The MC Project: Philosophy & Risks

Nelinho

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I intended to write this right after the win in Old Trafford but kept postponing it since I’m terribly busy these days. It was the moment I was convinced Guardiola was building something beautiful in Manchester. Beautiful and significant for global football. Before that moment all we had is his reputation. And his previous work. It’s true he always worked with world class players, but then again he earned that right, I can name colleagues of his who wasted similar opportunities. And always built on structures existing before his arrival. As it’s also true he always left his mark. A significantly serious mark. Reaching extremely high levels, in terms of quality as well as results.

As for the negative stuff you are going to read, they were in my mind way before that match. Easy, it only took a quick study of the club’s squad. Comparisons with rivals’ squads merely serve as a bonus. Matches followed simply confirmed my initial concerns…

Anyway, Guardiola is the reason I’m here. I want this project to succeed, I consider his vision important for football. Obviously it’s not the only noble vision out there, not the only project I care for, but now we are talking about Manchester City FC…

Introduction
To start with, the beginning of Guardiola’s era in MC is the first huge positive message of this season, regarding global football. The recent EURO ended pretty much in negativity due to the conservative approach of both the teams that battled for the trophy. Portugal’s best performance was by far against Iceland in their first match, but they drew there so F. Santos changed direction. As for Dechamps, from the beginning it was clear that he wanted to go on with as few risks as possible. Even so, I will never understand why he switched to 2 central midfielders in the process, Pogba – Matuidi could not possibly exploit their skills in this set-up due to tactical reasons, therefore France hardly reached its potential as a team during the tournament…

Trends are defined by winners, it's the reason I’m talking about negative messages. Of course you can argue that national team football is not as influential as it used to be, nevertheless the World Cup, the EURO, the Copa America etc, remain huge events –which will never change. And then comes stubborn Guardiola and the landscape is different. Again…

An ambitious philosophy
I’ve been watching and studying football all my life, what Guardiola is trying to achieve in City is the most ambitious and challenging stuff I have ever witnessed. Perhaps the most ambitious project in modern football era. I mean I’m aware of his work and his general philosophy, but he has never walked on this path before. The moment I watched the architecture of the team he introduced I was shocked. A midfield shaped by Fernandinho, Silva and De Bruyne? Plus 2 wingers, plus a SC? This is insane. How could this strategy possibly cement a defensive balance?
  • Fernandinho is not a typical DM, will never be. Under Lucescu in Shakhtar he performed in a 2 CM set-up, and was the one with the license to advance, his partner stayed deep. Under Pelegrini, theoretically he had the assistance of Toure (who enjoyed more freedom in his game) in central midfield, yet the defensive insecurity (among other problems…) of MC has been a permanent issue for the team, even in Manuel’s best days. Now he is alone…
  • Silva and De Bruyne are typical AMs. When it comes to defensive duties, the best you can hope is some sort of positioning, covering some space, depending on their coach’s set-up when the team loses the ball. That’s what we’ve seen in their game so far…
This attitude was one of the many many, I mean many, things that had to change. Like drastically. And it did to a degree. It’s beautiful to watch players like Silva and De Bruyne operating with this sense of responsibility. Guardiola’s intention is to recapture the ball asap when losing it (a concept well known since his Barca days) and these two are alert to immediately press upfront. We’ve seen David covering Fernadinho in an organized defense in midfield, Kevin following an opponents’ counter attack and becoming a left back (“from all people”, as a commentator said), even Aguero chasing a guy from the box to midfield and winning the ball. Not to mention both wingers’ immediate defensive transition the moment City loses the ball. Everybody participates. You can argue about effectiveness, it’s an area needing improvement (as a structure as well as individually), but the discipline is hardly questioned, is it?

This feature demands a different mentality for one. It also demands 100% concentration, reading the game with a clear mind so as to anticipate / position yourself accordingly. And of course it demands a different, higher level of work rate, with tackles, challenges etc. And Fernadinho is 31, Silva is 30, people. Understand what I mean? Fernadinho, for example, has reduced his defensive fails in midfield, the guy understands how vital his role is for the team. He is a decent person. Mistakes are forbidden in that area, they are bound to cost severely. Check Celtic’s 2nd goal: Fernadinho gets it wrong, follows opponent high up, loses battle. His teammates fail to cover him, opponent advances with plenty of time and space against defensive line; which leads to 2-1 [It’s incredible, by the way, to read people blaming Sterling for this play. The boy’s discipline is not questioned, he followed his opponent as he was supposed to, but was unlucky with the interception. This play would have never occurred if it wasn’t for Ferna’s wrong judgement. Period.]. And check Spurs’ 1st goal: It’s Fernadinho who loses the ball which leads to the cross (of course Kolarov’s reaction is unbelievably suicidal, no doubt about it)…

