Article 50/Brexit Negotiations

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I wanted to remain but the things you hear from the EU makes it seem like they will lose nothing if we leave while trying to railroad us with demands.

We are one of the top contributors to the group, are they expecting countries with near 50% of their youth unemployed to increase their share? Doubt they are going to be too happy about that when they struggle to sort their own economies. Are the french / germans going to be happy when they learn they have to pay even more to prop up the rest of the EU to cover the fact we are leaving?

They are trying to create a scenario where they hold all the cards. They can try make things as hard for us as possible to send as message to other countries, it wont affect them as politicians but for the citizens within the EU, they are the ones who will suffer any adverse affects of their demands.

Most people just want to get on with their daily lives, if they find out because their EU politicians wouldn't make a reasonable deal they now pay more tax, their food now costs more or their everyday good has increased in price they wont be sympathetic to accept this just because it was the will of the EU politicians, especially when there was always the option for no change.

Long term it could lead to discontent if they do not consider how any deal affects everyday EU citizens lives.
Up until now though they will have thought that they do hold all the cards.

The machinations in Westminster, that still continue, will have left them confident that we will never be able to credibly threaten a walk-away - without that option and the balls to consider using it then they could have played us for many years.

That is why they are whinging big time about May calling an election - things could all of a sudden get a bit more real.
 
Up until now though they will have thought that they do hold all the cards.

The machinations in Westminster, that still continue, will have left them confident that we will never be able to credibly threaten a walk-away - without that option and the balls to consider using it then they could have played us for many years.

That is why they are whinging big time about May calling an election - things could all of a sudden get a bit more real.

Some good posts there 1632. One of my concerns is that the negotiations are going to be conducted by whitehall mandarins and bloody useless civil servants who have little real experience of negotiating anything and will take ages and cost the country millions. Personally I would like May to employ a team of cut throat business leaders to do the negotiation. Give them a remit of what is required and let them get on with it. Head it up with Mike Ashley?? reporting back to the Brexit Sec and PM.
 
Some good posts there 1632. One of my concerns is that the negotiations are going to be conducted by whitehall mandarins and bloody useless civil servants who have little real experience of negotiating anything and will take ages and cost the country millions. Personally I would like May to employ a team of cut throat business leaders to do the negotiation. Give them a remit of what is required and let them get on with it. Head it up with Mike Ashley?? reporting back to the Brexit Sec and PM.

Put Mike Ashley on the job ???????????????????????????????????????? I would genuinely rather have them bring in Trump.............
 
Put Mike Ashley on the job ???????????????????????????????????????? I would genuinely rather have them bring in Trump.............

Ashley is just the kind of person we want heading up our side of any negotiations. He is very succesfull and has undoubtely negotiated loads of deals, he wont care if he upsets a few eu autocrats and to be honest we shouldnt be worried about upsetting them. Can you sugest someone better?
 
I voted remain, but now accept we have to make Brexit work for us. Hopefully it will be for better in the long term, but I am sceptical on this and after reading this article : http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-39755124 on the bbc website referring to a 60bn euro (£51bn) divorce bill I feel quite angry. When it comes to negotiations (and am I referring to Brexit and future trade deals with EU and non-EU countries) it is about size. The big boy bullies the small boy into a deal more favourable to the former than the latter. Yes, they don't want to lose us, yes we will stand firm on this divorce bill valuation, yes we can freely negotiate deal with non-EU countries but this is going to get messy and expensive.

I am 45 years old and the demographic spread of leave and remain voters shows the younger voters (who will live with the outcome) are very much remain and the older voters (who won't) are very much leave. Maybe the cost should be weighted that way as well?! OK, I am being slightly mischievous, we are all in this together and for the sake of this and future generations I hope it works out.
 
I wanted to remain but the things you hear from the EU makes it seem like they will lose nothing if we leave while trying to railroad us with demands.

We are one of the top contributors to the group, are they expecting countries with near 50% of their youth unemployed to increase their share? Doubt they are going to be too happy about that when they struggle to sort their own economies. Are the french / germans going to be happy when they learn they have to pay even more to prop up the rest of the EU to cover the fact we are leaving?

They are trying to create a scenario where they hold all the cards. They can try make things as hard for us as possible to send as message to other countries, it wont affect them as politicians but for the citizens within the EU, they are the ones who will suffer any adverse affects of their demands.

Most people just want to get on with their daily lives, if they find out because their EU politicians wouldn't make a reasonable deal they now pay more tax, their food now costs more or their everyday good has increased in price they wont be sympathetic to accept this just because it was the will of the EU politicians, especially when there was always the option for no change.

Long term it could lead to discontent if they do not consider how any deal affects everyday EU citizens lives.

The EU have no regard for their citizens. They only care for the project.
 
Ashley is just the kind of person we want heading up our side of any negotiations. He is very succesfull and has undoubtely negotiated loads of deals, he wont care if he upsets a few eu autocrats and to be honest we shouldnt be worried about upsetting them. Can you sugest someone better?

yes - politicians and civil servants.
 
yes - politicians and civil servants.

But they mess up nearly every deal they do. They couldnt negotiate their way out of a paper bag. Check put the horrendous contract deals that they signed for the MoD, NHS and rail over the past few years . Billions wasted on piss poor contracts and deals. They are useless. Seriously i run a small sucessful business and could run rings round these people.
 
