X5 Solar Flare tonight...

TimmyP

Well-Known Member
Joined
24 Jul 2007
Messages
2,092
Massive x5 rated solar flare has erupted from the sun tonight - causing radio failures already in the US (rated R3 out of 5).

High chance of auroras over the UK in the following evenings.

So if you've ever wanted to see the Aurora, this could be the week.
 
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Ta for the heads up.

Is this a new flare or the one that happened a few days ago and is hitting us today?

Level 5 should be visible from the Lake district if its clear. certainly very visible from Scotland.

Edit: It seems it started a few days ago and just peeked.
 
Here we go guys. I use this site.

<a class="postlink" href="http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/Europe/2012/03/07" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast ... 2012/03/07</a>

Forecaster Comments: The auroral activity index of 5 and 6 that occurred on the 7th (today) is the result of the solar event on the 5th that was the subject of the previous alert. Aurora should have been visible as far south as the middle of the US on the night of Mar 6/7, as we predicted in the last alert.

A large solar event early on the 7th of March was directly more closely to the Earth-Sun line, and should produce more activity. The debris should reach Earth sometime in the late morning of March 8 GMT. This means that the resulting aurora may be visible late on the night of the 7th/8th from Alaska, but Western Russia, Europe, and the US will probably see activity levels of Kp=5 or greater on the night of March 8/9.

Note that activity on the 7th may still be greater than Kp=4.

We are having trouble with the short-term forecast panel on the aurora forecast website <a class="postlink" href="http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/</a>, but watch the short term forecast to determine what the activity level will be in the next hour.
 
Wow, Friday night looks the best bet with a KP rating of 6! I've been watching this closely for 3 years now and never seen a rating of 6! Here is the predicted forecast. I will be out looking for the Aurora. Let's hope Friday night is clear!

<a class="postlink" href="http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/Europe/2012/03/09" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast ... 2012/03/09</a>
 
rickmcfc said:
Wow, Friday night looks the best bet with a KP rating of 6! I've been watching this closely for 3 years now and never seen a rating of 6! Here is the predicted forecast. I will be out looking for the Aurora. Let's hope Friday night is clear!

<a class="postlink" href="http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/Europe/2012/03/09" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast ... 2012/03/09</a>

will it be visible from round here?
 

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