grunge
Well-Known Member
Show me a year where week 52 was worse than week 51 or week 1 of the following year. It has never happened in the UK or US - EVER.
Cases start to ramp up in October then hit accelerator in November and December and reach the peak about the 3rd week in January before declining. But every time week 52 is a temporary 10%-20% drop.
Why will Covid-19 be any different?
While lancs blue has shown you a graph anyways.
Show me a year that week 52 didn’t have 2 bank holidays in it? Reporting doesn’t happen on Bank holidays! Week 52 is 5 days of reporting, week 1 is going to be including those 2 extra days ( minus 1 of its own for new year), week 2 will include week 1’s extra day.
Your hypothesis is flawed because you are viewing the dip on week 52 as natural when it’s a statistic reporting blip.