BlueMoonRisin’
Well-Known Member
I'm aware of the postcode survey and I'm not really mithered either way tbh mate. United have more supporters/armchair fans, have won more trophies and have a bigger stadium. And they are more famous than us worldwide. I never became a blue to be like them, but we are becoming more like them as a club and fanbase each year unfortunately.It's not as simple as that actually.
They might have more armchair "fans", but City have more season ticket holders in Manchester, and I can prove it.
This study looked at where season ticket holders in Manchester lived. The study was done in 2002, when United had just won the treble and City had just played in the 3rd division. https://e-space.mmu.ac.uk/12506/1/seasonticketreport - brown1.pdf
The study found that United had 7,808 season ticket holders in "M" postcodes and City had 6,678. But when you look at a map of Greater Manchester, it's pretty clear that considering "M" postcodes as Manchester is a ridiculous way to conduct a study.
"M" postcodes include Manchester, and the Greater Manchester districts of Trafford and Salford (United strongholds) and doesn't include Greater Manchester districts of Tameside and Stockport (City strongholds), so it's no wonder United are listed as having more season ticket holders in the study. There is no data available for Tameside and Stockport, so it's impossible to do an accurate study of Greater Manchester.
But it is possible to do an accurate study of Manchester. Instead of just including the "M" postcodes, it's possible to actually just include the postcodes in Manchester. City had 2827 season ticket holders and United had 2158.
If you analyse each postcode individually to see whether there's more City or United, it's a sea of blue.
City had 14 out of the 19 Manchester postcodes with more season ticket holders. United only had 5 postcodes in Manchester with more season tickets. And two of those (M3 and M16) are actually half in Manchester and half in Salford, so you could argue they only had 3 out of 19.
When the study was conducted, United had a capacity of 67k and City had a capacity of 35k. Theirs is now 75k and ours 55k, so assuming the increase in attendance is reflected in a similar increase in Manchester based season ticket holders:
United - 11% increase
City - 37% increase
United 2158 + 11% = 2395
City 2827 + 37% = 3873
In 2002 their attendances were almost double ours, and we STILL had more season tickets in Manchester than them. Now our capacity is only 30% fewer than theirs, we'll have far more season ticket holders in Manchester than them, without any question.
Part of me yearns to be back in the old third division at Maine Road. City meant more to me then.