren't we.
Your points on Bony and Dzeko's initial spells are redundant as you are limiting this to movement NOW. For whatever odd reason, you decided that, I haver not underplayed anything. What about Negredo's first 6 months? He scored 20 did he not by this stage of the season, are you underplaying that?
Your assumptions, again which holds considerably less validity and evidence is all predicated on right now. When in reality the likelihood of being able to bring in a quality striker, not cup tied and wouldn't cost the moon is non existent in January hence why I have never set a time frame on when we would need a replacement. I don't know where you got that exact presumption.
Arsenal have been in dire need of a striker for ages, someone who'll put the ball in the net. If they had more invested in that department it's almost unfathomable that they would not have a league title the last 10 years.
Chelsea have suffered this season by putting all their eggs in Costa's basket. They've stuck Hazard up front with your model and done fuck all.
United with Rooney, they sold RVP and brought no one in to address the goals they'd be missing. Rooney plays shite and they're shite, they've began to address that with Martial. Depay up front in your model would be shite, they'd tell you that.
Liverpool didn't replace Suarez, Sturridge is a crock so they went and got Benteke this season and that's still not enough. Lallana up front etc would do fuck all.
Everyone's a smart arse with their niches and ideas on football until it's put into practice. Like Fernando, like Garcia, like Mangala. We should be impenetrable at this point going off everyone's starting XI's and thoughts on how those players would do and the team.
EDIT: To address your last post, again your limiting it to January so....
What have we won without a sustained lack of a striker's presence? A handful of games doesn't reel in the honours.