COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[squirtyflower]

He is taking the piss out of me

It isn’t all about you. Regardless of how much you try to make it be.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/

Knock yourselves out.

 

[dave_blue12]

No see that's not possible.

You can't infect 1000 people who are all asymptomatic.

You know this how ?

Plus I didn't say asymptomatic. I said mild meaning they do not go to hospital..

In your imaginary 1000 mainly fit young men who contract Covid 19 there may only be a handful who are in sufficient distress go go to hospital, a further larger number self isolate and a further number feel slightly under the weather and continue as normal. Under these circumstances there will be no discernible local peak within the 18 days you quote but the virus will have been spread contributing to the peak later.

 

[Chippy_boy]

You have started using the word peak, which I didn't use. I said "spike". Because if 1000 people get infected, 19 days later, 10 die.

Which would be a massive spike.

The rest of your points are completely irrelevant to the question I asked you.

Nope, the points are not irrelevant. It is CORRECT that the incubation period varies greatly, as does the time it takes to die. It is correct that the numbers of extra infections would be lost in the noise, since the people would be all over the country. And it is YOU who has tried to change the rules of the argument by inventing this ridiculous idea of 1,000 extra infections on 1 day at 1 event 3 weeks ago when there were only 300 cases in the whole country.

You're basically just wrong, and my guess is you realise it full well but lack the stones to admit it.

 

[Chippy_boy]

You know this how ?

Plus I didn't say asymptomatic. I said mild meaning they do not go to hospital..

In your imaginary 1000 mainly fit young men who contract Covid 19 there may only be a handful who are in sufficient distress go go to hospital, a further larger number self isolate and a further number feel slightly under the weather and continue as normal. Under these circumstances there will be no discernible local peak within the 18 days you quote but the virus will have been spread contribution to the peak later.

Correct.

 

[domalino]

Nope, the points are not irrelevant. It is CORRECT that the incubation period varies greatly, as does the time it takes to die. It is correct that the numbers of extra infections would be lost in the noise, since the people would be all over the country. And it is YOU who has tried to change the rules of the argument by inventing this ridiculous idea of 1,000 extra infections on 1 day at 1 event.

You're basically just wrong, and my guess is you realise it full well but lack the stones to admit it.

I'm right.

I said 2 weeks ago we wouldn't see a spike in deaths because the epidemiologists were correct and now they've been proven correct.

 

[Gabriel]

Phone tracking is used here in Switzerland to measure how effective the social isolation is. The main telecoms networks made all their data available (anonymised they claim).

And how does that filter back to the public? Do you receive direct messages, or is it only used to monitor patterns of behaviour?

 

[domalino]

You know this how ?

Plus I didn't say asymptomatic. I said mild meaning they do not go to hospital..

In your imaginary 1000 mainly fit young men who contract Covid 19 there may only be a handful who are in sufficient distress go go to hospital, a further larger number self isolate and a further number feel slightly under the weather and continue as normal. Under these circumstances there will be no discernible local peak within the 18 days you quote but the virus will have been spread contribution to the peak later.

Because that's not how things work over large numbers. You and Chippy have a terrible understanding of statistics.

They think that about 50% might be asymptomatic based on the cruise ships. It's not possible for you to infect 1000 random people and for them to all not show symptoms.

 

[Chippy_boy]

I'm right.

I said 2 weeks ago we wouldn't see a spike in deaths because the epidemiologists were correct and now they've been proven correct.

Eh???? You've just wasted everyone's time arguing through your arse that there would be a spike? And now you're arguing there isn't one?

I'd have everyone round yours for a party tonight mate since your grasp of what's going on seems to be sub-zero.

 

[SWP's back]

Go on then. Explain right now why if you infected 1000 people on 1 day in a City with almost zero cases beforehand, there wouldn't be a spike 19 days later.

What happens 19 days later?

Is this the new Banjani and Vic?

 

[domalino]

Eh???? You've just wasted everyone's time arguing through your arse that there would be a spike? And now you're arguing there isn't one?

Now you're just making shit up.