The Title Race - 2021/22

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Yeah anything can happen but before a game kicks off there is a probability of an outcome. That probability of being PL champions is

CITY 82%
Liverpool 18%

That is because both teams are strongly expected to win but we have that single point advantage.

It might change slightly depending on how Villa preform on Thursday and if they are in form or not.

Point I’m making is it’s normal to be nervous but objectively you can be confident.

You wouldn’t swap places even if it appears we have more to lose.
 
It's quite simple if both teams play to there full potential we win there can be no passengers on Sunday turn up and we win
 
feedmpenzaandhewillscore said:
League table says Wolves but there last 6 games have been terrible compared to Villa.
Click to expand...
Is correct. The league table has a fair amount of luck in it and doesn’t account for performance being purely results based. Past performance is a better predictor than past results.

This season Wolves have been the luckiest team in the division earning 11 more points than they deserved.

Incidentally we ”should” be 5 points clear of Liverpool rather than 1

If you tap on SPI you can see the difference. I’d rather play Wolves right now.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Premier League Predictions

FiveThirtyEight's Premier League predictions
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com
 
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