Limitations
A lot of you must have already thought, what would, what could have happened had Guardiola arrived at the club 2, say 3 years earlier. It will be a recurring theme most probably. But what’s the use? Reality is that the Catalan has inherited a team with a variety of problematic characteristics:
  • Tradition – mentality
Winning 2 recent PL trophies does not transform the image and status of the club. It needs more, much much more. You wear Barca’s, Real’s, Juventus’s shirt, and you are a different man. You feel it. Whereas for the MC player, well, he’ll have to build that mental strength himself. Only the quality of the squad, only the quality of the manager’s work will help him in this.
Still remember the frustration watching the performance in that Anfield match 3 years ago. Totally unacceptable. And was all down to the mental factor. The team was better, objectively speaking, but failed to handle the atmosphere around the match. It was an important match yet City lacked the necessary confidence of a good team, a big team. They failed to deliver –and if it wasn’t for Mourinho (winning there soon afterwards) that title would have been lost. Not to mention that final QPR match earlier, during the Mancini era. Anyway…
Even if you start getting convinced of the team’s strength, a string of bad results can harm your confidence. What we’re experiencing these days, for example. 6 official matches without a win and the team is struggling. In a recent match, De Bruyne advances with the ball outside the box, a 2 vs 1 situation. He’s insecure, he’s uncertain, he hesitates, he fucks up. He’s the same player who has been overachieving before his injury, the same player who operated and finished in a world class fashion during the 0-1 play in Old Trafford. That’s lack of confidence. Kevin and the rest will have to build it again…​
  • Age factor
Fernadinho 31, Silva 30, full backs 30+ all of them. Guardiola recently sort of payed tribute to all 5 big European leagues. Just hope it’s nothing but a politically correct statement. If he really believes what he said, then we have a serious problem. The intensity of the PL is unmatched, there isn’t a single league in the world anywhere close to PL’s reality, period. Understandably the club injected some talented youth in the squad (and has been working consistently with the academy), but we are still dealing with an imbalanced squad. You have young talented players who need time to mature, whereas the experienced ones are already having a hard time handling a very tough and demanding schedule (international duties included). And make no mistake about it: Ferna and Silva, for example, need to improve like 20-30% from what they’ve shown so far in their career, that is if we are to keep the ambition high. While they’re both past 30yo. Is that possible? Their commitment is unbelievable so far, I generally like what I’ve seen, but you need more. In terms of creativity, in terms of passing accuracy, in terms of defensive effectiveness, in terms of scoring goals themselves from shots outside the box, in terms of entering the box (Silva), in terms of … you name it. You need more. As simple as that…​
  • Players’ capabilities
Already talked about Ferna and Silva, they’re not the only ones. Of course the biggest challenge was / is De Bruyne. Who is not a youngster, by the way, is he? Hardly a complete player, miles away from his potential. For people having watched the recent EURO, his performance was unacceptable, I would say embarrassing. If that man operating as Belgian coach (whom I respected as a player) has any sense of dignity, he should resign permanently (already replaced). A disgrace for his profession (not just because of De Bruyne, of course). In Pep’s first days in Manchester, De Bruyne has performed the best football of his career. We are talking about a real transformation. And can be even better, no doubt about that…
Sterling also starts becoming a player to be taken seriously, another huge challenge. His composure with the ball needs improvement, so does his decision making in general, keeping himself calm during matches. But he’s young and he’s getting there –and Guardiola’s impact is already noticeable…
Fullbacks are a complicated issue. They need not only to improve but adopt new tactical elements in their game. Some of them have been taken it easy lately, lacking motivation, performing the minimum acceptable stuff like civil servants (to whom I apologize, just an expression). It happens. The culture of the club has a lot to do with that, so does their personalities. Each one of them presents a different case study, the thing is, however, their contribution is rather average so far. Again, you need more, in terms of defensive stability, in terms of participation in the attacking game etc. Provided they believe in themselves, they have a unique opportunity to play the best football of their lives under Pep’s regime. Defensively as well as offensively. Which is what I expect, nothing less. Just an example, the way Clichy operated in that goal in Swansea is like the act of a … genius, one of the best moments in his career. Just a moment though, so far. End of discussion [By the way, Guardiola said it was the player’s instinct. Nonsense. A decent man, praising his player. That play would have never ever occurred if it wasn’t for him, it has his mark all over it. Period.].
Otamendi? Another huge transformation. You can check his recent performances with the national team in Youtube, a pretty educating experience. We are talking about a different player under Pep’s command. His sense of responsibility, his commitment, his anticipation, his playmaking (!) ability etc. Clearly a revelation. Again, Guardiola’s impact, people, as simple as that…
The list goes on and on, the manager is doing a magnificent job in terms of man management. And, of course, it’s a work in progress. What I’m trying to say is that Guardiola inherited some good players, yes, but they seem already better after a couple of months. Other colleagues of his work with complete players, he improves players while fighting for trophies. Not to mention the Hart and Toure issues. Very few would make such tough decisions. But he won’t hesitate when it comes to his philosophy or his principles, will he?​
  • Recent EURO factor
History teaches us that the season following a WC, a EURO etc, usually presents complications for players, missing preseason, gradually adapting in the process etc –which obviously affects team performance. How many of City’s key players fall in that category?​

Impressive beginning of a new era
I could (and should, to be honest) add more (and there are indeed much more to add), the thing is, however, despite the above mentioned limitations Guardiola’s impact has been impressive (honestly, a rather modest way to express it) so far, in only an extremely limited amount of time. I have followed his moves plus his press conferences from the beginning, the guy was optimistic, I know. Nevertheless before the MU match all we had witnessed is a team (and players individually) struggling to adapt into a new philosophy, new roles and duties. Yet not functioning as a unit though. The progress of a team is not a linear process, history lesson number one. Provided you’re walking on the right path, I mean you know what you’re doing, you do have the knowledge, the methodology etc, at some point it seems like stuff evolve … exponentially. I’ve witnessed similar situations on numerous occasions. Which is the case of Old Trafford. The quality of that performance was far from being perfect, that’s not what I’m implying. Still it was completely different from our previous experience. Therefore difficult to predict, even to conceive it. And just a reminder, it came after an international break, right? Which means Guardiola had practically zero time to work with the squad during that week. What was done was done. I still remember my concerns, basically I was hoping for a decent result which would not harm the team’s moral; so that the manager could buy some more time. And suddenly everything started making sense on the pitch. Unbelievable! The movement of the team with / without the ball, the chemistry etc, were so natural, like they were playing years in that manner. Not to mention the composure, the confidence. Dominating the game from minute one in a derby away [Just before halftime, Ibrahimovic misses a big chance to equalize, Stones stopping the ball just before the goal line. And the guy (how old is he?) stands a couple of seconds with the ball on his feet, inconceivably calm, like taking his time; and finally … passes to a teammate. Inside the box! Even in that moment, he didn’t feel the necessity of a blind clearance (which is what 9,5/10 would do in that situation), instead he started the build up from … behind, like inches ahead of the goal line! Insane. How many City fans came close to a heart attack? Stones, by the way, has just joined the club, right? Only players convinced of the team’s quality, their managers’ game plan, can achieve that level of composure and confidence, mark my words. I will never forget that moment…].

