UEFA FFP investigation - CAS decision to be announced Monday, 13th July 9.30am BST

What do you think will be the outcome of the CAS hearing?

  • Two-year ban upheld

    Votes: 197 13.1%
  • Ban reduced to one year

    Votes: 422 28.2%
  • Ban overturned and City exonerated

    Votes: 815 54.4%
  • Other

    Votes: 65 4.3%

  • Total voters
    1,499
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I believe G14 clubs have cooperated (not conspired!) in attempts to derail City and, of course, G14 have largely captured Uefa. It is a small step logically to suspect that corridor conversations have influenced Uefa's actions. For example, Yves Leterme probably visited Bayern on a regular basis as a member of their 'Sustainability Board' and Bayern have kept up a campaign suggesting that City have caused transfer fee inflation. Surely those parties talked about these matters?
But this cooperation is almost impossible to prove. Unless, unless...... Khaldoon said: "When people say things, we know". Khaldoon has access to a very smart intelligence service. Do we know something?

Leterme's conduct surrounding the PSG sponsorship case and then the TV rights deal shrieks of corruption and we know clubs well represented at UEFA have been screaming for "something to be done" about City for a wide variety on non offences, so a case aginst us on a wave of resentment, rather than evidence, is not out of the question.
 
I've gone worst case, 2 year ban upheld.

Genuinely think we are up against a mafia here that will not stop until they have completely fucked us over.

That was how I voted and for the very same reason, uefa seem to be one step ahead all the time, they've found the cheat mode in their own rules.
 
CAS wouldn't prove anything on the accounts but I agree, having a smell around sets of UK accounts is a serious serious issue for directors, owners and auditors. Multiple regulators could be involved and, critically, fraudulent accounts are a matter of CRIMINAL law and could end in jail for executives. So yes I think its very doubtful those people would risk adverse findings of any sort. Likewise the chances that Silverlake did not do due diligence on them is very slim (incidentally a very interesting article just posted on Silverlake on FT - they are serious players https://www.ft.com/content/cb4f8b5a-07c9-4880-a220-f4f5c56d4735). In short I agree with your assessment.

This was a point which occurred to me just after posting - if UEFA's evidence led to suspicions that the club had misled the auditors and presented fraudulent accounts wouldn't this be far too serious to be handled by the IC and AC and then CAS? Wouldn't this call for prosecutions in the riminal courts for fraud etc? Wouldn't UEFA be a little arrogant to think they could deal with it even in the first instance?
 
I just hope that we have a big fuck off weapon of mass destruction that if Pannick thinks needs launching then he can. I would love us to be completely exonerated in this and be able to seriously hurt some big clubs with Provable facts and information.
 
This was a point which occurred to me just after posting - if UEFA's evidence led to suspicions that the club had misled the auditors and presented fraudulent accounts wouldn't this be far too serious to be handled by the IC and AC and then CAS? Wouldn't this call for prosecutions in the riminal courts for fraud etc? Wouldn't UEFA be a little arrogant to think they could deal with it even in the first instance?

If they somehow had that, we wouldn't be going to CAS
 
CAS wouldn't prove anything on the accounts but I agree, having a smell around sets of UK accounts is a serious serious issue for directors, owners and auditors. Multiple regulators could be involved and, critically, fraudulent accounts are a matter of CRIMINAL law and could end in jail for executives. .

In my opinion, whilst this is technically true, for such an offence(s) to be prosecuted there would have to be a public interest in pursuing a prosecution. That would require some "harm" e.g creditors, investors or disadvantaged shareholders . I'm not seeing that here even in the worst case scenario.
 
Those who have voted "Other"
What have you in mind?

Purely because I don't think we'll be totally exhonerated. Think CAS will still rule in our favour and get the ban quashed but more likely on a technicality or procedural basis than a full not guilty verdict. To get that I think we'll have to take it further and I doubt we will especially if UEFA then agree to restructure the IC & AC.
 
This was a point which occurred to me just after posting - if UEFA's evidence led to suspicions that the club had misled the auditors and presented fraudulent accounts wouldn't this be far too serious to be handled by the IC and AC and then CAS? Wouldn't this call for prosecutions in the riminal courts for fraud etc? Wouldn't UEFA be a little arrogant to think they could deal with it even in the first instance?
Not if there's money involved, and it's going their way. If there is any potential of fines being paid, UEFA are first in the queue. They're not going to pass up the opportunity to take the first slice of the winnings here.
 
Totally get that but a crushing defeat for UEFA would see the members of the AC under huge pressure... would they survive?

From what I've read they get appointed on 4 year terms, this one ends in October. Whether they want another term is another matter but if City win I could see them tending the garden for a couple of months.
 
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I've gone worst case, 2 year ban upheld.

Genuinely think we are up against a mafia here that will not stop until they have completely fucked us over.

