The Title Race - 2021/22

[Never Mind The Pollocks]

How much money would you put on your predictions?

Football is less predictable than it may seem. Otherwise, betting companies would go bust.

Not how bookies work.

 

[alexmcity]

Not how bookies work.

Bookies wouldn't exist in the first place if football were more predictable than it is.

 

[MadchesterCity]

you keep saying ‘they go top’ - they’ve got 2 tough fixtures of their own to worry about winning.

They will win both of those guaranteed, they have the momentum

 

[MadchesterCity]

We absolutely needed to win at Newcastle in January 2019, but we lost there. Getting hysterical about what we need to do won't help us. Trust the team a bit more. The title would be in our hands even if we lost the next 2 games, for we can win the last 10.

no, it wouldn't! Certainly not only in our hands as Liverpool have better GD and are outscoring us significantly

 

[alexmcity]

no, it wouldn't! Certainly not only in our hands as Liverpool have better GD and are outscoring us significantly

As long as we win the last 10 games, including vs Liverpool, we'll be fine.

Again, no need to get hysterical about the next 1,2,3...games. We'll try to win all of them, only time can tell what's going to happen. We'll fight to the end.

 

[MadchesterCity]

As long as we win the last 10 games, including vs Liverpool, we'll be fine.

Again, no need to get hysterical about the next 1,2,3...games. We'll try to win all of them, only time can tell what's going to happen. We'll fight to the end.

Absolutely no guarantee of this and we really need to win our next match and then the next match ..........!!

 

[Never Mind The Pollocks]

Bookies wouldn't exist in the first place if football were more predictable than it is.

Yes they would. Games in a casino for example are very predictable, hence the house always winning in the long term. The bookies aren’t betting on a particular outcome, the odds are calculated to give them a profit margin whatever the outcome.

 

[Musampa 209]

Will feel a lot more confident if I see us bounce back with a solid win against Everton

 

[Inter Me Nan]

They will win both of those guaranteed, they have the momentum

Absolutely no guarantee of this and we really need to win our next match and then the next match ..........!!

So the dippers are allowed to be guaranteed to win but we aren't?
Sound logic!

 

[alexmcity]

Yes they would. Games in a casino for example are very predictable, hence the house always winning in the long term. The bookies aren’t betting on a particular outcome, the odds are calculated to give them a profit margin whatever the outcome.

No, they wouldn't, because football wouldn't be an interesting game if football games were easy to predict. It's precisely because small clubs can beat big clubs (say, Wigan vs City in 2018), that football is a great game in the first place and there's a betting industry around it. In purely mathematical terms, you can build algorithms which guarantee profits for the betting companies at nearly 100 % in the long run, as long as there are enough gamblers. But if football were more predictable, there wouldn't exist a betting industry around it because it would be an extremely boring game.