Blue Maverick
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 6 Aug 2010
- Messages
- 25,336
Not with a curfew mate they won’t be able to check on them, hopefully :)On the flip side, numerous grows up and down the land will be allowed to carry on largely unfettered.
Not with a curfew mate they won’t be able to check on them, hopefully :)On the flip side, numerous grows up and down the land will be allowed to carry on largely unfettered.
Things will calm down for sure. We're seeing a blip right now following the sudden ramp up of measures and people panicking.As someone who hasnt panic bought I do wonder how long it is before I run out of soap, loo rolls, food. Should that happen I might have to stay away from work as I wouldnt have much energy due to the lack of food, or being able to wash my hands , so hopefully all these horders will keep the country going.
Americans are masters of naming diseases after other countries *cough* Spanish flu that didn't originate in Spain *cough*.I think with Trump using the term "Chinese virus" there are a few angles you can look at it from with them all being correct and wrong at the same time.
Is it a "Chinese virus", certainly it originated there due to political calls in the 1970's. If Jeff at the pub refers to the virus in such terms those listening will know Jeff and how he means it; namely that of a regular bloke with little interest in politics and medical science, the context and nuance is vital i think. When a politician uses it given the current context (China vs USA) the connotations can carry a deeper more accusatory meaning. Suddenly it is not just the virus that originated from china but a virus "from China" which if given the right push can insinuate malicious intent. It certainly adds to an us v them mentality.
For myself this is just political jostling, not race related in the traditional sense but a political one. China should be shunned until they bring in responsible farming however. We are an interconnected world like never before now as evidenced by this situation with our responsibilities growing to each other. This policy of China's allowing such items at wet markets needs to be immediatly halted by themselves with a program to introduce sustainable safe farming with traditional animals. To the few old chinese not wanting to give this up, tough cookies.
This entire economy of wild animal farming in China is a rash decision as a result of a Chinese dictatorship culminating in the 1970's rushed, ill considered, catastrophic agriculture and farming policies. It has now crept into south east asian culture in general on a large scale as a delicacy. Not exclusively but they have a strong influence across the area, some countries have thier own wet market culture developed entirely independent of any Chinese influence. They need to ban this practice or reduce it to a very few heavily monitored places that have hygene as an absolute priority.
I think with Trump using the term "Chinese virus" there are a few angles you can look at it from with them all being correct and wrong at the same time.
Is it a "Chinese virus", certainly it originated there due to political calls in the 1970's. If Jeff at the pub refers to the virus in such terms those listening will know Jeff and how he means it; namely that of a regular bloke with little interest in politics and medical science, the context and nuance is vital i think. When a politician uses it given the current context (China vs USA) the connotations can carry a deeper more accusatory meaning. Suddenly it is not just the virus that originated from china but a virus "from China" which if given the right push can insinuate malicious intent. It certainly adds to an us v them mentality.
For myself this is just political jostling, not race related in the traditional sense but a political one. China should be shunned until they bring in responsible farming however. We are an interconnected world like never before now as evidenced by this situation with our responsibilities growing to each other. This policy of China's allowing such items at wet markets needs to be immediatly halted by themselves with a program to introduce sustainable safe farming with traditional animals. To the few old chinese not wanting to give this up, tough cookies.
This entire economy of wild animal farming in China is a rash decision as a result of a Chinese dictatorship culminating in the 1970's rushed, ill considered, catastrophic agriculture and farming policies. It has now crept into south east asian culture in general on a large scale as a delicacy. Not exclusively but they have a strong influence across the area, some countries have thier own wet market culture developed entirely independent of any Chinese influence. They need to ban this practice or reduce it to a very few heavily monitored places that have hygene as an absolute priority.
Things will calm down for sure. We're seeing a blip right now following the sudden ramp up of measures and people panicking.
Some people are trying to buy much more than they need, and then others who find there is none left, try to buy more than they need, because they couldn't get any last time. A vicious circle.
But there's only so many times you can wipe your arse. It's not like everyone suddenly needs 10x the number of big rolls... or anything else for that matter.
Give it a week and the shops will be back to normal.
No worries, I’ll start a thread, lol.
It has been claimed that they don’t count patients who were close to death before catching the virusAccording to the stats, Germany has 5 times the number of cases we have yet only one third of the deaths. I.e. 1/15th of our mortality rate.
This is puzzling and I am wondering what they are doing so much better than us.
I do not doubt that under normal day to day service they have better healthcare than us. But what that means is more doctors, nurses, beds and capacity per head of population than us and correspondingly lower waiting times etc. I didn't think they provided better treatment per se, than we do. Known treatments exist for different conditions and broadly speaking all healthcare systems deploy them.
And we are not in normal day to day service. I am unaware that the NHS is overloaded, unable to provide appropriate care or ICU treatment for anyone yet. This will doubtless come, but we are not there yet. People "lucky" enough to catch COVID-19 early, are getting the treatment they need at the moment, are they not?
So why are so many more people dying here in the UK compared to Germany? Any ideas? I could understand if there was some minor variation, but 15x? There must be a big influencing factor and we could do well to know what it is.
One possibility is that we have 15x more unregistered infections compared to them. But they will have unregistered infections too, so us having 15x is not really plausible. Something else is going on.