Likewise, and I note the number of other Blues thinking we will get a 1 or 2 year ban in the poll, has risen from about 32% when it was launched, to nearly 42% now. It’s that fucking email I can’t get past, asking whether sponsorship funds for Etihad should first be routed via the club or the airline, with the source being the ADUG shareholder (ie Sheikh Mansour). If we had additional email evidence that this didn’t then happen, then surely we would have produced it already and the AC would not have proceeded further. And what irks of course is that in terms of gaining a financial advantage, it was ultimately inconsequential where that money was sourced, because UEFA had already deemed the deal to be of fair market value. That in itself might ordinarily offer mitigation, I don’t know, but unlike other clubs who’ve been up before the beak, we’ve already been tried and found guilty by the media and the screaming red hordes, and I cannot believe that won’t be a factor against us. I hope to Christ that Khaldoon’s confidence isn’t just good old fashioned ‘front’!
 
Interesting!
I wonder if you or any other contributor to this fine thread knows of any persistent and convicted money launderers who may be associating themselves with any high profile football clubs in England by, for example, having their company logos splashed all over club shirts and stadium.
Surely this kind of thing would not be allowed.
If it is , we should be told!

Buh deh doo doh don' deh doh
 
Likewise, and I note the number of other Blues thinking we will get a 1 or 2 year ban in the poll, has risen from about 32% when it was launched, to nearly 42% now. It’s that fucking email I can’t get past, asking whether sponsorship funds for Etihad should first be routed via the club or the airline, with the source being the ADUG shareholder (ie Sheikh Mansour). If we had additional email evidence that this didn’t then happen, then surely we would have produced it already and the AC would not have proceeded further. And what irks of course is that in terms of gaining a financial advantage, it was ultimately inconsequential where that money was sourced, because UEFA had already deemed the deal to be of fair market value. That in itself might ordinarily offer mitigation, I don’t know, but unlike other clubs who’ve been up before the beak, we’ve already been tried and found guilty by the media and the screaming red hordes, and I cannot believe that won’t be a factor against us. I hope to Christ that Khaldoon’s confidence isn’t just good old fashioned ‘front’!

I think any vote is purely guesswork at this point. I think it's normal with things like this to start from a position of bullish confidence and slowly dial back the closer you get to the match (or case in this case).

I won't tell you which way I voted because it was just a guess, but it did not involve exoneration of any kind.
 
There's also an email referred to in the Der Spiegel materials and sent from City's CFO to Simon Pearce asking which model applies out of two the sender cites for the flow of the Etihad sponsorship funds. Both of these involve an entity or individual the sender names 'ADUG Shareholder', and given that the sole shareholder of ADUG is Sheikh Mansour then this does make it sound as though Mansour is routing money into City via the Etihad sponsorship.

But this email gives rise to plenty of questions, not least how Pearce replied. Der Spiegel doesn't quote it and yet, without seeing what it says, it's impossible to offer a proper interpretation of the original email.
This is exactly the point, which I've made before, about context. If Pearce's reply implicated ADUG in any way. Der Spiegel would have printed it, assuming they had it. If Pearce's reply said something like "This is nothing to do with ADUG. Etihad will be providing all the money" then that doesn't exactly help the picture that Der Spiegel were clearly trying to paint. So either they didn't have the reply (which seems unlikely) or else they did, and deliberately failed to print it.
 
This is exactly the point, which I've made before, about context. If Pearce's reply implicated ADUG in any way. Der Spiegel would have printed it, assuming they had it. If Pearce's reply said something like "This is nothing to do with ADUG. Etihad will be providing all the money" then that doesn't exactly help the picture that Der Spiegel were clearly trying to paint. So either they didn't have the reply (which seems unlikely) or else they did, and deliberately failed to print it.
It's like the contract with that Danish side that suggested we might have third party control over players.

Der Spiegel printed the bits that suggested there could be a case to answer, but either didn't see or didn't print the clause that stated everything had to be in accordance with FIFA rules.
 
This is exactly the point, which I've made before, about context. If Pearce's reply implicated ADUG in any way. Der Spiegel would have printed it, assuming they had it. If Pearce's reply said something like "This is nothing to do with ADUG. Etihad will be providing all the money" then that doesn't exactly help the picture that Der Spiegel were clearly trying to paint. So either they didn't have the reply (which seems unlikely) or else they did, and deliberately failed to print it.

Exactly what I’ve been thinking. If that reply was a smoking gun that implicated us, there is little doubt in my mind that Der Spiegel would have possession of it and would’ve printed it in all its glory complete with bells and whistles. But they didn’t. Unless it’s a bluff on their part and they hung on to it to stitch us up further down the line by handing it over to UEFA, but City would know if such an e-mail exists and the club surely wouldn’t be so bullish about the outcome if it did.
 
If we had additional email evidence that this didn’t then happen, then surely we would have produced it already and the AC would not have proceeded further. And
Wasn't it the case that the IC did not look at Citys irrefutable evidence and if that is the case they did not pass that evidence onto the AC to consider. My view remains the same as it has always been, that City are playing the long game and if they get cleared at CAS its a bonus,
 
This is exactly the point, which I've made before, about context. If Pearce's reply implicated ADUG in any way. Der Spiegel would have printed it, assuming they had it. If Pearce's reply said something like "This is nothing to do with ADUG. Etihad will be providing all the money" then that doesn't exactly help the picture that Der Spiegel were clearly trying to paint. So either they didn't have the reply (which seems unlikely) or else they did, and deliberately failed to print it.
Just something I don't know which maybe you can answer, who blacked out parts of the emails and who would have the complete emails other than City.
 
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