Russian invasion of Ukraine

[Keith Moncrieff]

This is an incredible amount of soldiers.




The Russians are outnumbered about 2:1 now and these soldiers are experienced and professional, not conscripts on training missions who don’t want to be there.

 

[roubaixtuesday]

Very depressing analysis of potential endpoints.

Basically either the Russians subjugate Ukraine or there's a nuclear apocalypse.

No idea how realistic any of this is, no expertise to judge how likely. Seems a bit defeatist given how well Ukraine army *seems* to be doing?

I’ve studied all the possible trajectories of this war. None are good | Christopher S Chivvis

There are two likely paths: continued escalation, potentially across the nuclear threshold, or a bitter peace imposed on a defeated Ukraine

www.theguardian.com

 

[west didsblue]

Just seen a vid of a Russian APC destroy a civilian car with an an elderly couple in it, fucking disgusting. What kind of depraved psychopath do you have to be to carry out such a thing.

Fucking nazis.

 

[metalblue]

This is an incredible amount of soldiers.




The Russians are outnumbered about 2:1 now and these soldiers are experienced and professional, not conscripts on training missions who don’t want to be there.

I heard an expert say an attacker needs to outnumber a defender 3 to 1. So to be 1 to 2 is a problem. Obviously with some of the weapons available to the Russians that might not apply.

 

[RobMCFC]

Very depressing analysis of potential endpoints.

Basically either the Russians subjugate Ukraine or there's a nuclear apocalypse.

No idea how realistic any of this is, no expertise to judge how likely. Seems a bit defeatist given how well Ukraine army *seems* to be doing?

I’ve studied all the possible trajectories of this war. None are good | Christopher S Chivvis

There are two likely paths: continued escalation, potentially across the nuclear threshold, or a bitter peace imposed on a defeated Ukraine

www.theguardian.com

Sobering reading.

However this ends up, Putin and his regime need to be removed from power. I'm not talking about an attack on Moscow or some similar high visibility strategy, but the world has to do it's best to slowly suffocate his regime.
I'm sure there will be experts behind the scenes who wont be influenced by the clamour for action from the tabloids or social media, and will know best how to put such a plan in motion.

 

[SPIDERBOY]

Next couple of days the weather drops to around -20.

 

[tolmie's hairdoo]

Depends which energy company you are talking about. Electricity and gas suppliers to the consumers are actually hurting as they have a cap on the price they can sell it to us but the price they buy it from the producers is going up and up. The producers, however, are raking it in as their costs haven't changed much but the price they can sell it at has gone through the roof (although the situation is more complicated than that as a lot of electricity and gas is traded at fixed prices sometimes years ahead of time and it is only as those contracts elapse that the full price hike will start to be felt).

Abu Dhabi and the region break even on $40 a barrel of oil.

Should be at $200 before much longer.

 

[Protein Junkie]

Very depressing analysis of potential endpoints.

Basically either the Russians subjugate Ukraine or there's a nuclear apocalypse.

No idea how realistic any of this is, no expertise to judge how likely. Seems a bit defeatist given how well Ukraine army *seems* to be doing?

I’ve studied all the possible trajectories of this war. None are good | Christopher S Chivvis

There are two likely paths: continued escalation, potentially across the nuclear threshold, or a bitter peace imposed on a defeated Ukraine

www.theguardian.com

Maybe it’s the fact the Ukraine is doing so well is the reason for this strand of analysis.
There are other outcomes available.

 

[PannickAtTheDisco]

Very depressing analysis of potential endpoints.

Basically either the Russians subjugate Ukraine or there's a nuclear apocalypse.

No idea how realistic any of this is, no expertise to judge how likely. Seems a bit defeatist given how well Ukraine army *seems* to be doing?

I’ve studied all the possible trajectories of this war. None are good | Christopher S Chivvis

There are two likely paths: continued escalation, potentially across the nuclear threshold, or a bitter peace imposed on a defeated Ukraine

www.theguardian.com

You with a very depressing analysis and list of outcomes? Never.

We're all still alive from the last catastrophe you envisaged.

 

[Dave Ewing's Back 'eader]