This is about the difference between SK and Italy, but it might be a factor for other countries too:According to the stats, Germany has 5 times the number of cases we have yet only one third of the deaths. I.e. 1/15th of our mortality rate.
This is puzzling and I am wondering what they are doing so much better than us.
I do not doubt that under normal day to day service they have better healthcare than us. But what that means is more doctors, nurses, beds and capacity per head of population than us and correspondingly lower waiting times etc. I didn't think they provided better treatment per se, than we do. Known treatments exist for different conditions and broadly speaking all healthcare systems deploy them.
And we are not in normal day to day service. I am unaware that the NHS is overloaded, unable to provide appropriate care or ICU treatment for anyone yet. This will doubtless come, but we are not there yet. People "lucky" enough to catch COVID-19 early, are getting the treatment they need at the moment, are they not?
So why are so many more people dying here in the UK compared to Germany? Any ideas? I could understand if there was some minor variation, but 15x? There must be a big influencing factor and we could do well to know what it is.
One possibility is that we have 15x more unregistered infections compared to them. But they will have unregistered infections too, so us having 15x is not really plausible. Something else is going on.
Also yeah, as cibaman said, Germany might have different standards for considering a death to be caused by COVID-19.Why South Korea has so few coronavirus deaths while Italy has so many
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/16/...oronavirus-survivability-sepkowitz/index.html
Things will calm down for sure. We're seeing a blip right now following the sudden ramp up of measures and people panicking.
Some people are trying to buy much more than they need, and then others who find there is none left, try to buy more than they need, because they couldn't get any last time. A vicious circle.
But there's only so many times you can wipe your arse. It's not like everyone suddenly needs 10x the number of big rolls... or anything else for that matter.
Give it a week and the shops will be back to normal.
I think everyone is reporting different stats so it's hard to extrapolate or compare figures. In the last week infected people in Spain has risen nine fold, here it is five fold and Italy which everyone talks about being in a dreadful state only three fold. WHO still says that the chances of catching the virus are low which if you look at population stats is probably correct if all cases were being reported. I can't believe there are only circa 1,500 cases in the UK out of a total population of 67m. There are about 5 people on this site who have it. I reckon upwards of 100k have been infected which is still only around 0.15% of UK populationThis is about the difference between SK and Italy, but it might be a factor for other countries too:
Also yeah, as cibaman said, Germany might have different standards for considering a death to be caused by COVID-19.
I'm in the same boat as you. I'm in total lockdown and isolation and we're establishing a daily routine much the same as you describe in your post, and I'm quite happy to keep this up for a sustained period.I was thinking about starting one on tips for self isolation but I can see the threads are starting to fragment and duplication of information questions/answers has started so don’t want to split the threads anymore. I’m on day 4 with two kids and still working from home and my heads done in already and thankfully unlike the blues across the border we still have freedom of movement till tonight’s presidential decrees at least but not much to do with it. I can’t get my head around doing this for months.
The logistics are really hard with getting the balance for the online education the kids are doing, physical exercise, everyone getting their own space, online social connections just so the shock of the isolation isn’t too great on them and generally keeping everyone’s spirits up to deal with the periodic bouts of anxiety.
I suspect BM will end up with a covid19 tab of its own with lots of subsections if Uk gets lockdown, @SebastianBlue has called this a couple of times earlier in terms of the increasing reliance people will have on BM and other online communities which he’s right about.
Yeah what they should realise is that they aren't special passes. They're just self-certificates everyone has (if you don't have it on you police will give you one for you to fill when they stop you) that says you're going shopping or to the pharmacy or buying a newspaper or walking the dog, and not going clubbing or playing cards with friends etc. Once you have that piece of paper signed it means you're aware of the consequences of lying; if they catch you going around without heading to one of the allowed destinations they can fine you or even jail you. So shopping is allowed as usual, you won't be shut at home to starve.not the experience we are having here and we are 1 phase ahead of you but 1 phase behind Italy/Spain the pattern I’ve seen is massive spikes on shopping trips every time there is speculation that we are moving from shutdown to lockdown but they keep dithering and drip feeding restrictions before the Italian option is deployed. Another surge today here as president is doing an update tonight which people think is the big one, too many people here have now seen scenes from Italy of police cars/army on the street and special passes needed to leave your front door.
I think you're way, way under there, admittedly with absolutely nothing to back it up. I think we're more along the lines of The Walking Dead where most people are actually carrying it (or a form of it perhaps) but it's just not showing signs.I think everyone is reporting different stats so it's hard to extrapolate or compare figures. In the last week infected people in Spain has risen nine fold, here it is five fold and Italy which everyone talks about being in a dreadful state only three fold. WHO still says that the chances of catching the virus are low which if you look at population stats is probably correct if all cases were being reported. I can't believe there are only circa 1,500 cases in the UK out of a total population of 67m. There are about 5 people on this site who have it. I reckon upwards of 100k have been infected which is still only around 0.15% of UK population
Wise move and you get to keep the stash:)
I'm in the same boat as you. I'm in total lockdown and isolation and we're establishing a daily routine much the same as you describe in your post, and I'm quite happy to keep this up for a sustained period.
I have however, started wondering about an exit strategy to all this. It would be pointless to isolate now only to emerge and be infected by a second wave. Do we keep this up until a vaccine is found , however long that might take?
So when would the right time be to safely rejoin society?