COVID-19 — Coronavirus

Discussion in 'Off Topic' started by urban genie, 25 Jan 2020.

  1. blueparrot

    blueparrot

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    Not for what you said that one person can only infect one other person it doesn’t, that is just nonsense.The R number is irrelevant to any individuals behaviour, it’s only useful for determining government policy.
     
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  2. Boris Becker’s Backhand

    Boris Becker’s Backhand

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    But you can’t base policy on what one person may or may not do so we use an average. How’s that nonsense ? It goes without saying that one person could possibly infect hundreds but it also goes without saying that 100 people could infect nobody.
     
  3. Vic

    Vic

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    If it's not much of a problem to younger people and it's hard to catch it, why would Cummings think they were "about to be incapacitated"?
     

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  4. St.Pauli support

    St.Pauli support

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    Whatever his assumptions are based on, 5% would be an astonishing high number IMO.

    5% Britons are about 3.39m, whereas roughly 40k where tested positive early April.

    That would be a dark figure of 98.8%. Wow.
    We still don't know about true cases
    and if we have had many asymptomatics without any antibody production
    we will never know unless we would be able to detect that kind of immunogical memory.

    Anyway, seems too high for me but hopefully we get a clearer view some day.
     
  5. blueparrot

    blueparrot

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    You weren’t talking about policy when you said this


    There is a low risk, you don’t understand risk. If R is 1 for example then with all the people one encounters it is only passed to one other person ie a low risk”
     
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  6. Boris Becker’s Backhand

    Boris Becker’s Backhand

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    Ok just to clarify then I phrased that wrongly and I wholly understand that 1 is the average
     
  7. blueparrot

    blueparrot

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    We still have little idea. However look at the footballers testing positive I assume none were showing symptoms and had any idea they were carrying. Read the other day of the BBC health reporter that had the antibody test the government are buying, just to try it and was amazed to find he’d had it and had anti bodies. The big unknown is those that have had or have it asymptomatic or with mild symptoms. In April we still only really testing those hospitalised.
     
  8. Vic

    Vic

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    It is actually.

    His wife wrote that he had symptoms ("felt weird") before they travelled. They could both have been "incapacitated" on the journey. She wrote about how ill he got (worse than her) but omitted that they'd not stayed at home.
     
  9. blueparrot

    blueparrot

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    Fair enough.
     
  10. karen7

    karen7

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    Come off it chips,the police have fined a ton of people for sunbathing in the park in march/april,it is indefensible
     
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