No wonder MU players were shocked experiencing that attitude (which was admitted by Mourinho himself afterwards). Which made them more nervous as the match progressed. Of course the match exposed Mourinho tactically, plus revealed how shallow his work has been so far. A team tactically problematic, lacking ideas offensively, lacking cohesion itself. But I will not elaborate on this, it’s already a long post. What I’m focusing at, is the way MU handled that match. From the bench, on the pitch. Mourinho manages the most complete squad with considerable depth, has already spent his ass. Facing a City without Aguero, Company, Bravo having just arrived at Manchester etc. Nevertheless he fielded a team with the intention to block the opponent, like matching his supposed tactics. Playing (trying to, to be accurate) reactive football. With players scared to move up and press, with Mkitarian – Lingard playing inside so as to block the -supposed- movement of City’s fullbacks, as he thought etc etc etc. Which he mentioned after the match, by the way! As a tactical area in which his game plan was successful! As usual, he also blamed the ref, his players, “lady luck”. You almost feel sorry for the little bastard, definitely complex inferior towards Guardiola. Only thing I regret about that match is Iheanacho’s fuck up in the exact play before United' s goal. That was, should have been, 0-3, people. Still have a scar on my hand because of this, luckily I didn’t break anything around me. I mean I could assassinate the boy at that moment. While Pep, furious, was ready to enter the pitch himself, for those who remember. Yes, I know what you’re thinking, Jose would have found excuses even after that. And you’re right. He did it recently, after losing 4-0 at Chelsea, didn’t he?

Transfer policy
Which leads us to the transfer strategy adopted during the summer. An area where the club fucked up big big time. I have already talked about the necessity of improvement individually for many players, experienced plus youngsters, I have already mentioned the deadly combination age – EURO – busy schedule (4 competitions, PL league being the toughest in the world with 20 clubs; it’s 18 in the Bundesliga). You compare this squad with rivals’ human resources, it’s scary…

This is a thin squad, period. Let’s say you’re ok on the flanks, regarding fullbacks and wingers (with a lot of uncertainties though, don’t want to repeat myself). You’re marginally adequate when it comes to central defense (taking into account the Company issue), the same when it comes to central midfield. As for the SC zone? A joke really…

It’s impossible for me to understand this. Impossible. Iheanacho as Aguero’s replacement. A 20yo boy –and nobody else…

Just to clarify something, I love clubs developing players (and I feel nothing but contempt for the so called Galacticos philosophy). I’m even more delighted when this policy is combined with high ambitions in terms of team objectives. But developing Iheanacho (plus Garcia, Maffeo, and so on) cannot possibly be City’s primary objective. It’s by default a secondary one, serving the primary objective, which is the progress of the team…

Aguero still has international duties, plus has suffered injuries. He needs protection. Guardiola insists he didn’t use him in the Camp Nous because of tactical reasons. I won’t comment on that, yet deep down I know that his level of fitness -physical and mental at that moment- played a serious role in the manager’s decision. Perfectly understandable. Since this post is written after the WBA match, I understand fans are delighted with his performance. I am too. But even that night he lacked his typical sharpness when 100% fit. Which affects decision making in terms of movement, passing, acceleration, finishing etc. I mean I have deep respect for Olsson, I consider him a legend for WBA. A model professional. But he’s ageing, during the last couple of years his game has not been as solid as it used to be, in terms of anticipation, acceleration, generally coping with the game’s rhythm etc. Could not have been naturally. Sergio’s work rate and determination against him and his partner were amazing, but that’s a different issue…

I remember Pep talking after the match vs MU in the PL. One of the reasons he fielded the boy was related to the psychological factor: he could have adopted a safer option, still wanted to make clear to the squad that City were aiming to win in that match. Naturally Iheanacho was the first to be substituted in the 2nd half, when the bench needed to adapt to Mourinho’s tactical modifications…

It’s difficult for me to write these lines, I don’t want to be misunderstood. I have nothing against the boy, I appreciate his effort, he has indeed contributed as much as he could so far. And to be honest, vs Southampton, if it wasn’t for him, I don’t know who could have scored. The team suffered, lack of confidence, nervousness, I mean I couldn’t find one single player on the pitch to trust being calm against their GK. Not one. Iheanacho saved the point. But in certain matches (like vs Spurs) he seemed (and was) totally out of his league. And in the midweek match he was bad throughout 90’. The chance he missed, the wasted pass to Nolito etc. If it wasn’t for him, City would have won, even with that team…

Since we’re mentioning stuff associated with physical (and mental) fatigue, Fernandinho is also a huge concern (so is Silva). Has been playing non stop for a while, you have to cross your fingers. I watched his matches with Brazil during the recent international break, thank God they turned out easy for them. Fernandinho was practically saving energy so as to last for 90’. Guardiola is too much dependent on him, it’s going to be difficult. Vs WBA, the moment Gundogan made it 0-3 (even before that), I was hoping for subbing him (plus Silva, plus Aguero). Pep didn’t. He’s scared shit from what he’s experienced so far, if he doesn’t go 3, 4 goals ahead he won’t relax. Welcome to the PL senor. You should have known better though, and taken appropriate measures. Anyway…

Lack of energy has been critical during that non winning string. It doesn’t take much experience to predict what could have happened vs Spurs, just a look on the calendar. Of course everything went against City in that match, even before, like a conspiracy of Gods of football (Kevin’s injury in his best form, the same with Sagna and Zabaleta lately, missing Nolito idiotically for some matches etc). I mean Silva could have scored in 2’, then comes Kolarov’s error. Defining the terms of the match in favor of the opponent (who played extremely physical, by the way, a behaviour tolerated by the ref). People who understand the physical fatigue factor cannot complain about the team’s performance. City could have not performed better there. Perhaps some players were behind in terms of determination (one of the things that need to be taken care of), but the team tried till the very end. And could have equalized…

What I’m trying to say is, shit happens. And you are supposed to anticipate such situations. Therefore, City’s transfer strategy is clearly a mismanagement case in my eyes. Which is the reason I would fire the director of football. You idiot, you ignorant. Who told you you’re paid this salary just to be the manager’s or the chairman’s yes man? You are supposed to support the manager’s vision, even against himself! You are supposed to be independent in your approach, assess the situation as a professional, make your own opinion. You parasite…

Did Guardiola ask to work with a limited squad? If he did, guess what: I don’t give a fuck. Pep will not always be right, people, he’s human, you know. You simply tell him the club has decided to buy another SC (for a start). And that he’s kindly invited to cooperate on the issue. Bonny not good for him? Fine. We loan him. Let’s find somebody else. Would Pep resign? I don’t think so. Because now he’s counting the days for Jesus’ s arrival. Who’s also a boy, by the way. But I’m aware of his progress. Anyway…

[I hope this shit has nothing to do with FFP? That would be a joke really. I respect FFP, I even support it as a measure. But it can hardly present an alibi. They pay huge salaries to people handling such stuff, not to mention the “creative accounting” school of thought. They should have sorted out a solution. I don’t care how. End of discussion.]

