Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Sorry, I've no idea on the care home situation here but I'd be interested to know too so if I do see any data then I'll post.

I'm not convinced that the AZ is the main problem any more and it's more to do with lack of demand rather than supply which is holding us back. Life is pretty much open for loads of people, perhaps the vaccine isn't seen as worthwhile or something people are in no rush for at this stage. Better messaging and campaigns maybe help?
For all the rights and wrongs, I’m not advocating either way, but my own experience of seeing my 17 year old unvaccinated daughter with covid this week makes me question whether I would be happy letting her have the jab if it was offered.

She’s been poorly, similar to mild cold, feels tired and takes a nap couple of times a day, but no worse than when she gets tonsillitis or something of that ilk. Would I take risk of side effects of jab? Really not sure.

Can only assume that translates quite heavily to the youth.
 
Full GM details:


Total cases 2224 - UP 193 on Yesterday - from NW RISE of 253

Quite a bit over expected par of 126.


Wk to wk UP 329 when the NW ROSE by 837 . So GM doing much better here well under 50% par of 418.



BOROUGH / CASES TODAY / V YESTERDAY / V LAST WEEK



BOLTON 137 / SAME / UP 15

BURY 121 / UP 11 / UP 2

MANCHESTER 425 / UP 27 / DOWN 10

OLDHAM 259 / UP 26 / UP 45

ROCHDALE 194 / DOWN 6 / UP 64

SALFORD 241 / UP 27 / UP 61

STOCKPORT 190 / UP 22 / UP 49

TAMESIDE 179 / UP 38 / UP 40

TRAFFORD 199 / UP 11 / UP 32

WIGAN 279 / UP 37 / DOWN 31


Most up today bar Bolton (level) and Rochdale still very high.

Wigan up to its highest yet.

Bury still the best but even here up a little both day to day and week to week.

Stockport's numbers were up a lot today but again low relative to Trafford and extended by another big chunk their lead over Trafford for best overall Pop Score as Trafford had yet another worse day, One shy of 200.

Manchester up on the day but down week to week.
 
Greater Manchester

Weekly total cases:-





Bury 705, Bolton 882 , Tameside 1004, Stockport 1081 , Rochdale 1149, Trafford 1171 , Salford 1297, Oldham 1391, Wigan 1729, Manchester 2773



Bury and Bolton now only the only boroughs under four figures. Hard to recall several were in just two figures not much over a month ago.
 
Too late though, unfortunately.
The Dutch example should be of some interest to the U.K. Lifting the restrictions in one fell swoop saw cases rocket, predominantly amongst the young, and that’s a group whose vaccination uptake has slowed significantly. Circumstances are never entirely the same, of course, but we should all be receptive to learning from each other's experiences.
 
GM Weekly Pop Data after today:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.




Oldham 586 / 474 / UP 112 Testing positive 11.6%

Wigan 526 / 488 / UP 38 Testing positive 10. 9%

Rochdale 516 / 439 / UP 77 Testing positive 11.5 %

Manchester 501 / 505 / DOWN 4 Testing positive 12.0%

Salford 501 / 490 / UP 11 Testing positive 11.3%

Trafford 494 / 408 / UP 86 Testing positive 8.8%

Tameside 443 / 364 / UP 79 Testing positive 9.7%

Bury 369 / 395 / DOWN 26 Testing positive 11.0%

Stockport 369 / 302 / UP 67 Testing positive 8.7%

Bolton 307 / 286 / UP 21 Testing positive 12.0%



Oldham way up top now. With Wigan and Rochdale above Manchester who are now falling week to week fr first time in many weeks.

But five boroughs over 500 is as far as I can recall a GM first. Numbers are not getting better fast at all,

Bolton shows that and is back up to the Pop Score it last had a month ago.

Bury now level with Stockport for second best current Pop score in GM though as Stockport is going up and Bury down that is a one day thing and Bolton and Bury likely to be out ahead on their own tomorrow.

Trafford case numbers remain a lot worse than Stockport and today lost another 19 in one go on its overall Pop Score to now be 133 behind Stockport . Showing how hard Trafford has things at the moment As Stockport is well over normal levels,

Stockport up 65 now on 8720 but Trafford up by 84 - to 8853

Bolton up 48 - best of the day again - to 12, 046. Joining the 12 K club. But not on its own.

Oldham up the most today - 109 - first three figure daily Pop rise in ages in GM to 11, 639.

Manchester up 77 - now on 1, 043 . Also walking hand in hand with Bolton into the 12 K club but not quite enough to overtake Bolton as highest Pop Score in GM across the pandemic. Though a near certainty that it will do that tomorrow given the daily numbers and that the gap is just 3.

Rochdale up 87 - keeping up with the neighbour Oldham which it has matched step for step most of the pandemic - but now on 11, 542 and happily not quite as bad as Oldham though enough today to enter the 500 Weekly Pop Score gang for first time,

Salford rose by 93 - in between levels of badness of Oldham and Rochdale to 11, 312.

Bury up 63 - highest in a while - to join the 11K club on 11, 038.

Unprecedented for three of the ten boroughs to go into a 1000 club tier above on the same day but these numbers are rising so much now it may not be the last. Hopefully not.

Wigan up by 83 to reach 10, 965 and only missed by a day making it 4 in one go as will certainly join the 11K club tomorrow.


So just Stockport and Trafford - now in the UPPER 8000s - and Tameside a rung above up 79 today on 9719. At that rate they will enter the 10 K club next week.

And Trafford and Stockport reach the 9K club not long after - Trafford possibly even this weekend
 
Is it just me or have our Police force disappeared completely during COVID? Despite working from home, not seen a car/van/bobby on the beat for what feels like ages. They all got their feet up?
 
Christ, nearly a fifth of us would like a 10pm curfew permanently? So much for our famed ‘liberty of the individual’ outlook.

Mori polling for The Economist shows some Brits support anti-covid restrictions *permanently*, regardless of covid risk.

- 19% for nighttime curfews
- 26% for closing casinos and clubs
- 35% for travel quarantine
- 40% for masks
 
Christ, nearly a fifth of us would like a 10pm curfew permanently? So much for our famed ‘liberty of the individual’ outlook.

Mori polling for The Economist shows some Brits support anti-covid restrictions *permanently*, regardless of covid risk.

- 19% for nighttime curfews
- 26% for closing casinos and clubs
- 35% for travel quarantine
- 40% for masks
Most of them post on this thread :)
 
GM VACCINE UPDATE:




Latest Vaccine Update by Population Percentage for 10 GM boroughs

Borough/ First Dose / Both Doses - TODAY V YESTERDAY


BOLTON 77.0% / 58.7% V 76.9 / 58.5% Up 0.3

BURY 78.3% / 59.6% V 78.3% / 59.5% Up 0.1

MANCHESTER 61.5% / 40.2% V 61.4% / 39.9% Up 0.4

OLDHAM 73.2% / 55.5% V 73.1% / 55.3% Up 0.3

ROCHDALE 74.5% / 55.8% V 74.5% / 55.7% Up 0.1

SALFORD 68.4 % / 46.4% V 68.4% / 46.2% Up 0.2

STOCKPORT 82.8% / 63.3% V 82.7% / 63.1% Up 0.3

TAMESIDE 78.2% / 60.5% V 78.1 / 60.1% Up 0.5

TRAFFORD 80.3% / 61.6% V 80.2% / 61.2% Up 0.5

WIGAN 81.9% / 62.8% V 81.8% / 62.5% Up 0.4


Bury and Rochdale only up 0.1% did the fewest today.

Tameside and Trafford did the best going up 0.5%
 
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