But they mess up nearly every deal they do. They couldnt negotiate their way out of a paper bag. Check put the horrendous contract deals that they signed for the MoD, NHS and rail over the past few years . Billions wasted on piss poor contracts and deals. They are useless. Seriously i run a small sucessful business and could run rings round these people.

If you think a self serving businessman would be able to deal with political negotiations look across the pond to the hash another self made man is making of entering politics.
 
Yes i do indeed. You need to put aside your anti trump bias and see the bigger picture. Not all business men are like trump. You give a sucessful business person a set of targets to achieve and i bet they would achieve half of them long before a career politician or civil servant had even decided how to go about achieving them. Its horses for courses my friend. Private sector gets things done much much quicker than public every time, everybody knows that. Sure they will need guidance and targets but thats what the government should do.
 
.....I am concerned that with the EU having made this 'hardest of hard' negotiating mandates they may not be able to find the compromises necessary for successful win/win negotiations - especially as they have to keep going back for agreements amongst the EU27.

If they are unable to make compromises I can see this ending up with the UK having to introduce the threat of walk-away'

Introduce? "No deal is better than a bad deal" always sounded like a threat.

For all the copious stuff you write, I still don't get why you see one side's negotiating stance as "hard" while the other's is "perfectly reasonable opening gambit looking for compromise".

Keep it short or I probably won't read it.
 
If you think a self serving businessman would be able to deal with political negotiations look across the pond to the hash another self made man is making of entering politics.

It does not and will not work in either way - businessmen or purely Civil Servants

Generally there are teams of Civil Servants organised to support and be part of a negotiating team. Normally, if the negotiations are part of a major initiative, the team will be headed up by a professional(s). That said I know a number of Senior Civil Servants that have been part of major negotiations and themselves become regarded as negotiating professionals.

But the likes of Davis, May etc. will be involved in agreeing the mandate and decision making when things get tough - they will not be leading the negotiations.

With regards business professionals though it would be good if they could be recruited into the Civil Service. Their attitude and and experience of setting and achieving targets could bring about a much needed culture change.

The Civil Service career path essentially precludes there being Senior Civil Servants that have practical experience of 'managing' and 'achieving'.
 
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It does not and will not work in either way - businessmen or purely Civil Servants

But your initial position was get rid of the civil servants and put businessmen in to do the job reporting back to govt- now you say it won't work with either. Make your mind up.
 
Introduce? "No deal is better than a bad deal" always sounded like a threat.

For all the copious stuff you write, I still don't get why you see one side's negotiating stance as "hard" while the other's is "perfectly reasonable opening gambit looking for compromise".

Keep it short or I probably won't read it.

1. The EU has set out the hardest of hard stances - the UK cannot possibly go with that.............

2. The EU have had to this point no incentive whatsoever to change that stance - they will have been entirely confident that they will never have to do anything other than play hardball. This is because they had to this point been very confident that their sycophants in Westminster will ensure that all they have to do is play hardball and a deal will never be agreed and eventually we will end up Remaining.

3. The only way the EU will ever be moved to change their stance and negotiate in a manner other than totally self-serving is if something that is a 'game-changer' is introduced. The implications of a UK Walkaway in March 2019 or before and making no further payments could be such a game-changer. Such a decision is fraught with massive risks and implications for both parties and would have to be very carefully thought through before put on the table - but as a 'deterrent of last resort' might be needed if the EU continue to pursued their hardest of hard agendas.

You say:

"I still don't get why you see one side's negotiating stance as "hard" while the other's is "perfectly reasonable opening gambit looking for compromise".

If you really think that then you do not either read or analyse IMO. The UK's stance is set out in the A50 notice - it is very reasonable and in no way can be considered to be 'hard'. It is loaded with compromise and consensus. The EU's negotiating stance, just agreed, is 100% extreme and presents a total win for them and a need for us to just suck it up.

All this soft/hard bollocks is what Remainers have chosen to bang on about in their desperation.

to avoid being copious I will give just one example, although there are others:

Withdrawal from / no access to the Single market!!!!!!! - that is this woman Theresa May being extreme!!!.................

Hmmmm - utter bollocks - it is entirely down to the EU's position. They are the ones being extreme and forcing a Hard-Brexit. They are the ones that insist that that the UK must effectively stay in the EU to have access to the single-market.

Don't worry I will not lose sleep if you choose not to read what I type. You project an attitude that you are totally fixed in your views and not even the most compelling evidence that you are wrong will change your views. It is OK, you are not alone on here and I do not post things to try and persuade you and your band of brothers of anything.
 
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But your initial position was get rid of the civil servants and put businessmen in to do the job reporting back to govt- now you say it won't work with either. Make your mind up.


No - you are barking (up the wrong tree) - I have not said that - Curchlawtonblue did.

I know exactly how it does and will work.
 
...

Withdrawal from / no access to the Single market!!!!!!! - that is this woman Theresa May being extreme!!!.................

Hmmmm - utter bollocks - it is entirely down to the EU's position. They are the ones being extreme and forcing a Hard-Brexit. They are the ones that insist that that the UK must effectively stay in the EU to have access to the single-market.
Bollocks back. It was May who announced we were leaving the single market and the customs union. Don't blame the EU.
 
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