Bottom line
  • A noble vision undermined by significant limitations and unnecessary complications. Undermined by a suicidal transfer strategy.
  • A manager doing a fantastic job in just a few months. City is already HIS team (but I won’t go on analyzing Pep’s model, it’s already a long post; perhaps on another occasion…).
There are a lot of aspects needing improvement, individually as well as collectively: defensive coordination, individual marking, passing game accuracy, creativity and effectiveness, through balls exploiting movement from behind, movement between the lines (Kevin was excellent in that area before his injury, creating space, moving in space, creating chances for others), finishing etc etc etc. But once again, the progress of the team has been impressive. And it’s still October…

Which gives me the right to set the team’s objectives. Administration didn’t, obviously out of respect to the manager. But I will:
  • Season 2016-17
Win the league.
Normally I would, but under these circumstances I don’t give a fuck about Cups, match strategy will depend on timing [Be kind to fans blaming Guardiola for the midweek team selection. They won’t understand, whatever you or me or whoever explains on the issue. Trust me. But it doesn’t matter. As long as they keep supporting. Blame the director of football for the human resources available to Pep. Period.].
Comes summer, renew Guardiola’s contract. Permanently, if he wishes. Make him City’s SAF if possible.​
  • Season 2017-18
Win the league.
Maturing individually – collectively, performing better.
Cups: decisions will depend on squad depth and timing.​
  • Season 2018-19
Win the league.
Further maturing individually – collectively, performing even better.
Cups: same as above.​

CL? A complicated issue. Obviously you need progress there, it’s a huge competition. CL success enhances club status, very important. But remember, it’s a cup competition, therefore unpredictable. Anything can happen. You can win it when you’re not even supposed to (Chelsea failed with Mourinho for years, only to succeed with … Di Matteo, recently fired from Villa), you can fail even being the best. Anything, I mean anything can happen in the knock-out stages. Ask Guardiola, he knows…

For this season, I would go step by step, match by match. It would be uncomfortable for everybody in the club failing in the group, but it’s a fucking tough schedule, hate repeating myself. And I don’t want to further complicate the PL campaign. But you can’t leave CL out, you don’t have that luxury, it’s out of the question. Pray for the youngsters to mature as quickly as possible, providing reliable options. Pray for avoiding injuries. Pray for avoiding stupid red cards…

Anything less is unacceptable. And if it wasn’t for the already mentioned above transfer strategy issue, I wouldn’t even discuss it. It’s the shit that complicates things. Complicating the unavoidable and absolutely necessary in modern football rotation policy. Because quality in the manager’s work is unmatched. I’ve seen all rivals, they all enjoy complete squads, with complete, proven players, experience, considerable depth providing reliable alternatives etc. Also, people like Pocketino and Klop have already some history with their respective clubs, have not started working this summer (while Wenger has spent decades at Arsenal). And remember, Liverpool, Chelsea have no European football duties, which is not to be taken lightly. I respect all of them, I know it’s going to be tough (especially this season), however I’m not particularly impressed with the quality of their game. City can do it. They must…

To conclude this, be proud of your club, under Guardiola it serves a noble cause. Make players feel your support everywhere, at home – away. I would also like to kindly ask some people to completely ignore that stupid rivalry with MU? I’m aware of local rivalries, believe me, they exist everywhere. But MC’s existence cannot be associated with beating a club, this thing does not define a purpose. I know they won’t listen, but it’s OK. Still, had to say it.

I apologize for my language, especially to the ladies of the forum. But it’s an angry post. Good luck to City, good luck to you all. Thank you for your time…

PS. Fire the director of football.

PS2. Did I mention to fire the director of football? I did? Just making sure…

PS3. This was meant to be posted Saturday night, but had to wait for admins accepting my registration. Two hours ago a friend called me, asked me to watch Guardiola’s press conference. I did. A relieved man. Listen what he says regarding lack of confidence recently. Listen what he says regarding the toughness of the PL (...after 0-3 the match was “almost over”; “almost”! [roflmao] He hasn’t experienced anything similar in the Primera / Budesliga, has he? Once again, welcome to the PL senor…). Areas already covered in this post. Finally, listen what he says regarding the SC issue. Following a recent match, I remember him making a subtle comment about Iheanacho, careful not to harm the boy’s psychology. Like he was good in the link up, but inside the box it’s a different story, something like that. Now he sounds desperate regarding his SC options (which could make Sergio nervous, by the way; hope not)…

OK, this is ridiculous. This cannot be happening. I mean we are talking about the professional football universe at its highest level, we are talking about the PL. Also talking about MCFC, supposedly a rich club. Title contenders, with CL ambitions (leaving Cups aside). And Guardiola at his first season at the club. Who is supposed to compete with 1,5 fucking SC? It would be a joke if it wasn’t a crime…

I don’t have the time to deal with this shit, I am just a guy who loves football, I have to work to make a living, like all of you. Obviously there are people within the club who don’t share this approach, making an easy living while delivering shit. A shame. I am truly sorry, yet cannot do anything about it. Hope for the best, hope this thing won’t cost. End of story.
 
