Another new Brexit thread

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So the ONS manipulate statistics, OK.
I must contact them and tell them that what they're doing is fiddling, and they can expect to be
replaced by another body untainted by corruption.

ONS follow guidelines on which group are considered employed, they’re counting from the same sample.

A guy who works 2 days in a month on a zero hour contract is considered as being in employment. Someone who hasn’t worked in 10 years because they’re unable to, see considered in employment.

It’s the oldest trick in the book.

Now, can you explain to me why the economy slowed so much?
 
The global economy has been in a synchronised slowdown.

To use a phrase used on these threads, nothing to do with brexit, we are still in the EU and have not left yet.
It's getting pointless when proof is ignored, no wonder this thread keeps getting binned.
 
The global economy has been in a synchronised slowdown.

To use a phrase used on these threads, nothing to do with brexit, we are still in the EU and have not left yet.

We went from being one of the fastest in the EU to one of the slowest following the vote. If it’s the global economy then why did we fall more than everyone else?
 
We went from being one of the fastest in the EU to one of the slowest following the vote. If it’s the global economy then why did we fall more than everyone else?
Because we had been one of the fastest growing so had further to fall?
 
We went from being one of the fastest in the EU to one of the slowest following the vote. If it’s the global economy then why did we fall more than everyone else?

We have not fallen more than anyone else.

Not just within the EU but also globally.
 
ONS follow guidelines on which group are considered employed, they’re counting from the same sample.

A guy who works 2 days in a month on a zero hour contract is considered as being in employment. Someone who hasn’t worked in 10 years because they’re unable to, see considered in employment.

It’s the oldest trick in the book.

Now, can you explain to me why the economy slowed so much?
If I could be bothered, and after this farce of a discussion, I can't, I could put up a full breakdown of
their figures, based on number of hours, number of UK v EU nationals, age, residence, qualifications, workforce
by regions, international comparisons, public and private employment figures,Scotland, Ulster and Wales, by age, sex
full or part time, full time, part time and temporary. Plus anything else you may want to know.
But as they are not to be trusted, as it's the ONS, which apparently, are bent, it would be futile.
 
Because we had been one of the fastest growing so had further to fall?

What all these points fail to address is the long term nature of business planning and the knock on effect of big decisions that take time to wash through - look at the Car industry. They set up a plant and it will work night and day for x years until they make a new decision on models and strategy. At those points the plants and what happens with them gets reviewed. The industry is clearly on the slide here due to uncertainty, the negative news outweighing the positive by a big margin. But for the most part the plants are not yet closed. Once they do close the knock on effect with smaller suppliers will be a bigger impact. Everything from the other manufacturing firms making components to the sandwich van on the car park faces shutting down. This is the bigger part of the picture but happens more gradually and is much harder to quantify.
 
look at the Car industry.

The worst one to look at because globally the industry is on its arse due to nobody wanting to buy diesel cars any more, petrol to a lessor extent and they all need to invest and produce electric.

Again nothing to do with brexit and everything to do with the climate.
 
If I could be bothered, and after this farce of a discussion, I can't, I could put up a full breakdown of
their figures, based on number of hours, number of UK v EU nationals, age, residence, qualifications, workforce
by regions, international comparisons, public and private employment figures,Scotland, Ulster and Wales, by age, sex
full or part time, full time, part time and temporary. Plus anything else you may want to know.
But as they are not to be trusted, as it's the ONS, which apparently, are bent, it would be futile.

They’re not bent, the Government is and most other governments when it comes to this. Employment figures are generally classed as the least trustable in politics.

Why’s it a farce?
 
The worst one to look at because globally the industry is on its arse due to nobody wanting to buy diesel cars any more, petrol to a lessor extent and they all need to invest and produce electric.

Again nothing to do with brexit and everything to do with the climate.

But this is exactly my point - if they are all cutting back and looking around to see where to cut back the UK stands out like a sore thumb. The threat of tariffs make it a no brainer. Brexit and the lack of trade deals mean that big industry has a driver to shut down UK operations. The logic is undeniable. The evidence is clear.
 
But this is exactly my point - if they are all cutting back and looking around to see where to cut back the UK stands out like a sore thumb. The threat of tariffs make it a no brainer. Brexit and the lack of trade deals mean that big industry has a driver to shut down UK operations. The logic is undeniable. The evidence is clear.

Yet JLR, the very company used by the remain campaign to shout the loudest about the impact of brexit are now retooling and will produce an all electric model in this country along with the batteries needed.

Japanese manufacturers have decided to take that production back home as they already have it there.

Brexit is not a factor in those decisions it simply isn't.

