COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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2 Oct adds 11 = 11 after one day and the first time that a double figure number of deaths have been reorded in the previous 24 hours since mid June. 8 of those 11 from the last 24 hours died in the NW.

1 Oct adds 21 = 30 after 2 days. No second day total fot 5 days now has been below 21 and three are in the 30s. Showing the sudden acceleration of deaths this week. These were more evenly spread but another 8 were from the NW - so 16 people have died in the last 48 hours in just the NW.

30 Sep adds 5 = 39 after three days. This is the highest total at 3 days since 24 June.

29 Sep adds 2 = 32 after four days. Six of the last 10 four day totals have been in the 20s or 30s and none below 14. In the ten days before that none were above 15 and four of them were in single figures. And the 10 days before that All were 10 or below (and only one not single figures).

28 Sep adds 0 = 36 after five days.

The other two deaths were from early August.
 
It’s not ridiculous at all really.
The 28 day cut off is specifically to bring the definitions into line with the other UK countries and provide a much more accurate, and more responsive measure of the immediate impact of COVID on deaths. This allows a much better understanding about whether deaths related to COVID are trending up or down which should inform policy decisions more accurately.
Many die after 28 days as already discussed
 
Was tested on Thursday morning, after feeling a bit rough, test came back positive on Friday evening. Impressed with the drive-in test centre flow now, much better than when I had a previous tests months ago. I am fortunate that I’ve only ‘mild symptoms’, and will now be spending this rainy week locked in trying not to go stir crazy.
 
It gets worse.

Of Scottish infections today

90 are in people aged 65+
42 are in children under 15
128 in young adults 15-19
504 in ages 20-64


That is indeed very worrying added to all the other data. First big shift in that number here up to 12% (almost double recent days) and might explain why deaths are starting to climb in Scotland too and ventilator patients accelerating faster than they were a week ago.

Todays numbers are certainly in nobody's reality good. But let us recall these are mostly the consequence of things that happened maybe a month or more ago before we did anything much to try to stop them.

Whether we have done enough now remains to be seen. But Boris already talking today of releasing the restrictions in places like GM when numbers improve.

I hope he means caution not hasty complacency if things start to look good one day. As they are in the GM data. But ending them too soon might be as bad as never starting them.
 
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Was tested on Thursday morning, after feeling a bit rough, test came back positive on Friday evening. Impressed with the drive-in test centre flow now, much better than when I had a previous tests months ago. I am fortunate that I’ve only ‘mild symptoms’, and will now be spending this rainy week locked in trying not to go stir crazy.
Glad you are not too badly affected
 
Many die after 28 days as already discussed
That is offset to some extent by people who die within 28 days of a positive test when Covid isn’t the primary cause of death.
Ultimately though, our figures are worse than nearly every comparable country, and the responsibility of that has to be with the leadership.
 
That is offset to some extent by people who die within 28 days of a positive test when Covid isn’t the primary cause of death.
Ultimately though, our figures are worse than nearly every comparable country, and the responsibility of that has to be with the leadership.
As discussed before the death certificate has different parts, secondary cause or a link , like me if i died of asthma given to me from covid , it would make the covid link and it is a notifiable disease so has to be on there

Having a cut off when we know what we now know and dropping thousands off the number stinks of damage limitation of the figures to save face and look less incompetent
 
Glad you are not too badly affected

Me too and despite the doom and gloom of the data the reality is 99% of anyone catching this will not be figuring in any statistics but the cases number that is very clearly with this virulent disease way higher than anyone has been estimating and quite possibly half the country have had it by now. Or soon will have.

All the scary stats - though real for a few unfortunate - will then be lessened in context of these greater numbers.

Not such that we should just give up trying and go back to the 'old normal' - because this is a nasty bug and can have longer term consequences as Kaz can attest.

But the risk is clearly nowhere near the level it appeared to be when this first started. And if we learn to protect the vulnerable better and let those who want to risk infection do so by agreeing to protect them too then we might find a path out of this sooner rather than later.
 
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England


Me too and despite the doom and gloom of the data the reality is 99% of anyone catching this will not be figuring in any statistics but the cases number that is very clearly with this virulent disease way higher than anyone has been estimating and quite possibly half the country have had it by now. Or soon will have.

All the scary stats - though real for a few unfortunate - will then be lessened in context of these greater numbers.

Not such that we should just give up trying and go back to the 'old normal' - because this is a nasty bug and can have longer term consequences as Kaz can attest.

But the risk is clearly nowhere near the level it appeared to be when this first started. And if we learn to protect the vulnerable better and let those who want to risk infection do so by agreeing to protect them too then we might find a path out of this sooner rather than later.
Hospital admissions are quite a good tracker and actually make more sense than numbers in hospital. I only say that because there’s some research from UCL that has found patients admitted with Covid AND flu (or other respiratory illnesses) will, on average, be spending twice as long in hospital as those admitted ’just’ with Covid. If you’ve not been socially distant enough to catch coronavirus, then there must be a good chance you’ll catch something else as well. That being the case that will almost certainly increase the numbers of patients in hospital, whilst not necessarily reflecting the numbers being admitted to hospital.
 
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