Did you read it all? Be honest!
Scanned some, he also said the structure needs work but individual commitment has been great which I'd agree with and Guardiola has made a big impact in a short time, even with a short pre season due to international football, also agree.
 
tldr1.gif
 
Just got meself a cuppa and a sarnie, been the loo, closed all the curtains and doors, and dimmed the lights.

Right. Am ready.

I'm going in, wish me luck...
 
I intended to write this right after the win in Old Trafford but kept postponing it since I’m terribly busy these days. It was the moment I was convinced Guardiola was building something beautiful in Manchester. Beautiful and significant for global football. Before that moment all we had is his reputation. And his previous work. It’s true he always worked with world class players, but then again he earned that right, I can name colleagues of his who wasted similar opportunities. And always built on structures existing before his arrival. As it’s also true he always left his mark. A significantly serious mark. Reaching extremely high levels, in terms of quality as well as results.

As for the negative stuff you are going to read, they were in my mind way before that match. Easy, it only took a quick study of the club’s squad. Comparisons with rivals’ squads merely serve as a bonus. Matches followed simply confirmed my initial concerns…

Anyway, Guardiola is the reason I’m here. I want this project to succeed, I consider his vision important for football. Obviously it’s not the only noble vision out there, not the only project I care for, but now we are talking about Manchester City FC…

Introduction
To start with, the beginning of Guardiola’s era in MC is the first huge positive message of this season, regarding global football. The recent EURO ended pretty much in negativity due to the conservative approach of both the teams that battled for the trophy. Portugal’s best performance was by far against Iceland in their first match, but they drew there so F. Santos changed direction. As for Dechamps, from the beginning it was clear that he wanted to go on with as few risks as possible. Even so, I will never understand why he switched to 2 central midfielders in the process, Pogba – Matuidi could not possibly exploit their skills in this set-up due to tactical reasons, therefore France hardly reached its potential as a team during the tournament…

Trends are defined by winners, it's the reason I’m talking about negative messages. Of course you can argue that national team football is not as influential as it used to be, nevertheless the World Cup, the EURO, the Copa America etc, remain huge events –which will never change. And then comes stubborn Guardiola and the landscape is different. Again…

An ambitious philosophy
I’ve been watching and studying football all my life, what Guardiola is trying to achieve in City is the most ambitious and challenging stuff I have ever witnessed. Perhaps the most ambitious project in modern football era. I mean I’m aware of his work and his general philosophy, but he has never walked on this path before. The moment I watched the architecture of the team he introduced I was shocked. A midfield shaped by Fernandinho, Silva and De Bruyne? Plus 2 wingers, plus a SC? This is insane. How could this strategy possibly cement a defensive balance?
  • Fernandinho is not a typical DM, will never be. Under Lucescu in Shakhtar he performed in a 2 CM set-up, and was the one with the license to advance, his partner stayed deep. Under Pelegrini, theoretically he had the assistance of Toure (who enjoyed more freedom in his game) in central midfield, yet the defensive insecurity (among other problems…) of MC has been a permanent issue for the team, even in Manuel’s best days. Now he is alone…
  • Silva and De Bruyne are typical AMs. When it comes to defensive duties, the best you can hope is some sort of positioning, covering some space, depending on their coach’s set-up when the team loses the ball. That’s what we’ve seen in their game so far…
This attitude was one of the many many, I mean many, things that had to change. Like drastically. And it did to a degree. It’s beautiful to watch players like Silva and De Bruyne operating with this sense of responsibility. Guardiola’s intention is to recapture the ball asap when losing it (a concept well known since his Barca days) and these two are alert to immediately press upfront. We’ve seen David covering Fernadinho in an organized defense in midfield, Kevin following an opponents’ counter attack and becoming a left back (“from all people”, as a commentator said), even Aguero chasing a guy from the box to midfield and winning the ball. Not to mention both wingers’ immediate defensive transition the moment City loses the ball. Everybody participates. You can argue about effectiveness, it’s an area needing improvement (as a structure as well as individually), but the discipline is hardly questioned, is it?

This feature demands a different mentality for one. It also demands 100% concentration, reading the game with a clear mind so as to anticipate / position yourself accordingly. And of course it demands a different, higher level of work rate, with tackles, challenges etc. And Fernadinho is 31, Silva is 30, people. Understand what I mean? Fernadinho, for example, has reduced his defensive fails in midfield, the guy understands how vital his role is for the team. He is a decent person. Mistakes are forbidden in that area, they are bound to cost severely. Check Celtic’s 2nd goal: Fernadinho gets it wrong, follows opponent high up, loses battle. His teammates fail to cover him, opponent advances with plenty of time and space against defensive line; which leads to 2-1 [It’s incredible, by the way, to read people blaming Sterling for this play. The boy’s discipline is not questioned, he followed his opponent as he was supposed to, but was unlucky with the interception. This play would have never occurred if it wasn’t for Ferna’s wrong judgement. Period.]. And check Spurs’ 1st goal: It’s Fernadinho who loses the ball which leads to the cross (of course Kolarov’s reaction is unbelievably suicidal, no doubt about it)…

