What percentage chance of going through (both now and when the draw was made)

Fuzzy80

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2 Feb 2015
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Trying to gauge the reaction from fellow blues on today's result is it good, bad or somewhat ok?

The no away goal is a huge bonus but the fact is Madrid at home, they will fancy beating us.

So percentage wise how do we see it. For me I thought we had a 40% chance when the draw was made and now about 33% after the result tonight.
 
I'd say the opposite. We had a 33% shot but now that it's down to a 1 game playoff with our goals counting more I'd say we've gone up to 40%.

It's unlikely well go through but more likely than before.
 
35%, historically speaking.


Under current regulations, 712 european ties started with 0-0 on 1st leg. 462 times (65%) went through the one with 2nd leg at home.
 
30%? I'm glad we're still well in it. I didn't see anything to frighten City either. They were good, but not that good. We're a lot closer than we ever have been.
 
I think if we played 10 games at their place, we probably lose 6 or 7 of them? So somewhere between 30 and 40% chance of progressing.
 

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