When I see those stats, it would appear to
me that only full lockdowns work properly.
I agree and made that point earlier. Pandemics spread by osmosis in a densely populated small nation like the UK where travel from anywhere to anywhere is simple in hours.
Only if the nation is all following the same rules will you stop the infected areas bleeding into the unaffected ones because people will seek out somewhere with more freedom. It is human nature.
We freed up Wigan and Stockport as both were low. Trafford had the option but locally decided to say no. Trafford benefited the most as cases were exported to the places people could go to seek more relaxed rules.
They are selling the success on the tiers. But really the best results have occurred in the past few weeks. It may have started slowing earlier when local rules applied but the lockdown imo should have continued nationwide up to maybe just before Christmas. If they are intent to make Christmas in effect a free for all.
Being in tier 3 is actually going to help minimise the damage Christmas will inevitably do. I know its hard to say no because livelihoods will be saved if Christmas freedoms are afforded but it is the unseen consequence that weeks of lockdown will follow that is the worst.
As I suspect even if the NW escapes the worst because of tier 3 up to Christmas the lockdown after it will not just be down south. You can bet on that
