COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Ons released earlier 41 dead over 11 days
The ONS death figures are based on the number of deaths registered in England and Wales where COVID-19 was mentioned on the death certificate as "deaths involving COVID-19".

The number includes all deaths, not just those in hospitals, although there is usually a delay of at least five days between a death occurring and registration.

The figures published by NHS England and Public Health Wales are for deaths only among hospital patients who have tested positive for coronavirus, but include deaths that have not yet been registered.

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavi...-host-cabinet-meeting-from-isolation-11966054

Clear as mud

A GP was on tv this morning saying the ONS count people that had covid mentioned on their death certificate but maybe not their main condition
 
So we're going to end up like Spain and Italy then... despite the head start.

Not necessarily. Italy - especially in Lombardy - got overloaded and a lot of unnecessary deaths happened because of that. ferguson and co. still think we will not go over capacity, so we should see Italy's numbers accelerate away from us. We're back to being 17 days behind them now.
 
So we're going to end up like Spain and Italy then... despite the head start.
As long as the new cases are higher than outcomes ,good or bad, then we should expect the deaths to rise, hopefully the peak won’t be as high as Italy or Spain , unfortunately deaths wont’t peak until after new cases start falling think I saw somewhere about a week- 10 days after.
Personally I think the new cases will start to drop sooner than 3 weeks about 2 but mortality rates will be about 3 before they start to fall.
 
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