Limitations
A lot of you must have already thought, what would, what could have happened had Guardiola arrived at the club 2, say 3 years earlier. It will be a recurring theme most probably. But what’s the use? Reality is that the Catalan has inherited a team with a variety of problematic characteristics:
  • Tradition – mentality
Winning 2 recent PL trophies does not transform the image and status of the club. It needs more, much much more. You wear Barca’s, Real’s, Juventus’s shirt, and you are a different man. You feel it. Whereas for the MC player, well, he’ll have to build that mental strength himself. Only the quality of the squad, only the quality of the manager’s work will help him in this.
Still remember the frustration watching the performance in that Anfield match 3 years ago. Totally unacceptable. And was all down to the mental factor. The team was better, objectively speaking, but failed to handle the atmosphere around the match. It was an important match yet City lacked the necessary confidence of a good team, a big team. They failed to deliver –and if it wasn’t for Mourinho (winning there soon afterwards) that title would have been lost. Not to mention that final QPR match earlier, during the Mancini era. Anyway…
Even if you start getting convinced of the team’s strength, a string of bad results can harm your confidence. What we’re experiencing these days, for example. 6 official matches without a win and the team is struggling. In a recent match, De Bruyne advances with the ball outside the box, a 2 vs 1 situation. He’s insecure, he’s uncertain, he hesitates, he fucks up. He’s the same player who has been overachieving before his injury, the same player who operated and finished in a world class fashion during the 0-1 play in Old Trafford. That’s lack of confidence. Kevin and the rest will have to build it again…​
  • Age factor
Fernadinho 31, Silva 30, full backs 30+ all of them. Guardiola recently sort of payed tribute to all 5 big European leagues. Just hope it’s nothing but a politically correct statement. If he really believes what he said, then we have a serious problem. The intensity of the PL is unmatched, there isn’t a single league in the world anywhere close to PL’s reality, period. Understandably the club injected some talented youth in the squad (and has been working consistently with the academy), but we are still dealing with an imbalanced squad. You have young talented players who need time to mature, whereas the experienced ones are already having a hard time handling a very tough and demanding schedule (international duties included). And make no mistake about it: Ferna and Silva, for example, need to improve like 20-30% from what they’ve shown so far in their career, that is if we are to keep the ambition high. While they’re both past 30yo. Is that possible? Their commitment is unbelievable so far, I generally like what I’ve seen, but you need more. In terms of creativity, in terms of passing accuracy, in terms of defensive effectiveness, in terms of scoring goals themselves from shots outside the box, in terms of entering the box (Silva), in terms of … you name it. You need more. As simple as that…​
  • Players’ capabilities
Already talked about Ferna and Silva, they’re not the only ones. Of course the biggest challenge was / is De Bruyne. Who is not a youngster, by the way, is he? Hardly a complete player, miles away from his potential. For people having watched the recent EURO, his performance was unacceptable, I would say embarrassing. If that man operating as Belgian coach (whom I respected as a player) has any sense of dignity, he should resign permanently (already replaced). A disgrace for his profession (not just because of De Bruyne, of course). In Pep’s first days in Manchester, De Bruyne has performed the best football of his career. We are talking about a real transformation. And can be even better, no doubt about that…
Sterling also starts becoming a player to be taken seriously, another huge challenge. His composure with the ball needs improvement, so does his decision making in general, keeping himself calm during matches. But he’s young and he’s getting there –and Guardiola’s impact is already noticeable…
Fullbacks are a complicated issue. They need not only to improve but adopt new tactical elements in their game. Some of them have been taken it easy lately, lacking motivation, performing the minimum acceptable stuff like civil servants (to whom I apologize, just an expression). It happens. The culture of the club has a lot to do with that, so does their personalities. Each one of them presents a different case study, the thing is, however, their contribution is rather average so far. Again, you need more, in terms of defensive stability, in terms of participation in the attacking game etc. Provided they believe in themselves, they have a unique opportunity to play the best football of their lives under Pep’s regime. Defensively as well as offensively. Which is what I expect, nothing less. Just an example, the way Clichy operated in that goal in Swansea is like the act of a … genius, one of the best moments in his career. Just a moment though, so far. End of discussion [By the way, Guardiola said it was the player’s instinct. Nonsense. A decent man, praising his player. That play would have never ever occurred if it wasn’t for him, it has his mark all over it. Period.].
Otamendi? Another huge transformation. You can check his recent performances with the national team in Youtube, a pretty educating experience. We are talking about a different player under Pep’s command. His sense of responsibility, his commitment, his anticipation, his playmaking (!) ability etc. Clearly a revelation. Again, Guardiola’s impact, people, as simple as that…
The list goes on and on, the manager is doing a magnificent job in terms of man management. And, of course, it’s a work in progress. What I’m trying to say is that Guardiola inherited some good players, yes, but they seem already better after a couple of months. Other colleagues of his work with complete players, he improves players while fighting for trophies. Not to mention the Hart and Toure issues. Very few would make such tough decisions. But he won’t hesitate when it comes to his philosophy or his principles, will he?​
  • Recent EURO factor
History teaches us that the season following a WC, a EURO etc, usually presents complications for players, missing preseason, gradually adapting in the process etc –which obviously affects team performance. How many of City’s key players fall in that category?​

Impressive beginning of a new era
I could (and should, to be honest) add more (and there are indeed much more to add), the thing is, however, despite the above mentioned limitations Guardiola’s impact has been impressive (honestly, a rather modest way to express it) so far, in only an extremely limited amount of time. I have followed his moves plus his press conferences from the beginning, the guy was optimistic, I know. Nevertheless before the MU match all we had witnessed is a team (and players individually) struggling to adapt into a new philosophy, new roles and duties. Yet not functioning as a unit though. The progress of a team is not a linear process, history lesson number one. Provided you’re walking on the right path, I mean you know what you’re doing, you do have the knowledge, the methodology etc, at some point it seems like stuff evolve … exponentially. I’ve witnessed similar situations on numerous occasions. Which is the case of Old Trafford. The quality of that performance was far from being perfect, that’s not what I’m implying. Still it was completely different from our previous experience. Therefore difficult to predict, even to conceive it. And just a reminder, it came after an international break, right? Which means Guardiola had practically zero time to work with the squad during that week. What was done was done. I still remember my concerns, basically I was hoping for a decent result which would not harm the team’s moral; so that the manager could buy some more time. And suddenly everything started making sense on the pitch. Unbelievable! The movement of the team with / without the ball, the chemistry etc, were so natural, like they were playing years in that manner. Not to mention the composure, the confidence. Dominating the game from minute one in a derby away [Just before halftime, Ibrahimovic misses a big chance to equalize, Stones stopping the ball just before the goal line. And the guy (how old is he?) stands a couple of seconds with the ball on his feet, inconceivably calm, like taking his time; and finally … passes to a teammate. Inside the box! Even in that moment, he didn’t feel the necessity of a blind clearance (which is what 9,5/10 would do in that situation), instead he started the build up from … behind, like inches ahead of the goal line! Insane. How many City fans came close to a heart attack? Stones, by the way, has just joined the club, right? Only players convinced of the team’s quality, their managers’ game plan, can achieve that level of composure and confidence, mark my words. I will never forget that moment…].

