COVID-19 — Coronavirus

True_Blue69

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2 Jun 2008
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That tweet is over a month old. also he'd have better credibility if everything he said wasn't so happy clappy. He makes statements when the evidence isn't proven just like the tweet above. Hope he is right though.
To be fair though, what has he said that has been wrong so far? You call him happy clappy but from what I've seen everything he has said has been right.
 

True_Blue69

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6% of 67 million is 4 million given the uk deaths are around 60k (you're going off the inaccurate government figures btw) it gives the mortality rate at 1.5% which is pretty much what everyone feared it would be and the same as what other countries have seen.

That 6% is a very robust number as it's will be a stratified random sample. London will be the only place with higher % and that's only at 13% (again regional level numbers are very robust as well). 20% in certain areas is lovely thought but unfortunately wrong. Ultimately there are still 63 million people left for the virus to infect and it's not choosy. It's only just started
Bet you're fun on a night out
 

kaz7

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At least the NHS weren't overwhelmed in April ;-)

Though the reality is they were, and couldn't deal with it all, so many of the NHS staff were also overwhelmed, and a good many died as a result.

The reality is that we (as a country) had no idea what we were really dealing with, and we had no idea how to treat it.

We were then hit by the worst scenario of people travelling to the worst areas in our own half term holidays, just as other countries were getting to their peak of local transmission.

So you can blame government all you like, but at the end of the day we were in a very shit position, sure there were things we could have done better (mainly in hindsight - and there still are even today), but we were pretty much fucked by the fact that many people in the southeast/london area had half term skiing breaks or holidays to spain, just as it was running amok, they all came home and went about their normal lives packing trains and tubes not knowing they were transmitting the virus, a lot of those travel for work, so took it to all corners of the country, and there it spread further.
we had time advantage to see and prepare for what was coming,we went our own way ,i was screaming about both and for the stopping of mass gatherings,no hindsight required,we literally had the WHO and Ita!y screaming at us to change course,we didnt
 

Healdplace

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12 May 2013
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Wales data - good and bad,

0 deaths. Always good news from here.

New cases double the 8 of yesterday to 15. And from significantly fewer tests today. Just 4272 instead of 6146. Jumping the % from 0.13% yesterday to just under 0.4% today.

Though still below both England and Scotland right now.

Week to week this is 3 deaths v 0 and 15 cases v 15 cases.
 
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kaz7

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Between zen and mad
I'm always massively cautious of those reports that have infection rates that hover around 6% and I too feel that the T cell scenario isn't taken into account.
Because it is not stastical!y significant yet and needs larger scale research,antibodies are the standard measurement for reaction to infection and immunity
 

Healdplace

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So the UK hospital total today is just the England one of 13.

Last two weeks it was 14 - which became 38 in all settings later.

And last week it was 8 - which became 41 after all settings were added in.
 

Healdplace

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N Ireland 8 cases today with a test % of 0.13% Better figure here than of late. It was 43 cases last Thursday and 5 times that rate.

So UK cases without England today is 70. Last Thursday it was 125,

Those 125 became 950 later when England data was added.
 

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