Within the next 10 years the car industry globally will be a bloodbath imo as the climate will dictate who can adapt and survive.
 
You also need to take into account that whichever strategy documents you are referring to will not automatically come to fruition without full agreement from 28 (soon to be 27) countries. To expect it all to happen within a generation or two is pure scaremongering from an anti-EU perspective and wishful thinking from a pro-integration perspective. The reality is that any moves towards towards full integration will be at a snails pace if at all imo. With us in the EU progress would be even slower.
Obviously, I have taken that into account
 
So it’s inevitable in your opinion. That doesn’t make it fact though does it? Maybe a phrase like, ‘the balance of probability’ would be more appropriate than ‘inevitable’.
Nope - IMO, any objective analysis = inevitable


FFS - just look how over a couple of decades it has become impossible to easily leave the EU - as proved by the last 3 years

Your position is fine - just, IMO, stop either lying to yourselves or deluding us all
 
FFS - just look how over a couple of decades it has become impossible to easily leave the EU - as proved by the last 3 years

That’s because unfortunately we have the complex political attributes to Northern Ireland and the Good Friday Agreement.

Had we just been Great Britain, we’d be already out now and probably onto trade agreements.

Whilst being worse off still, I might add.
 
Nope - IMO, any objective analysis = inevitable


FFS - just look how over a couple of decades it has become impossible to easily leave the EU - as proved by the last 3 years

Your position is fine - just, IMO, stop either lying to yourselves or deluding us all

So is the reason we haven't left becasue the EU are refusing to let us rather than we have failed to agree on the terms they negotiated with us. We could presumably have left with no deal three years ago if we were that desperate to go.
 
That’s because unfortunately we have the complex political attributes to Northern Ireland and the Good Friday Agreement.

Had we just been Great Britain, we’d be already out now and probably onto trade agreements.

Whilst being worse off still, I might add.

I think people have exaggerated the good Friday agreement as an impediment to leaving the eu. Oh the troubles will start again there needs to be a seemless border they say

Well firstly nobody is going to build a hard border. Nobody.

Secondly, the main problem with the gfa was establishing a power sharing government in Northern Ireland. It was important that both sides take control of matters in Northern Ireland in terms of policy and laws, otherwise...

But wait they all fell out and Northern Ireland is again controlled from Westminster and has been for many years, there isn’t a working government in Northern Ireland and hasn’t been for a few years and no sign there will be anytime soon. Yet the peace accord continues so I feel the border issue and the “threat” of a return to troubles is over stated maybe for remain political convenience . Ireland and the uk have said they won’t erect a hard border.

What was more difficult in the gfa different tariffs or an actual government in Northern Ireland? I would have thought it was an actual government and self governance but that broke down long ago and yet Ireland continues relatively trouble free.
 
I think people have exaggerated the good Friday agreement as an impediment to leaving the eu. Oh the troubles will start again there needs to be a seemless border they say

Well firstly nobody is going to build a hard border. Nobody.

Secondly, the main problem with the gfa was establishing a power sharing government in Northern Ireland. It was important that both sides take control of matters in Northern Ireland in terms of policy and laws, otherwise...

But wait they all fell out and Northern Ireland is again controlled from Westminster and has been for many years, there isn’t a working government in Northern Ireland and hasn’t been for a few years and no sign there will be anytime soon. Yet the peace accord continues so I feel the border issue and the “threat” of a return to troubles is over stated maybe for remain political convenience . Ireland and the uk have said they won’t erect a hard border.

What was more difficult in the gfa different tariffs or an actual government in Northern Ireland? I would have thought it was an actual government and self governance but that broke down long ago and yet Ireland continues relatively trouble free.

This has been done to absolute death mate but just to be quick on it.

-WTO’s MFN means we need a border if we don’t have a back stop or Customs Union

-Otherwise our border is open to the entire planet (not a good idea)

-This is before we discuss the issues surrounding citizenship for Catholics who hold an Irish passport in NI or any troubles

-If it was that easy, we wouldn’t have the backstop

-Johnson cannot answer questions on it because there’s no resolution, other than point one
 
This has been done to absolute death mate but just to be quick on it.

-WTO’s MFN means we need a border if we don’t have a back stop or Customs Union

-Otherwise our border is open to the entire planet (not a good idea)

-This is before we discuss the issues surrounding citizenship for Catholics who hold an Irish passport in NI or any troubles

-If it was that easy, we wouldn’t have the backstop

-Johnson cannot answer questions on it because there’s no resolution, other than point one

We need a border just not a hard one. We need one like between Switzerland to France .
 
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