No wonder MU players were shocked experiencing that attitude (which was admitted by Mourinho himself afterwards). Which made them more nervous as the match progressed. Of course the match exposed Mourinho tactically, plus revealed how shallow his work has been so far. A team tactically problematic, lacking ideas offensively, lacking cohesion itself. But I will not elaborate on this, it’s already a long post. What I’m focusing at, is the way MU handled that match. From the bench, on the pitch. Mourinho manages the most complete squad with considerable depth, has already spent his ass. Facing a City without Aguero, Company, Bravo having just arrived at Manchester etc. Nevertheless he fielded a team with the intention to block the opponent, like matching his supposed tactics. Playing (trying to, to be accurate) reactive football. With players scared to move up and press, with Mkitarian – Lingard playing inside so as to block the -supposed- movement of City’s fullbacks, as he thought etc etc etc. Which he mentioned after the match, by the way! As a tactical area in which his game plan was successful! As usual, he also blamed the ref, his players, “lady luck”. You almost feel sorry for the little bastard, definitely complex inferior towards Guardiola. Only thing I regret about that match is Iheanacho’s fuck up in the exact play before United' s goal. That was, should have been, 0-3, people. Still have a scar on my hand because of this, luckily I didn’t break anything around me. I mean I could assassinate the boy at that moment. While Pep, furious, was ready to enter the pitch himself, for those who remember. Yes, I know what you’re thinking, Jose would have found excuses even after that. And you’re right. He did it recently, after losing 4-0 at Chelsea, didn’t he?

Transfer policy
Which leads us to the transfer strategy adopted during the summer. An area where the club fucked up big big time. I have already talked about the necessity of improvement individually for many players, experienced plus youngsters, I have already mentioned the deadly combination age – EURO – busy schedule (4 competitions, PL league being the toughest in the world with 20 clubs; it’s 18 in the Bundesliga). You compare this squad with rivals’ human resources, it’s scary…

This is a thin squad, period. Let’s say you’re ok on the flanks, regarding fullbacks and wingers (with a lot of uncertainties though, don’t want to repeat myself). You’re marginally adequate when it comes to central defense (taking into account the Company issue), the same when it comes to central midfield. As for the SC zone? A joke really…

It’s impossible for me to understand this. Impossible. Iheanacho as Aguero’s replacement. A 20yo boy –and nobody else…

Just to clarify something, I love clubs developing players (and I feel nothing but contempt for the so called Galacticos philosophy). I’m even more delighted when this policy is combined with high ambitions in terms of team objectives. But developing Iheanacho (plus Garcia, Maffeo, and so on) cannot possibly be City’s primary objective. It’s by default a secondary one, serving the primary objective, which is the progress of the team…

Aguero still has international duties, plus has suffered injuries. He needs protection. Guardiola insists he didn’t use him in the Camp Nous because of tactical reasons. I won’t comment on that, yet deep down I know that his level of fitness -physical and mental at that moment- played a serious role in the manager’s decision. Perfectly understandable. Since this post is written after the WBA match, I understand fans are delighted with his performance. I am too. But even that night he lacked his typical sharpness when 100% fit. Which affects decision making in terms of movement, passing, acceleration, finishing etc. I mean I have deep respect for Olsson, I consider him a legend for WBA. A model professional. But he’s ageing, during the last couple of years his game has not been as solid as it used to be, in terms of anticipation, acceleration, generally coping with the game’s rhythm etc. Could not have been naturally. Sergio’s work rate and determination against him and his partner were amazing, but that’s a different issue…

I remember Pep talking after the match vs MU in the PL. One of the reasons he fielded the boy was related to the psychological factor: he could have adopted a safer option, still wanted to make clear to the squad that City were aiming to win in that match. Naturally Iheanacho was the first to be substituted in the 2nd half, when the bench needed to adapt to Mourinho’s tactical modifications…

It’s difficult for me to write these lines, I don’t want to be misunderstood. I have nothing against the boy, I appreciate his effort, he has indeed contributed as much as he could so far. And to be honest, vs Southampton, if it wasn’t for him, I don’t know who could have scored. The team suffered, lack of confidence, nervousness, I mean I couldn’t find one single player on the pitch to trust being calm against their GK. Not one. Iheanacho saved the point. But in certain matches (like vs Spurs) he seemed (and was) totally out of his league. And in the midweek match he was bad throughout 90’. The chance he missed, the wasted pass to Nolito etc. If it wasn’t for him, City would have won, even with that team…

Since we’re mentioning stuff associated with physical (and mental) fatigue, Fernandinho is also a huge concern (so is Silva). Has been playing non stop for a while, you have to cross your fingers. I watched his matches with Brazil during the recent international break, thank God they turned out easy for them. Fernandinho was practically saving energy so as to last for 90’. Guardiola is too much dependent on him, it’s going to be difficult. Vs WBA, the moment Gundogan made it 0-3 (even before that), I was hoping for subbing him (plus Silva, plus Aguero). Pep didn’t. He’s scared shit from what he’s experienced so far, if he doesn’t go 3, 4 goals ahead he won’t relax. Welcome to the PL senor. You should have known better though, and taken appropriate measures. Anyway…

Lack of energy has been critical during that non winning string. It doesn’t take much experience to predict what could have happened vs Spurs, just a look on the calendar. Of course everything went against City in that match, even before, like a conspiracy of Gods of football (Kevin’s injury in his best form, the same with Sagna and Zabaleta lately, missing Nolito idiotically for some matches etc). I mean Silva could have scored in 2’, then comes Kolarov’s error. Defining the terms of the match in favor of the opponent (who played extremely physical, by the way, a behaviour tolerated by the ref). People who understand the physical fatigue factor cannot complain about the team’s performance. City could have not performed better there. Perhaps some players were behind in terms of determination (one of the things that need to be taken care of), but the team tried till the very end. And could have equalized…

