I think at the moment it is 50/50. Balague seems to think that Madrid have abandoned the race due to the astronomical fees.
I do think Pogba is really pushing for the Madrid move, but his agent Mino Raiola is really pushing for Man Utd due to the 25 million he will earn from this deal. I really do feel that agents ruin the game, they aren't putting their clients best interests at heart, they are putti their best interests at heart. It isn't Mino Raiola that will be living in Manchester and playing for United in the europa league, that is Pogba. He needs to make a decision for himself, this is a career defining move and to be perfectly honest, will he ever win a champions league with Man Utd? I doubt it. Bale who turned down Utd for Madrid has won 2. Proof is in the pudding.
If Utd do get Pogba though, it will be a fantastic signing and will spell danger for city and the rest of the premier league. The day we finished in 4th place was the day we all laughed out loud, but I think in a way Utd finished 5th could prove to be a blessing in disguise. They aren't resting on their laurels in the market, they are takig very aggressive approach and are paying whatever it takes to get back up to the top again. I feel that because we have champions league, we are resting on our laurels and thinking that because we have pep and champions league we don't have to pay over the odds. Had we of finished in 5th place, we might have done the same and whipped out the chequebook and been more ruthless because we don't have anything else to offer for players.
The fact is, if you don't pay the big bucks nowadays, you won't get the player. Real Madrid with all their history and prestige have had to overpay for years, it is no different with any other side. I wish City had the same drive in the market as our rivals are showing because if we did, we would absolutely PISS the league.