Tim of the Oak
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 29 Dec 2012
- Messages
- 18,780
This doc explains in one tweet, how the NHS is recovering but we are not in a place to rush reopening everything
Chris Witty this morning reiterating we are not safe yet and opening yet again too early will be another victory for fed up over facts. I truly despair of people who cannot learn from previous mistakes. They keep me away from my family and friends by being thick fucking morons. You are right about this being a world situation. If we don't vaccinate the poorer countries new variants will keep appearing. So even the don't send money to poor countries racist cunts, should see it as an insurance policy to keep them safe. Although they are so thick they probably won't realise that.Yes, this was my point. It is a problem I do not think many are quite understanding yet with the call to open up the planet.
Not all the planet has had a Covid pandemic.
And those that have not are at much more risk of one that can then be exported all over again - unless and until they are fully vaccinated.
Normality is not coming just because we are OK.
They shouldn’t allow complete twats to ask ridiculous questions at government briefings either, doesn’t help when you get wankers saying we should be opening quicker live on tv.Chris Witty this morning reiterating we are not safe yet and opening yet again too early will be another victory for fed up over facts. I truly despair of people who cannot learn from previous mistakes. They keep me away from my family and friends by being thick fucking morons. You are right about this being a world situation. If we don't vaccinate the poorer countries new variants will keep appearing. So even the don't send money to poor countries racist cunts, should see it as an insurance policy to keep them safe. Although they are so thick they probably won't realise that.
The Zoe App does pretty well to predict trends. I couldn't see from their website how many people are participating in their Covid study, but I guess it's in the tens of thousands so quite an ask to predict a number of new infections from a fraction of a percentage of the population.Zoe App today calculates 5862 cases - it had 6242 yesterday.
It has been often around 1000 - 1500 over the total cases found later that day in the official data.
As it is based on people reporting Covid symptoms to the organisers of this app not necessarily or solely those proven yet to have Covid. Though it does record tests.
It also uses the positivity number to build its predictions - a figure that England all but ignores - though is recorded and cited by the other home nations. Positivity is posted in here all the time in the data when available as it evens out test numbers versus cases found - which is significant given how over the past weekend alone they fluctuated from under 500,000 one day to over 900,000 another. Which you do not need to be a mathematician to figure out might make a bit of difference to how many cases you find.
The Zoe App number has been falling pretty much every day for a week or two now.
This doc explains in one tweet, how the NHS is recovering but we are not in a place to rush reopening everything
Now this is what I’d mentioned before, have AZ front and center doing the PR for the vaccine. Rather than the boffins