What I’m trying to say is, shit happens. And you are supposed to anticipate such situations. Therefore, City’s transfer strategy is clearly a mismanagement case in my eyes. Which is the reason I would fire the director of football. You idiot, you ignorant. Who told you you’re paid this salary just to be the manager’s or the chairman’s yes man? You are supposed to support the manager’s vision, even against himself! You are supposed to be independent in your approach, assess the situation as a professional, make your own opinion. You parasite…

Did Guardiola ask to work with a limited squad? If he did, guess what: I don’t give a fuck. Pep will not always be right, people, he’s human, you know. You simply tell him the club has decided to buy another SC (for a start). And that he’s kindly invited to cooperate on the issue. Bonny not good for him? Fine. We loan him. Let’s find somebody else. Would Pep resign? I don’t think so. Because now he’s counting the days for Jesus’ s arrival. Who’s also a boy, by the way. But I’m aware of his progress. Anyway…

[I hope this shit has nothing to do with FFP? That would be a joke really. I respect FFP, I even support it as a measure. But it can hardly present an alibi. They pay huge salaries to people handling such stuff, not to mention the “creative accounting” school of thought. They should have sorted out a solution. I don’t care how. End of discussion.]

Bottom line
  • A noble vision undermined by significant limitations and unnecessary complications. Undermined by a suicidal transfer strategy.
  • A manager doing a fantastic job in just a few months. City is already HIS team (but I won’t go on analyzing Pep’s model, it’s already a long post; perhaps on another occasion…).
There are a lot of aspects needing improvement, individually as well as collectively: defensive coordination, individual marking, passing game accuracy, creativity and effectiveness, through balls exploiting movement from behind, movement between the lines (Kevin was excellent in that area before his injury, creating space, moving in space, creating chances for others), finishing etc etc etc. But once again, the progress of the team has been impressive. And it’s still October…

Which gives me the right to set the team’s objectives. Administration didn’t, obviously out of respect to the manager. But I will:
  • Season 2016-17
Win the league.
Normally I would, but under these circumstances I don’t give a fuck about Cups, match strategy will depend on timing [Be kind to fans blaming Guardiola for the midweek team selection. They won’t understand, whatever you or me or whoever explains on the issue. Trust me. But it doesn’t matter. As long as they keep supporting. Blame the director of football for the human resources available to Pep. Period.].
Comes summer, renew Guardiola’s contract. Permanently, if he wishes. Make him City’s SAF if possible.​
  • Season 2017-18
Win the league.
Maturing individually – collectively, performing better.
Cups: decisions will depend on squad depth and timing.​
  • Season 2018-19
Win the league.
Further maturing individually – collectively, performing even better.
Cups: same as above.​

CL? A complicated issue. Obviously you need progress there, it’s a huge competition. CL success enhances club status, very important. But remember, it’s a cup competition, therefore unpredictable. Anything can happen. You can win it when you’re not even supposed to (Chelsea failed with Mourinho for years, only to succeed with … Di Matteo, recently fired from Villa), you can fail even being the best. Anything, I mean anything can happen in the knock-out stages. Ask Guardiola, he knows…

For this season, I would go step by step, match by match. It would be uncomfortable for everybody in the club failing in the group, but it’s a fucking tough schedule, hate repeating myself. And I don’t want to further complicate the PL campaign. But you can’t leave CL out, you don’t have that luxury, it’s out of the question. Pray for the youngsters to mature as quickly as possible, providing reliable options. Pray for avoiding injuries. Pray for avoiding stupid red cards…

Anything less is unacceptable. And if it wasn’t for the already mentioned above transfer strategy issue, I wouldn’t even discuss it. It’s the shit that complicates things. Complicating the unavoidable and absolutely necessary in modern football rotation policy. Because quality in the manager’s work is unmatched. I’ve seen all rivals, they all enjoy complete squads, with complete, proven players, experience, considerable depth providing reliable alternatives etc. Also, people like Pocketino and Klop have already some history with their respective clubs, have not started working this summer (while Wenger has spent decades at Arsenal). And remember, Liverpool, Chelsea have no European football duties, which is not to be taken lightly. I respect all of them, I know it’s going to be tough (especially this season), however I’m not particularly impressed with the quality of their game. City can do it. They must…

To conclude this, be proud of your club, under Guardiola it serves a noble cause. Make players feel your support everywhere, at home – away. I would also like to kindly ask some people to completely ignore that stupid rivalry with MU? I’m aware of local rivalries, believe me, they exist everywhere. But MC’s existence cannot be associated with beating a club, this thing does not define a purpose. I know they won’t listen, but it’s OK. Still, had to say it.

I apologize for my language, especially to the ladies of the forum. But it’s an angry post. Good luck to City, good luck to you all. Thank you for your time…

PS. Fire the director of football.

PS2. Did I mention to fire the director of football? I did? Just making sure…

PS3. This was meant to be posted Saturday night, but had to wait for admins accepting my registration. Two hours ago a friend called me, asked me to watch Guardiola’s press conference. I did. A relieved man. Listen what he says regarding lack of confidence recently. Listen what he says regarding the toughness of the PL (...after 0-3 the match was “almost over”; “almost”! [roflmao] He hasn’t experienced anything similar in the Primera / Budesliga, has he? Once again, welcome to the PL senor…). Areas already covered in this post. Finally, listen what he says regarding the SC issue. Following a recent match, I remember him making a subtle comment about Iheanacho, careful not to harm the boy’s psychology. Like he was good in the link up, but inside the box it’s a different story, something like that. Now he sounds desperate regarding his SC options (which could make Sergio nervous, by the way; hope not)…

OK, this is ridiculous. This cannot be happening. I mean we are talking about the professional football universe at its highest level, we are talking about the PL. Also talking about MCFC, supposedly a rich club. Title contenders, with CL ambitions (leaving Cups aside). And Guardiola at his first season at the club. Who is supposed to compete with 1,5 fucking SC? It would be a joke if it wasn’t a crime…

I don’t have the time to deal with this shit, I am just a guy who loves football, I have to work to make a living, like all of you. Obviously there are people within the club who don’t share this approach, making an easy living while delivering shit. A shame. I am truly sorry, yet cannot do anything about it. Hope for the best, hope this thing won’t cost. End of story.
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