Coronavirus (2021) thread

uweblue

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Having to stay at home for 13 months with a 15 year old with cerebral palsy, I just pray that the so called anti vaxxers look at the real facts and devastation that Covid causes ? Personally I really struggled not being allowed to go to work and my mental health and hers really suffered . I never like to judge people but I really pray that whoever can get the vaccine just go ahead and get it ? The thought of another lockdown will effect so so many people . People really need to not listen to fake news and just go for it . Then we can all hopefully just get out of this as soon as possible .
There won't be another lockdown. Personally think everyone has given up now.

Time to move on, it will never get to zero covid, think everyone accepts we will live with forever now
 

Healdplace

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Zoe App data is not good today.

They have had to create an even darker red to put Scotland and North West into. And NE and Yorkshire has now moved up into the darker pink.

Now predicting 13, 621 cases today - up 1715

And ongoing symptomatic cases up 21, 228 to 138, 930

It was a tenth of that about 5 weeks ago. This is just how fast this variant is spreading.

I guess the good news of that being it might be over faster as at this rate all those susceptible must be well on the way to having caught it in past month.

Possibly what happened in India.
 

M18CTID

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Zoe App data is not good today.

They have had to create an even darker red to put Scotland and North West into. And NE and Yorkshire has now moved up into the darker pink.

Now predicting 13, 621 cases today - up 1715

And ongoing symptomatic cases up 21, 228 to 138, 930

It was a tenth of that about 5 weeks ago. This is just how fast this variant is spreading.

I guess the good news of that being it might be over faster as at this rate all those susceptible must be well on the way to having caught it in past month.

Possibly what happened in India.
And Bolton (obviously on a much smaller scale to India)
 

Healdplace

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I am not going to update the Zoe numbers as it would take all day.

Pretty much the whole UK is now a sea of some shade of pink, dark pink or red - even a lot of Wales now sadly.

Most of the South East in a swathe from Reading, Oxford and Basingstoke across much of London to north Kent and the Thames Estuary are going pink.

And in Greater Manchester the top half boroughs are all now in dark pink with big rises showing everywhere.

The North West and North Wales is almost blanketed from Cheshire up to the Lake District and in order Salford, Manchester, Trafford, Bury and Stockport are up in high watches (over 5000). With Cheshire East and Tameside a zone below in the 3000s. Wigan and Oldham though are much lower.

As for Scotland from what was a few pockets of red to what is now a four corners of the map red spread.

These are mostly as you would expect population centres and there are large rural areas unimpacted.

But in effect where there are collections of people mixing Delta has sought them out and infected them in droves it would seem.
 
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Healdplace

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And Bolton (obviously on a much smaller scale to India)
Yes, but the worrying thing about Bolton is that it has fallen and is clearly no longer even in the top 2 or 3 in Greater Manchester let alone the NW but the case numbers are still 3 figures daily and have only been falling modestly amd slowly despite all the attention it has had.

This does not look like it will be over in a couple of weeks even in Greater Manchester let alone the UK - as GM is clearly ahead of the curve here and will likely fall when other regions are still heading the other way. And now has many boroughs still going up not down like Bolton.

How rapidly we vaccinate the younger ages in coming weeks will be a factor but not sure how deep into the Summer this will go. It was much simpler when localised to the NW. It is a long way from being that now and this is why cases have started to escalate so much recently. It no longer IS just the NW driving them up.
 
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Healdplace

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Bolton's cases in past 6 weeks:

Wk 1 (30 April - 6 May) 29 - 32 - 41 - 45 - 44 - 57 - 61

Wk 2 (7 - 13 May) 75 - 68 - 91 - 89 - 116 - 124 - 189

Wk 3 (14 - 20 May) 135 - 79 - 145 - 153 - 138 - 183 - 280

Wk 4 (21 - 27 May) 186 - 220 - 151 - 106 - 117 - 144 - 203

Wk 5 (28 May - 3 Jun) 241 - 127 - 113 - 151 - 98 - 149 - 117

Wk 6 (4 - 10 Jun) 135 - 171 - 120 - 114 - 127 - 133 - 103


So , yes, there is undeniable stability and improvement here but we need to see numbers like those in week 1 before we can really become hopeful.

Especially as Bolton is at the moment the only GM borough clearly going the right way.
 

tolmie's hairdoo

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Sadly, half the people in Manchester infirmary critical care with Covid are actually pregnant.

It's not a huge number but a doctor friend of mine says they are having to keep a close eye on the correlations.

There is a real concern even their previously blood cell/antibodies can be lessened by the new variant.
 

Healdplace

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Here is Bury's six week cases track on the same basis as Bolton above (30 April to 10 June_:

Wk 1 5 - 2 - 8 - 7 - 10 - 4 - 6

Wk 2 4 - 3 - 11 - 4 - 7 - 5 - 11

Wk 3 18 - 11 - 12 - 15 - (-3) - 13 - 28

Wk 4 20 - 20 - 9 - 24 - 14 - 23 - 33

Wk 5 45 - 33 - 49 - 39 - 42 - 39 - 55

Wk 6 64 - 58 - 68 - 59 - 50 - 83 - 68
 

Healdplace

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And Manchester:

Wk 1 37 - 19 - 28 - 14 - 47 - 39 - 25

Wk 2 (-31) - 42 - 38 - 60 - 38 - 47 - 42

Wk 3 31 - 39 - 23 - 57 - (-7) - 49 - 77

Wk 4 41 - 68 - 61 - 45 - 55 - 74 - 104

Wk 5 154 - 59 - 97 - 165 - 97 - 163 - 220

Wk 6 199 - 210 - 193 - 173 - 214 - 290 - 223
 

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